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Die Theorie der monetären Kreislaufsphären.
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Year: 1952 Publisher: Bern, : A. Francke,

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Inflation, Monetary Velocity, and Welfare
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Year: 1982 Publisher: Cambridge, Mass. National Bureau of Economic Research

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This paper develops a simple general equilibrium model of a monetary economy with a capital market, in which monetary demand arises from a "cash-in-advance" constraint rather than from any direct role in the utility function. Uncertainty gives rise to a meaningful portfolio choice between money and bonds. We show that monetary velocity is increasing in the rate of inflation, and that the optimal monetary policy is that which maximizes real balances. We also show that the real rate of interest is not invariant to monetary policy: inflation lowers the real rate.


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Monetary Policy Lessons of recent Inflation and Disinflation
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Year: 1987 Publisher: Cambridge, Mass. National Bureau of Economic Research

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The decline of velocity in the 1980s is a surprise that should not have been. Economists unwisely relied on a velocity trend of 3 percent per year when they should have insisted on an economic explanation for rising velocity. An analysis of velocity and interest rates from 1915 to 1986 suggests that the interest elasticity of money demand is substantially higher than previously thought. The postwar increase of rates followed by a major decline of rates in the 1980s explains velocity behavior. The large decline in velocity almost certainly would have caused severe economic problems had the Federal Reserve not accommodated the decline through more rapid money growth. Federal Reserve policy between October 1979 and October 1982 emphasized control of money growth. Money market behavior during this period, compared to periods before and after, provides strong evidence that the market sets interest rates on the basis of a sophisticated understanding of monetary policy. The evidence makes clear that the monetary authorities cannot use interest rates to provide information on the state of the economy unless they know the extent to which interest rates reflect expectations of future monetary policy.


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The velocity of money
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Year: 1970 Publisher: [New York] : Federal Reserve Bank of New York,

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International comparisons of money velocity and wage mark-ups,
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Year: 1968 Publisher: New York : A. M. Kelley,

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Some Historical Evidence 1870-1933 on the Impact and International Transmission of Financial Crises
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Year: 1985 Publisher: Cambridge, Mass. National Bureau of Economic Research

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This study presents historical evidence for six countries (the U.S., U.K., Germany, France, Canada, Sweden) in the period 1870-1933 on the impactof financial crises on economic activity and on the international transmission of financial crises. The paper examines two approaches in the literature to the role and importance of financial crises as disturbances to domestic and international economic activity, that of the monetarists--Friedman and Schwartz and Cagan, and that of Fisher-Minsky and Kindleberger. In a comparison of reference cycle contractions for the six countries over the period 1870-1933 severe contractions in economic activity were in all cases accompanied by monetary contraction, in most cases with stock market crashes, but not with the exception of the U.S., by banking crises. The unique performance of the U.S. can be attributed to the absence of a nationwide branch banking system compared to the five other countries examined, and the less effective role played by the U.S. monetary authorities in acting as a lender of last resort. Our principal findings on the international transmission of financial crises are two. First, consistent with the monetarist approach, that under the Classical gold standard, in periods containing financial crises, nations' money supplies were linked by gold flows and changes in high powered money, while under periods of flexible exchange rates there is evidence of insulation of domestic monetary and real variables from foreign shocks. Second, in sympathy with the Kindleberger-Minsky approach, the similarity between countries of turning points in stock market prices, the common incidence of stock market crises, and the similar importance of the deposit reserve ratio as the key determinant of monetary contraction in all countries (except the u.s.) suggests that arbitrage in stock prices was a channel for the international transmission of crises.


Book
Storie di moneta e di banca
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ISBN: 8888143378 9788888143378 Year: 2006 Volume: 12 Publisher: Venezia: Istituto veneto di scienze, lettere ed arti,

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Demand for money : an analysis of the long-run behavior of the velocity of circulation
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ISBN: 0765809613 Year: 2004 Publisher: New Brunswick Transaction

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Inventory, business cycles and monetary transmission.
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ISBN: 3540579842 Year: 1994 Publisher: Berlin Springer

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Der Zusammenhang zwischen der Höhe des Volkseinkommens und der Geldmenge : Stückgeld und kurzfristige Bankguthaben.
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ISBN: 3428034848 Year: 1975 Publisher: Berlin Duncker & Humblot

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