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Calculating sustainable non-mineral balances as benchmarks for fiscal policy : the case of Botswana
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ISBN: 1451914318 1462375987 1282840711 9786612840715 1451869770 145271780X Year: 2008 Volume: WP/08/117 Publisher: [Washington, District of Columbia] : International Monetary Fund,

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Abstract

Assuming a social welfare function that smoothes expenditure, this paper calculates a sustainability benchmark for the non-mineral balance in Botswana that is based on a notion of a "permanent income" from non-renewable resources. It is derived by constructing a hypothetical annuity from revenues from these resources, which is held constant in terms of GDP. Botswana is an interesting case because current projections suggest that diamond resources could be largely exhausted within a generation.


Book
Natural resource endowments, governance, and the domestic revenue effort : evidence from a panel of countries
Authors: --- ---
ISBN: 1451914814 1462317456 1451870280 9786612841217 1282841211 1452728909 Year: 2008 Volume: WP/08/170 Publisher: [Washington, District of Columbia] : International Monetary Fund,

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The recent development literature stresses that countries that receive large revenues from natural resource endowments typically raise less revenue from domestic taxation, and that this creates governance problems because the lower domestic tax effort reduces the incentive for the public scrutiny of government. Our results from a panel of 30 hydrocarbon producing countries indicate that the offset between hydrocarbon revenues and revenues from other domestic sources is about 20 percent but that it is invariant to governance indicators.


Book
When and why worry about real exchange rate appreciation? : the missing link between Dutch disease and growth
Authors: --- --- ---
ISBN: 1462307299 1455293210 1283553007 1455211540 9786613865458 Year: 2010 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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We review the literature on Dutch disease, and document that shocks that trigger foreign exchange inflows (such as natural resource booms, surges in foreign aid, remittances, or capital inflows) appreciate the real exchange rate, generate factor reallocation, and reduce manufacturing output and net exports. We also observe that real exchange rate misalignment due to overvaluation and higher volatility of the real exchange rate lower growth. Regarding the effect of undervaluation of the exchange rate on economic growth, the evidence is mixed and inconclusive. However, there is no evidence in the literature that Dutch disease reduces overall economic growth. Policy responses should aim at adequately managing the boom and the risks associated with it.


Book
Oil Rents, Corruption, and State Stability - Evidence From Panel Data Regressions.
Authors: ---
ISBN: 1462321453 1452779317 1282550675 1451918283 9786613822161 Year: 2009 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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We examine the effects of oil rents on corruption and state stability exploiting the exogenous within-country variation of a new measure of oil rents for a panel of 31 oil-exporting countries during the period 1992 to 2005. We find that an increase in oil rents significantly increases corruption, significantly deteriorates political rights while at the same time leading to a significant improvement in civil liberties. We argue that these findings can be explained by the political elite having an incentive to extend civil liberties but reduce political rights in the presence of oil windfalls to evade redistribution and conflict. We support our argument documenting that there is a significant effect of oil rents on corruption in countries with a high share of state participation in oil production while no such link exists in countries where state participation in oil production is low.


Book
Guinea-Bissau : Joint Staff Advisory Note on the Second Poverty Reduction Strategy Paper.
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ISBN: 1463956703 1463937687 1283559935 9786613872388 1463961294 Year: 2011 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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This paper presents the Joint Staff Advisory Note on Guinea-Bissau’s Second National Poverty Reduction Strategy Paper (PRSP II) covering 2011–15. The PRSP II, adopted by the government in July 2011, provides the framework for the implementation of a comprehensive strategy aimed at consolidating macroeconomic stabilization and strengthening recent improvements in economic governance. Its successful implementation would help the country enhance its economic growth conditions, strengthen the rule of law, and accelerate progress toward the achievement of the Millennium Development Goals.


Book
IMF Survey : Volume 28, Issue 16.
Authors: ---
ISBN: 1462384471 1455284122 1283537524 1455262854 9786613849977 Year: 1999 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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Abstract

The Web edition of the IMF Survey is updated several times a week, and contains a wealth of articles about topical policy and economic issues in the news. Access the latest IMF research, read interviews, and listen to podcasts given by top IMF economists on important issues in the global economy. www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/survey/so/home.aspx.


Book
Fiscal Transparency Initiative : Integration of Natural Resource Management Issues.
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Year: 2019 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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Abstract

This paper integrates into the Fiscal Transparency Code (FTC) a new fourth pillar (Pillar IV) on natural resource revenue management. This completes the pending update to the IMF's FTC, as set out by staff in 2014 (see IMF 2014a).


Book
Fiscal Transparency Initiative : Integration of Natural Resource Management Issues.
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ISBN: 1513510258 Year: 2019 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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Abstract

This paper integrates into the Fiscal Transparency Code (FTC) a new fourth pillar (Pillar IV) on natural resource revenue management. This completes the pending update to the IMF's FTC, as set out by staff in 2014 (see IMF 2014a).


Book
Emergence of the Gulf of Guinea in the global economy : prospects and challenges
Authors: ---
ISBN: 1451862547 1462310478 1451907907 9786613820402 145270273X 1282391976 Year: 2005 Publisher: [Washington, D.C.] : International Monetary Fund, Office of the Executive Director, Africa,

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Abstract

The Gulf of Guinea's tremendous potential is creating investment opportunities for the region. Some of its resources, such as oil, minerals, and forests, continue to attract significant investments whereas others, like natural gas, could be exploited to their full potential if necessary investments were undertaken. Nevertheless, the Gulf of Guinea has to cope with numerous challenges, both exogenous and endogenous, before it can fully benefit from its riches. One of these problems stems from the overwhelmingly weak institutions and governance, pointed by stylized facts, which add to the risks of "natural resource curse" and can feed the theory of the "Paradox of Plenty." The case is made that regional institutional arrangements and increased involvement of the international community and the African Diaspora should complement the efforts in which countries in the region should engage to address policy and governance issues. Complementary avenues are proposed, including maintaining stability and security, making better use of the region's own assets, putting in place a favorable business environment, and augmenting exports with value addition.


Book
Does Mother Nature Corrupt? Natural Resources, Corruption, and Economic Growth
Authors: ---
ISBN: 1462361064 1451994516 1281602094 1451896859 9786613782786 Year: 1999 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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Abstract

This paper argues that natural resource abundance creates opportunities for rent-seeking behavior and is an important factor in determining a country’s level of corruption. In a simple growth model, we illustrate the interrelationships between natural resources, corruption, and economic growth, and discuss potential anti-corruption policies. We show that the extent of corruption depends on natural resource abundance, government policies, and the concentration of bureaucratic power. Furthermore, the growth effects of natural resource discoveries and anticorruption policies crucially depend on the economy’s state of development. We empirically corroborate the model’s implications in a cross-country framework with both corruption and growth endogenized.

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