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Central Banking in Central and Eastern Europe : Lessons From the Interwar Years' Experience
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ISBN: 1462347886 1451992467 Year: 1994 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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This paper examines the philosophies which inspired the institution of central banking in Central and Eastern Europe in the interwar years. Influenced by the Financial Section of the League of Nations, the new central banks adopted laws which prohibited or severely restricted the financing of government fiscal debt. They were encouraged to centralize their payments systems and manage exchange rates to keep control of the money supply and achieve monetary stability. Before long they were forced to adopt further provisions in the area of banking supervision to regulate commercial banks. This paper considers the particular cases of Czechoslovakia, Hungary and Poland.


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Inflation Performance and Constitutional Central Bank Independence : Evidence From Latin America and the Caribbean
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ISBN: 1462354068 1451986467 128142997X 1451894317 9786613780256 Year: 2003 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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This paper explores the relationship between the constitutional entrenchment of central bank independence and inflation performance. Empirical studies for developing countries have not found a relationship between central bank independence, proxied by the "de jure" independence established in the central bank law, and inflation. We argue that the constitution is likely to be better enforced than ordinary statutes owing to its higher legal rank. Our empirical analysis finds that in a sample of Latin American and Caribbean countries, those countries that entrench the independence of the central bank in the constitution have a better inflation performance.


Book
Latin American Central Bank Reform : Progress and Challenges.
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ISBN: 1462348823 1452757232 128244803X 9786613821225 1451906692 Year: 2005 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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This study takes stock of the institutional reform of monetary policy in Latin America since the early 1990s. It argues that strengthening the legal independence of central banks, together with macroeconomic policies, was instrumental in reducing inflation from three-digit annual rates in the 1990s to single-digit territory in 2004. The paper also discusses the main challenges of monetary policy today, namely, achieving price stability, restoring market confidence in domestic currencies, and sticking to policy consistency despite adverse effects of the volatility of capital flows. Finally, recurrent banking crises and lack of fiscal discipline are identified as the main risks for the success of monetary policy in Latin America.


Book
Legal Central Bank Independence and Inflation in Latin America During the 1990s
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ISBN: 146235369X 1452780307 1282448064 9786613821256 1451919484 Year: 2001 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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This paper reviews central banks’ legal reform in Latin America during the 1990s and discusses the status of central bank independence in the region. Based on this information, it builds a simplified index of central bank independence which, in addition to the commonly used criteria of political and economic independence, incorporates provisions of central banks’ financial autonomy, accountability, and lender-of-last-resort. The paper finds a moderate negative correlation between increased central bank independence and inflation during 1999–2001 in 14 Latin American countries. Dissagregating the index, the same analysis suggests that economic independence is the key component driving the observed negative correlation between legal central bank independence and inflation.


Book
Central Bank Autonomy, and Inflation and Output Performance in the Baltic States, Russia, and Other Countries of the Former Soviet Union, 1995-1997
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ISBN: 1462391478 1452720045 1281603333 1451890346 9786613784025 Year: 1999 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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A higher degree of de jure autonomy and accountability of the central banks of the Baltic states, Russia, and other countries of the former Soviet Union appears to be positively correlated with lower average inflation. There also seems to be some positive correlation between greater central bank autonomy and higher average real growth, after the initial period of reforms. Central banks with a higher degree of autonomy and accountability have apparently also reformed their operations more aggressively.


