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In finance, quantities varying over time are key for a proper understanding of markets, world trends or simply the evolution of a company. In many cases, detecting a time horizon over which certain quantities can be approximated by a constant is therefore important. As a technique to detect these so-called homogeneity windows has been developed, we will try to examine, insofar as possible, on two new application fields, if these can turn out to be useful for practitioners. The first part of this thesis proposes a solution to the question of the time horizon selection over which to compute the market risk factor loading as used in the Capital Asset Pricing Model. As the selection of this horizon is often arbitrary in the industry, coming up with a rational method seems to fill a gap. For this purpose, we develop statistical tests and algorithms to estimate the risk factor loading and propose a new test to check the estimation quality in practise. It turns out that our method performs at least at good as the classical method used by practitioners on a financial application and displays better adaptability capabilities, in particular when regimes change. This is however counterbalanced by a slightly poorer R squared. The second model aims at assessing the predictive capability of such homogeneity windows for both the mean and the variance of an asset process using a logistic regression. In this model the estimated values as well as the length of the time interval are considered as explanatory variables. The results are twofold. On the one hand, it seems that there is useful information contained in our aggregated data. Besides, the model is able to detect known empirical facts observed on financial markets. On the other hand, this particular, rather basic setting is not able to clearly distinguish ups from downs and can therefore not yield an economical benefit, which is in line with empirical observations concerning market efficiency.
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The availability of clean water and adequate infrastructures represents one of the most widespread challenges in today’s world, especially in developing countries. Although the reach of distribution and the quality of water have been improving for the last decades thanks to the support of international organizations and the establishment of common standards, our ability to meet forthcoming needs for water is still uncertain. Indeed, the growing consumption as well as climate change and the deterioration of natural supply are pushing water concerns at stress for the years to come. In order to face this challenge and to address limitations of the public sector, the implication of private companies for the conception and management of infrastructures is becoming a common standard in many places of the world. This study briefly reviews the role of the private sector through the implementation of public-private partnership contracts (PPP). Amongst the different ways for private or institutional investors to invest in this precious liquid, water oriented funds have been proliferating since the beginning of the last decade. This study then aims to assess the risk-return profile of these funds, in order to conclude on a potential over/underperformance, by comparing their alpha, as well as their Sharpe and Treynor ratios to a market proxy, based on weekly returns from june 2012 to 2017. It subsequently intends to evaluate the diversification benefits associated to an index representative of the water funds market by incorporating it into a classical portfolio, made of global bond and stock indexes. The results of the analytical research first induce that, even though no statistically significant underperformance can be observed on the water funds market, the risk-return profile of these investments is generally inferior to the overall market benchmark from an economical point of view. It then shows that the adjustment to the size and style factors from the Fama & French model brings no considerable change in the excess returns observed with the CAPM. This research finally indicates that the inclusion of the water funds index results in no significant improvement of the risk-return profile of the classical portfolio, from both statistical and economical point of view. Water funds generally tend to be quite well diversified amongst the different asset classes and show a slighter volatility than the market over the sample period.
eau --- fonds --- investissement --- capm --- fama & french --- diversification --- Sciences économiques & de gestion > Finance
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The global aim of this thesis is to verify whether sustainability constitutes a relevant factor in capturing the variation of stock returns through a quantitative analysis. In order to check the validity of our hypothesis, which is that sustainability does indeed capture variation of stocks returns, the Fama and French Five-factor model has been adapted to a 6-factor model, adding a sustainability factor to the other validated factors, which are size, value, profitability and investment. Sustainability is clearly a hot topic in present times, as a world trend has been increasing over the past year in a worldwide bench of different sectors, including finance. Here, we analyze the history of sustainability in finance, going through relating topics such as ESG, ethics, corporate social responsibility and responsible investments in finance, since they have also encountered an importance growth in business. Sustainability clearly plays a role in today’s business world, which is why it is worth to analyzing if it also plays a role in capturing stock return variations. The data used in this paper comes from the Thompsons Reuters Database. The sample has been created from all the NYSE stocks having an ESG score, which had the key figure of sustainability level for a corporation and which also correspond to our sample filtration. The sample we examine extends from January 2003 to December 2017, and is therefore composed of 180 months of data. The methodology used in our portfolio and factor construction is the same as that employed by Fama and French. The results consequently helped us compare whether sustainability of a corporation was worthy of consideration while investing in their stocks, for an investor who seeks to maximize his return for a given level of risk, or minimize his risk for a given level of return. Our findings concluded that even if a difference of returns does exist between stocks considered sustainable and unsustainable, our sustainable factor could not significantly help to capture return variations. The results of this paper can, indeed, be ameliorated over time as sustainability is a growing trend which may well lead to more significant result in the future and also provide wider sample of data.
