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Book
Dependency Rates and Private Savings Behavior in Developing Countries.
Authors: ---
ISBN: 1462387438 1455268615 Year: 1988 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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Abstract

A firm theoretical basis for the empirical relationship between dependency rates and savings behavior in developing countries is still lacking. Two demographic extensions of the representative household’s stochastic dynamic optimization problem are presented here. It is shown that the relationship between expected dependency rates and consumption growth depends on two parameters: the demographically varying committed consumption and the intertemporal elasticity of substitution. Thus, the expected path of demographic variables can provide information on the consumers’ willingness to smooth consumption, and on the savings responsiveness to changes in the real interest rate.


Book
Advancing Inclusive Growth in Cambodia
Authors: ---
ISBN: 151351492X 151351055X 1513514903 Year: 2019 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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We evaluate the impact of fiscal reforms on growth and inequality in Cambodia using a calibrated general equilibrium model with heterogeneous agents (Peralta-Alva et al., 2018). Over the last two decades, Cambodia’s consumption inequality and poverty have declined. However, income inequality is higher, and large gaps remain between urban and rural residents. At the same time, domestic revenue mobilization has improved substantially, but collection of tax revenue is biased towards non-progressive sources. We use the model to evaluate the growth and inequality impact of reforms that increase infrastructure spending by raising (i) VAT, (ii) property tax, or (iii) personal income tax. We find that using property taxes delivers the largest increase in GDP and reduction in inequality. Reaping the gains from property taxation will however require additional investments in tax administration.


Book
Indirect Taxation in Developing Countries : A General Equilibrium Approach
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ISBN: 1462321860 145529988X Year: 1986 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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Indirect taxes are an important element in stabilization tax packages that aim at raising revenue in the short run. This paper evaluates, by using a general equilibrium model, alternative instruments of indirect taxation in middle-income developing countries. It uses data for Thailand as an illustration and examines the effects on revenue, efficiency, equity, and international competitiveness. The paper shows that the interaction between taxes and distortions caused by various policies can be important for revenue and efficiency. It also reveals significant backward shifting and a link between outward-looking supply-side tax policies and trade policies in industrial countries.


Book
Income Distribution and Social Expenditure in Brazil
Author:
ISBN: 1462363032 1451995490 1282110772 9786613803658 1451899637 Year: 1997 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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This paper examines trends in income distribution in Brazil and the determinants of income inequality, including social expenditure. While recent data reveal reduced income inequality since the Real Plan of July 1994, the distribution of income is still among the most unequal in the world. Among the most important determinants of income inequality in Brazil is extreme disparity in educational attainment levels. Public expenditures on education, health, and social insurance have tended to exacerbate income inequality. A number of options for improving the equity and efficiency of Brazilian social expenditure merit further examination.


Book
Inflation and Income Distribution : Further Evidenceon Empirical Links
Authors: ---
ISBN: 1462394361 1455281794 128160030X 1455215082 9786613780997 Year: 1995 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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This paper examines the effects of inflation and associated financial instability on income distribution. Using both pooled cross country and single country time series models, the level of inflation, inflation variability, and the variability of the nominal exchange rate are shown to impact negatively on overall income equality. Looking at disaggregate measures of income distribution, the issue as to whether inflation is a progressive or regressive tax is found to be negatively correlated with the level of development and the sophistication of the financial structure. The paper argues that these results point towards financial variables as a partial way of rectifying the generally poor explanatory power of both cross-country and time series models of income distribution.


Book
Explaining Consumption : A Simple Test of Alternative Hypotheses
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ISBN: 1462374239 1452759359 1283556286 1451894503 9786613868732 Year: 1997 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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Abstract

A method of testing the relative importance for consumption of risk sharing behavior and changes in current income is proposed and estimated using data across Canadian provinces. The focus of the estimation is less on whether or not the risk sharing model can be rejected than on how much each of these hypotheses can contribute to explaining overall variation in consumption. Both types of behavior are found to be statistically significant, but the risk sharing model is found to explain considerably more of the growth in consumption than does changes in income.


Book
The Distributional Consequences of Real Exchange Rate Adjustment
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ISBN: 1462351913 1452788561 1282107011 1451900732 9786613800367 Year: 2003 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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The paper focuses on distributional consequences of macroeconomic adjustment. The preferences of economic agents over the level of the real exchange rate derived from standard models are monotonic, with agents favoring either an infinitely appreciated or depreciated rate. To generate less extreme preferences, a model is presented where appreciation would depress economic activity, while a large depreciation would hit the tradable sector by limiting the availability of labor, offsetting the favorable price effect. The model is in the spirit of the dependent economy model, but built on explicit microfoundations. The results can be used to analyze political economy aspects of macroeconomic adjustment.


Book
Private Saving in Colombia
Authors: ---
ISBN: 1462338763 1452762309 1282061232 9786613799166 1451903723 Year: 1998 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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Abstract

This paper studies the main determinants of the sharp decline in Colombia’s private saving rate which accompanied the steep deterioration of the country’s external current account deficit in the 1990s. The paper rejects current arguments pointing to a consumption boom and corporate behavior as the main causes of the decline. It concludes that: private consumption, explained mainly by permanent income, has only increased moderately in the 1990s; household behavior—not corporate behavior—determines private saving; and tax increases do not entirely explain the fall of private saving. Thus, reliance on external saving could be reduced by increasing public saving.


Book
Price Measurement and Mismeasurement in Central Asia
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ISBN: 146234593X 1455212172 1281994227 9786613794840 1455273600 Year: 1995 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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Abstract

The vertiginous increases in the overall price level and dramatic swings in relative prices experienced by Kazakhstan, the Kyrgyz Republic, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, and Uzbekistan since the onset of the transition rendered their traditional Paasche retail price indices obsolete and called for the introduction of Laspeyres consumer price indices. While the latter represent a major improvement, several measurement or interpretation issues remain, reflecting various potential index number biases, dispersion of prices and inflation across geographical areas and social groups, discontinuities in the inflation process, residual shortages, and seasonality.


Book
Factors Affecting Saving, Policy tools, and Tax Reform : A Review.
Authors: ---
ISBN: 1462396453 145528680X Year: 1989 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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Abstract

This paper reviews the literature on factors which affect saving and capital formation in industrialized countries. Problems of measurement are briefly examined. Evidence of the effect on the rate of saving of real rates of return, income redistribution, allocation of saving between corporations and individuals, growth of public and private pension plans, tax incentives, and many other factors ranging from the bequest motive to energy prices and inflation, is considered. Given this evidence, the limited tools available to policymakers to affect savings are discussed. Finally, the extent to which recent tax reforms in a number of countries appear to have been affected by the desire to increase saving is reviewed.

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