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Hydrometeorological events are responsible for more than 99% of casualties and economic losses due to natural disasters in the Caribbean region in the last three decades. The brunt of these was due to floods and storms.Twelve island states and three coastal territories comprise a subset of Caribbean countries known as the Caribbean Community (CARICOM), an entity established in 1973 with the mandate to promote economic integration and cooperation among ils members, to ensure that the benejits of integration are equitably shared, and to coordinate foreign policy. The member countries are Antigua & Barbuda, Bahamas, Barbados, Belize, Dominica, Grenada, Guyana, Haïti, Jamaica, Monserrat, St. Kitts and Nevis, St. Lucia, St. Vincent and the Grenadines, Suriname, Trinidad and Tobago.We conducted an ecological study to assess risk factors associated with deaths due to floods and storms in CARICOM nations for the period 1980 to 2012. Mortality dichotomized as deaths (1) versus no deaths (0) was the outcome variable while a number of biophysical and social vulnerability proxy indicators were investigated as potential explanatory variables. We also divided the period of study into three sub-periods and investigated this temporalcomponent as an additional explanatory variable. Statistical analysis was conducted in R Version 3.1.0 and we employed a rigorous statistical algorithm entailing tests of normality and qq-plots; assessment of multi-collinearit y based on variance inflation factors and a generalized logistic regression mode! with a quasi-binomial distribution for our bivariate and multivariate regression analysis.We found statistically significant associations between deaths and Agricultural Land (% of land area)and Urban Population (% of total). Coefficients were positive implying that an increase in those variables was associated with deaths in a given event. We also found a statistically significant association 2000-2012 compared to 1980-1989 implying that lethal disasters were more likely in the former time period than the latter. Odds ratios were relatively small; our confidence intervals did not cross the null value and were narrow.The scope of the study was somewhat limited by data availability and the lack of suitable denominators to establish the population at risk with which to calculate mortality rates and established proxies to measure the vulnerability constructs. Limitations notwithstanding we believe that this study is a first step to elucidate factors that may be important for consideration among the CARICOM member countries. Although we do not purport to have covered all the potential factors, we believe that these findings can be used to assist in the prioritization of action as relates to DRR/DRM and certainly, in the setting of the regional research agenda as relates to DRR/DRM.The need for more evidence is an ever-burgeoning need in this field and includes risk analyses, epidemiological studies, trend analyses, as well as the triangulation of results from studies employing different methodologies. Additionally, more robust stati stical models to help address the challenges of conducting disaster research would also be beneficial.

Cyclonic Storms --- Floods

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Cyclones --- Cyclonic storms --- Lows (Meteorology) --- Storms

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Typhoons with unusual tracks are difficult to forecast with respect to whether, when, and where typhoon turning occurs based on traditional synoptic charts and numerical weather forecast model products. This typhoon turning atlas provides an additional tool to deal with the typhoon turning question by using a physical decomposition method together with thousands of plots. In particular, this atlas provides important information of 322 historical typhoons that occurred in the past three decades and demonstrates how they were influenced respectively. Sample Chapter(s). Chapter 1: Variable Decomp

Decomposition method. --- Typhoons --- Cyclones --- Cyclonic storms --- Lows (Meteorology) --- Storms --- Method, Decomposition --- Operations research --- Programming (Mathematics) --- System analysis --- Tracks --- Forecasting.

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This book deals with recent advances in our understanding and prediction of tropical cyclogenesis, intensification and movement as well as landfall processes like heavy rainfall, gale wind and storm surge based on the latest observational and numerical weather prediction (NWP) modeling platforms. It also includes tropical cyclone (TC) management issues like early warning systems, recent high impact TC events, disaster preparedness, assessment of risk and vulnerability including construction, archiving and retrieval of the best tracking and historical data sets, policy decision etc., in view of recent findings on climate change aspects and their impact on TC activity. The chapters are authored by leading experts, both from research and operational environments. This book is relevant to cyclone forecasters and researchers, managers, policy makers, graduate and undergraduate students. It intends to stimulate thinking and hence further research in the field of TCs and climate change, especially over the Indian Ocean region and provides high-quality reference materials for all the users mentioned above for the management of TCs over this region.