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Economics --- Portfolio management --- Econometric models. --- AA / International- internationaal --- 305.91 --- Econometrie van de financiële activa. Portfolio allocation en management. CAPM. Bubbles. --- Econometrie van de financiële activa. Portfolio allocation en management. CAPM. Bubbles --- Portfolio management - Econometric models.
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AA / International- internationaal --- 339.40 --- 305.91 --- Vermogenbeheer. financiële analyse (algemeenheden). --- Econometrie van de financiële activa. Portfolio allocation en management. CAPM. Bubbles. --- Vermogenbeheer. financiële analyse (algemeenheden) --- Econometrie van de financiële activa. Portfolio allocation en management. CAPM. Bubbles
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This is a thorough exploration of the models and methods of financial econometrics by one of the world's leading financial econometricians and is for students in economics, finance, statistics, mathematics, and engineering who are interested in financial applications. Based on courses taught around the world, the up-to-date content covers developments in econometrics and finance over the last twenty years while ensuring a solid grounding in the fundamental principles of the field. Care has been taken to link theory and application to provide real-world context for students, worked exercises and empirical examples have also been included to make sure complicated concepts are solidly explained and understood.
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Net zoals in de ondernemerswereld is in de financiële wereld rendement en risicoonlosmakelijk met elkaar verbonden. Het is niet mogelijk om hogere winsten te behalenzonder een hoger risico te nemen.In deze thesis wordt er gebruik gemaakt van een model dat gebaseerd is op het CAPM. HetCAPM wordt in de praktijk vaak gebruikt om het rendement van aandelen te verklaren. In ditmodel wordt het rendement van een aandeel gerelateerd aan het rendement van eengekende marktindex.Er werd gekozen om de BEL20- en de Alternext-index te gebruiken als verklarendemarktindexen. Vaak is met een index alleen echter niet het volledige rendement van aandelente verklaren. Daarmee start dan ook de zoektocht naar extra factoren voor het verklaren vanhet excess rendement van aandelen.In de literatuurstudie worden er meerdere liquiditeitsmaatstaven besproken. Aan de handvan deze maatstaven wordt in het onderzoek geprobeerd om het excess rendement vanaandelen verder te verklaren. Hiermee wordt mogelijks het bewijs van een liquiditeitspremieaangetoond. De economische gedachte zegt immers dat aandelen die minder liquide zijn,meer risico met zich meebrengen. De personen die bereid zijn dit hoger risico te lopen, zullenhiervoor een extra rendement eisen. Concreet zullen er regressies getrokken worden waarbijhet excess rendement van aandelen de afhankelijke variabele vormt en deliquiditeitsmaatstaven (samen met het excess marktrendement) de onafhankelijke variabelen.De resultaten worden geanalyseerd en vervolgens besproken.
Alternext. --- Amihud measure. --- Amihud. --- BEL20. --- Bid-ask spreads. --- CAPM. --- Effectieve spread. --- Liquiditeitsdimensies. --- Liquiditeitspremie. --- Ordergedreven markt. --- Panel data. --- Transactiekosten. --- Volume.
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This paper contributes to (i) the value investment strategy and the value premium, (ii) the role of sorting procedure regarding portfolio computations to infer risk premia and (iii) the size matter in the multifactor framework. Alternative criteria to compute the value premium and to perform value strategy has been used as well as alternative sorting methodology for the portfolio computations in the multifactor context.
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This introduction to general equilibrium modelling takes an integrated approach to the analysis of macroeconomics and finance. It provides students, practitioners, and policymakers with an easily accessible set of tools that can be used to analyze a wide range of economic phenomena. Key features: • Provides a consistent framework for understanding dynamic economic models • Introduces key concepts in finance in a discrete time setting • Develops simple recursive approach for analyzing a variety of problems in a dynamic, stochastic environment • Sequentially builds up the analysis of consumption, production, and investment models to study their implications for allocations and asset prices • Reviews business cycle analysis and the business cycle implications of monetary and international models • Covers latest research on asset pricing in overlapping generations models and on models with borrowing constraints and transaction costs • Includes end-of-chapter exercises allowing readers to monitor their understanding of each topic Online resources are available at www.cambridge.org/altug_labadie
Pricing --- International finance --- Capital assets pricing model --- AA / International- internationaal --- 305.91 --- 339.40 --- Econometrie van de financiële activa. Portfolio allocation en management. CAPM. Bubbles. --- Vermogenbeheer. financiële analyse (algemeenheden). --- Capital asset pricing model --- CAPM (Capital assets pricing model) --- Pricing model, Capital assets --- Capital --- Finance --- Investments --- Econometrie van de financiële activa. Portfolio allocation en management. CAPM. Bubbles --- Vermogenbeheer. financiële analyse (algemeenheden) --- Mathematical models --- Capital assets pricing model. --- Finance. --- Funding --- Funds --- Economics --- Currency question --- Business, Economy and Management
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