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Credit, intermediation, and the macroeconomy : readings and perspectives in modern financial theory
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ISBN: 0199243069 9780199243068 Year: 2004 Publisher: Oxford: Oxford university press,


Book
Introduction to credit risk modeling
Authors: --- ---
ISBN: 9781584889922 1584889926 Year: 2010 Publisher: Boca Raton: CRC,

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"Preface Second Edition The first edition of this book appeared eight years ago. Since then the banking industry experienced a lot of change and challenges. The most recent financial crisis which started around May 2007 and lasted in its core period until early 2009 gave rise for a lot of scepticism whether credit risk models are appropriate to capture the true nature of risks inherent in credit portfolios in general and structured credit products in particular. In a recent article two of us discuss common credit risk modeling approaches in the light of the most recent crisis and invite readers to participate in the discussion; see [25]. A key observation in a discussion like the one in [25] is that the universe of available models and tools is sufficiently rich for doing a good job even in a severe crisis scenario as banks recently experienced it. What seems to be more critical is an appropriate model choice, parameterization of models, dealing with uncertainties, e.g., based on insufficient data, and communication of model outcomes to decision makers and executive senior management. These are the four main areas of challenge where we think that a lot of work and rethinking needs to be done in a p︠ost-crisis ̕reflection of credit risk models. In the first edition of this book we focussed on the description of common mathematical approaches to model credit portfolios. We did not change this philosophy for the second edition. Therefore, we left large parts of the book unchanged in its core message but supplemented the exposition with new model developments and with details we omitted in the first edition"--

Measuring and managing credit risk
Authors: ---
ISBN: 0071417559 9780071417556 Year: 2004 Publisher: New York: McGraw-Hill,

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Review and Implementation of Credit Risk Models of the Financial Sector Assessment Program (FSAP)
Authors: --- --- ---
ISBN: 1451863942 1462361919 1451909152 9786613824059 1452765286 1283511606 Year: 2006 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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The paper presents the basic Credit Risk+ model, and proposes some modifications. This model could be useful in the stress-testing financial sector assessments process as a benchmark for credit risk evaluations. First, we present the setting and basic definitions common to all the model specifications used in this paper. Then, we proceed from the simplest model based on Bernoulli-distributed default events and known default probabilities to the fully-fledged Credit Risk+ implementation. The latter is based on the Poisson approximation and uncertain default probabilities determined by mutually independent risk factors. As an extension we present a Credit Risk+ specification with correlated risk factors as in Giese (2003). Finally, we illustrate the characteristics and the results obtained from the different models using a specific portfolio of obligors.

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