Cyclone forecasting --- Cyclones --- Cyclonic storms --- Forecasting, Cyclone --- Forecasting --- Earth sciences. --- Meteorology. --- Oceanography. --- Natural disasters. --- Coasts. --- Atmospheric sciences. --- Earth Sciences. --- Natural Hazards. --- Coastal Sciences. --- Atmospheric Sciences. --- Lows (Meteorology) --- Storms --- Weather forecasting --- Geology. --- Geognosy --- Geoscience --- Earth sciences --- Natural history --- Oceanography, Physical --- Oceanology --- Physical oceanography --- Thalassography --- Marine sciences --- Ocean --- Atmospheric sciences --- Atmosphere --- Coastal landforms --- Coastal zones --- Coastlines --- Landforms --- Seashore --- Natural calamities --- Disasters --- Aerology --- Atmospheric science --- Tropics. --- Equatorial regions --- Equatorial zones --- Subtropical regions --- Subtropics --- Tropical regions --- Tropical zones --- Earth (Planet)

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This book presents the first physical findings of an investigation into the spatio-temporal characteristics of the global tropical cyclogenesis. Since Global Tropical Cyclogenesis was first published in 2001, many important scientific results have been obtained using methods and techniques developed by the author, including: the detection of the global tropical cyclogenesis as a main element of poleward heat transport in the terrestrial atmosphere; the evolution tropical activity in equatorial precipitable water fields; and scales of interactions between solar activity and global tropical cyclogenesis. These are all explained, together with the new scientific knowledge gained from the study of spatial-temporal properties of the global tropical cyclogenesis which affects satellite oceanography, atmosphere physics, ocean engineering, air-sea interaction and ocean remote sensing. Professor Sharkov gives findings from the Russian scientific airplane-based remote sensing expeditions to the Far East over the Pacific and the several scientific marine expeditions to the tropics as part of major research projects of the Russian Academy of Sciences. A principal feature of the book is the integrated description of spatial-temporal and structure properties of atmosphere catastrophes. Emphasis is placed on the physical aspects of breaking processes necessary to judge the possibilities and limitations of remote sensing methods in monitoring and mitigating natural hazards. The author includes numerous practice applications and illustrations taken from air-borne, ship-borne and laboratory up-to-date experiments. New chapters cover the possible impact of solar activity and effects of tropical cyclones on the upper atmosphere, time series and cumulative functions of global tropical cyclogenesis over 25 years, ionosphere and tropical cyclones activity, instability genesis in compress and saturated moist air atmosphere and complex satellite and in-situ "Scenario-TC" and "Global-RT" databases. A new Appendix gives quantitative data on spatio-temporal features of global and regional tropical cyclogenesis from 1983 to 2008.

Cyclones. --- Cyclones -- Tropics. --- Cyclones --- Earth & Environmental Sciences --- Physics --- Physical Sciences & Mathematics --- Meteorology & Climatology --- Cosmic Physics --- Cyclonic storms --- Tropical cyclones --- Earth sciences. --- Meteorology. --- Geophysics. --- Geography. --- Climate change. --- Earth Sciences. --- Geophysics/Geodesy. --- Geography, general. --- Climate Change. --- Lows (Meteorology) --- Storms --- Physical geography. --- Climatic changes. --- Changes, Climatic --- Changes in climate --- Climate change --- Climate change science --- Climate changes --- Climate variations --- Climatic change --- Climatic changes --- Climatic fluctuations --- Climatic variations --- Global climate changes --- Global climatic changes --- Climatology --- Climate change mitigation --- Teleconnections (Climatology) --- Cosmography --- Earth sciences --- World history --- Geography --- Environmental aspects --- Aerology --- Atmospheric science --- Geological physics --- Terrestrial physics --- Global environmental change