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Book
Irrational exuberance in the U.S. housing market : were evangelicals left behind?
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ISBN: 1451916396 1462340644 9786612842788 1282842781 1451872046 1452720819 Year: 2009 Publisher: [Washington, DC] : International Monetary Fund Research Dept.,

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Abstract

The recent housing bust has reignited interest in psychological theories of speculative excess (Shiller, 2007). I investigate this issue by identifying a segment of the U.S. population-evangelical protestants-that may be less prone to speculative motives, and uncover a significant negative relationship between their population share and house price volatility. Evangelicals' focus on Biblical prophecy could account for this difference, since it may enable them to interpret otherwise negative events as containing positive news, dampening the response of house prices to shocks. I provide evidence for this channel using a popular internet measure of "prophetic activity" and a 9/11 event study. I also analyze survey data covering religious beliefs and asset holding, and find that 'end times' beliefs are associated with a one-third decline in net worth, consistent with these beliefs providing a form of psychic insurance (Scheve and Stasavage, 2006a and 2006b) that reduces asset demand.


Book
A Behavioral Approach to Financial Supervision, Regulation, and Central Banking
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ISBN: 1484372816 1484372786 Year: 2018 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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This paper describes how behavioral elements are relevant to financial supervision, regulation, and central banking. It focuses on (1) behavioral effects of norms (social, legal, and market); (2) behavior of others (internalization, identification, and compliance); and (3) psychological biases. It stresses that financial supervisors, regulators, and central banks have not yet realized the full potential that these behavioral elements hold. To do so, they need to devise a behavioral approach that includes aspects relating to individual and group behavior. The paper provides case examples of experiments with such an approach, including behavioral supervision. Finally, it highlights areas for further research.

Keywords

Financial services industry --- Banks and banking, Central. --- Services, Financial --- Service industries --- Banker's banks --- Banks, Central --- Central banking --- Central banks --- Banks and banking --- State supervision. --- Risk management. --- Banks and Banking --- Public Finance --- Industries: Financial Services --- Business and Financial --- Microeconomic Behavior: Underlying Principles --- Intertemporal Consumer Choice --- Life Cycle Models and Saving --- Central Banks and Their Policies --- Financial Institutions and Services: General --- Corporate Finance and Governance: Government Policy and Regulation --- Law and Economics: General (including Data Sources and Description) --- Illegal Behavior and the Enforcement of Law --- Corporate Culture --- Diversity --- Social Responsibility --- Marketing and Advertising: Government Policy and Regulation --- Personnel Economics: Compensation and Compensation Methods and Their Effects --- Cultural Economics --- Economic Sociology --- Economic Anthropology: General --- Cultural Economics: Religion --- Banks --- Depository Institutions --- Micro Finance Institutions --- Mortgages --- Taxation, Subsidies, and Revenue: General --- General Financial Markets: Government Policy and Regulation --- Debt --- Debt Management --- Sovereign Debt --- Banking --- Public finance & taxation --- Financial services law & regulation --- Legal support in revenue administration --- Financial regulation and supervision --- Financial sector --- Government debt management --- Revenue --- Law and legislation --- Debts, Public --- United States

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