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A number of authors have argued that a worker's occupation of employment is at least as important as the worker's industry of employment in determining whether the worker will be hurt or helped by international trade. This paper investigates the role of occupational mobility on the effects of trade shocks on wage inequality in a dynamic, structural econometric model of worker adjustment. Each worker in the model can switch either industry, occupation, or both, paying a time-varying cost to do so in a rational-expectations optimizing environment. The authors find that the costs of switching industry and occupation are both high, and of similar magnitude, but in simulations they find that a worker's industry of employment is much more important than either the worker's occupation or skill class in determining whether he or she is harmed by a trade shock.
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We develop a macroeconomic model with physical and human capital, human capital risk, and limited contract enforcement. We show analytically that young (high-return) households are the most exposed to human capital risk and are also the least insured. We document this risk-insurance pattern in data on life-insurance drawn from the Survey of Consumer Finance. A calibrated version of the model can quantitatively account for the life-cycle variation of insurance observed in the US data and implies welfare costs of under-insurance for young households that are equivalent to a 4 percent reduction in lifetime consumption. A policy reform that makes consumer bankruptcy more costly leads to a substantial increase in the volume of credit and insurance.
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The UK workforce has larger and more chronic skills gaps than in most peer countries, with surveys reporting widespread recruitment difficulties, with implications for output, in high-skill sectors like digital and software, manufacturing, medicine and life sciences, teaching, and construction. This partly reflects declines in primary and post-secondary education outcomes (particularly science scores, over the past two decades) and in workplace training and apprenticeships, particularly for the young. Moreover, the recent increase in non-EU migrants has not fully offset the adverse impact from Brexit on the availability of needed skills, including because smaller firms face more recruitment hurdles with regard to non-EU hires. Against this backdrop, there is an urgent need to upskill the UK workforce, both by building on ongoing efforts, as well as additional concrete measures to: (i) encourage students and young workers to join and excel in STEM; (ii) ensure adequate vocational and on the job training, particularly for the young; (iii) retain the talent produced by UKs world leading universities; (iv) upskill the existing labor force; and (v) facilitate attraction and retention of in-demand skills through adjustments to the visa regime.
Aggregate Human Capital --- Aggregate Labor Productivity --- Employment --- Human Capital --- Intergenerational Income Distribution --- Labor Productivity --- Occupational Choice --- Skills --- Unemployment --- Wages --- United Kingdom
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This paper assesses a decade of experience in civil service reform in a sample of 32 sub-Saharan African countries. Many countries have made an important start towards reducing excessive staffing levels and the nominal wage bill, but less progress has been made in decompressing salary differentials in favor of higher-grade staff. In the CFA franc zone countries, real wages fell sharply after the 1994 devaluation, but the wage bill relative to tax revenue is still high in many countries. There is a need to consolidate quantitative first-generation reforms that contribute to macroeconomic stabilization. Equally important is the need to make progress on qualitative second-generation reforms, especially remuneration and promotion policies that reward performance and measures to improve civil service management. Such policies will require strong political commitment by governments.
Labor --- Employment --- Unemployment --- Wages --- Intergenerational Income Distribution --- Aggregate Human Capital --- Aggregate Labor Productivity --- Wages, Compensation, and Labor Costs: General --- Civil service & public sector --- Labour --- income economics --- Civil service --- Civil service reform --- Real wages --- Economic theory --- Uganda --- Income economics
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We study the determinants of employment and wages in the public sector, using a new set of panel data for 34 LDCs and 21 OECD countries from 1972–992, by estimating equations suggested by an efficiency wage model. We find that government employment is positively associated with the relaxation of resource constraints (the revenue-to-GDP ratio and foreign financing in the case of developing countries and GDP per capita in the case of OECD countries), urbanization, the level of education, and certain countercyclical pressures for government hiring (the real effective exchange rate for developing countries and private employment for OECD countries). Certain measures of government wages are positively associated with government revenues and negatively associated with the level of education, government debt, and countercyclical pressures.