Book
Issues in Central Bank Finance and Independence
Authors: ---
ISBN: 146230334X 1452789452 1282392220 9786613820655 1451913524 Year: 2008 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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Conventional economic policy models focus only on selected elements of the central bank balance sheet, in particular monetary liabilities and sometimes foreign reserves. The canonical model of an "independent" central bank assumes that it chooses money (or an interest rate), unconstrained by a need to generate seignorage for itself or government. While a long line of literature has emphasized the dangers of fiscal dominance influencing the conduct of monetary policy the idea that an independent central bank could be constrained in achieving its policy objectives by its own balance sheet situation is a relatively novel idea considered in this paper. If one accepts this potential constraint as a valid concern, the financial strength of the central bank as a stand alone entity becomes highly relevant for ascertaining monetary policy credibility. We consider several strands of evidence that clearly indicate fiscal backing for central banks cannot be assumed and hence financial independence is relevant to operational independence. First we examine 135 central bank laws to illustrate the variety of legal approaches adopted with respect to central bank financial independence. Second, we examine the same data set with regard to central bank recapitalization provisions to show that even in cases where the treasury is nominally responsible for maintaining the central bank financially strong, it may do so in purely a cosmetic fashion. Third, we show that, in actual practice, treasuries have frequently not provided central banks with genuine financial support on a timely basis leaving them excessively reliant on seignorage to finance their operations and/or forcing them to abandon policy objectives.


Book
Predicting the Law: Artificial Intelligence Findings from the IMF’s Central Bank Legislation Database
Authors: --- --- ---
ISBN: 9798400260162 Year: 2023 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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Using the 2010, 2015, and 2020/2021 datasets of the IMF’s Central Bank Legislation Database (CBLD), we explore artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning (ML) approaches to analyzing patterns in central bank legislation. Our findings highlight that: (i) a simple Naïve Bayes algorithm can link CBLD search categories with a significant and increasing level of accuracy to specific articles and phrases in articles in laws (i.e., predict search classification); (ii) specific patterns or themes emerge across central bank legislation (most notably, on central bank governance, central bank policy and operations, and central bank stakeholders and transparency); and (iii) other AI/ML approaches yield interesting results, meriting further research.


Book
Elements of Optimal Monetary Policy Committee Design
Authors: ---
ISBN: 1451865376 1462304389 145190990X 9786613827470 1452717842 1283515024 Year: 2006 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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The move from individual decision making to committee decision making is widely seen as a major evolution in contemporary central banking. This paper reviews the relevant economics and social psychology literatures with a view to providing some insights into the question of optimal monetary policy committee design. While the preference aggregation literature points to the effect of committee structure on the extent of the time inconsistency problem and its associated costs, the belief aggregation literature analyzes how different committee structures affect the efficiency of information pooling, the process of social influence, and collective accuracy. In conclusion, we highlight the main tradeoffs that the analysis has brought to light and point to directions for future research.


Book
Central Bank Financial Strength, Transparency, and Policy Credibility
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ISBN: 1462311555 1452779473 1282110969 9786613803849 1451901054 Year: 2002 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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A central bank is financially strong if it possesses resources sufficient to attain its fundamental policy objective(s). Once endowed with those resources, relations between government and central bank should be designed so that significant changes in central bank financial strength do not occur unless necessitated by changes in policy objectives. The level of strength required depends on the array of policy objectives (for example, the exchange rate regime) as well as the constraints and risks presented by the operational environment. Attaining credibility is facilitated if the public can easily determine the financial strength of the bank, yet for a variety of reasons this is often difficult. Transparency requires institutional arrangements that ensure the central bank generates profit in most states of the world, is subject to strict ex post independent audit, and transfers regularly all profits, after provisions, to the treasury.


Book
United Arab Emirates : Financial System Stability Assessment, including Reports on the Observance of Standards and Codes on the following topics: Monetary and Financial Policy Transparency, Banking Supervision and Payment Systems.
Authors: ---
ISBN: 1462311172 1452791910 1280898038 1452731756 9786613739346 Year: 2003 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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This paper presents key findings of the Financial System Stability Assessment, including Reports on the Observance of Standards and Codes on Monetary and Financial Policy Transparency, Banking Supervision, and Payment Systems for the United Arab Emirates (UAE). The UAEs financial sector and financial sector supervision are developing unevenly. The financial sector is dominated by well-supervised banks, which pose minimal near-term systemic risk. Although the payment systems are simple and far from state-of-the-art, they are well managed, and systemic risks are limited.

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