Labor --- Employment --- Unemployment --- Wages --- Intergenerational Income Distribution --- Aggregate Human Capital --- Aggregate Labor Productivity --- Wages, Compensation, and Labor Costs: General --- Labour --- income economics --- Civil service & public sector --- Public employment --- Public sector wages --- Civil service --- Economic theory --- United States --- Income economics
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This paper examines issues raised by the evolution of a rapidly growing small open economy—Singapore—from a labor-intensive, low-technology production base to a capital-intensive, high-technology, knowledge-and-skill-intensive emphasis as it approached the limits of its resource constraints in the labor market. In order to analyze the process of restructuring a model of endogenous growth for a small open economy that is driven by increases in labor productivity from learning and that allows for the dynamic acquisition of comparative advantage is developed. In this framework the effects of various policies and exogenous shocks on the direction and pace of restructuring are investigated.
Aggregate Human Capital --- Aggregate Labor Productivity --- Economic theory --- Employment --- Income economics --- Intergenerational Income Distribution --- Labor costs --- Labor Force and Employment, Size, and Structure --- Labor force --- Labor market --- Labor --- Labour --- Unemployment --- Wage adjustments --- Wages --- Wages, Compensation, and Labor Costs: General --- Singapore
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Disaggregated data from 30 two-digit manufacturing industries in the east and west parts of unified Germany are used to estimate employment for three skill categories of blue collar workers. Employment elasticities are uniformly higher in the east, and for unskilled labor. The former result contradicts union claims that wages had little relevance for east German job losses, while the latter confirms the capital-skill complementarity hypothesis.
Labor --- Employment --- Unemployment --- Wages --- Intergenerational Income Distribution --- Aggregate Human Capital --- Aggregate Labor Productivity --- Labor Demand --- Wages, Compensation, and Labor Costs: General --- Labour --- income economics --- Labor demand --- Wage adjustments --- Real wages --- Economic theory --- Labor market --- Germany --- Income economics
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This paper reports about the Per Jacobsson Foundation and various lectures in detail. Mr. Camdessus was educated at the University of Paris and earned postgraduate degrees in economics at the Institut d'Etudes Politiques de Paris and at the Ecole Nationale d'Administration Publique. He is a member of the Commission for Africa, which is chaired by the British Prime Minister, Tony Blair. Following his appointment as Administrateur Civil in the French Civil Service, Mr. Camdessus joined the Treasury in the Ministry of Finance in I960. After serving as Financial Attache to the French delegation at the European Economic Community in Brussels from 1966 to 1968, he returned to the Treasury and went on to become Assistant Director in 1971, Deputy Director in 1974, and Director in February 1982. Mr. Camdessus was appointed as Managing Director and Chairman of the Executive Board of the IMF on January 16, 1987. On May 22, 1996, the Executive Board of the IMF unanimously selected him to serve a third five-year term as Managing Director, beginning January 16, 1997.
Aggregate Human Capital --- Aggregate Labor Productivity --- Banking --- Banks and Banking --- Banks and banking --- Banks --- Civil service & public sector --- Civil service --- Depository Institutions --- Employment --- Intergenerational Income Distribution --- Labor --- Micro Finance Institutions --- Mortgages --- Unemployment --- Wages --- France
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La bonne gouvernance est importante pour les pays, quel que soit leur niveau de développement. Notre approche consiste à donner la priorité aux aspects de la bonne gouvernance qui sont les plus pertinents pour la surveillance des politiques macroéconomiques : transparence des comptes de l'État, efficacité de la gestion des ressources publiques, stabilité et transparence de l'environnement économique et réglementaire de l'activité du secteur privé. Michael Camdessus, directeur général du FMI.
Administrative Processes in Public Organizations --- Aggregate Human Capital --- Aggregate Labor Productivity --- Bureaucracy --- Civil service & public sector --- Civil service reform --- Civil service --- Corporate crime --- Corruption --- Employment --- Intergenerational Income Distribution --- International Economics --- Macroeconomics --- Public Finance --- Unemployment --- Wages --- White-collar crime
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We show that a dynamic general equilibrium model with efficiency wages and endogenous capital accumulation in both the formal and (non-agricultural) informal sectors can explain the full range of confounding stylized facts associated with minimum wage laws in less developed countries.
Labor --- Macroeconomics --- Employment --- Unemployment --- Wages --- Intergenerational Income Distribution --- Aggregate Human Capital --- Aggregate Labor Productivity --- Labor Demand --- Wages, Compensation, and Labor Costs: General --- Labor Economics: General --- Labour --- income economics --- Real wages --- Informal employment --- Economic theory --- Labor economics --- South Africa
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