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Teacher turnover --- Teachers --- Supply and demand

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"Recently, many state governments have legislated reductions in teachers' retirement benefits for new and future employees as a means of addressing the large unfunded liabilities of their pension plans. However, there is little existing capacity to predict how these unprecedented pension reforms--and, more broadly, changes to teacher compensation--will affect teacher turnover and teacher experience mix, which, in turn, could affect the cost and efficacy of the public education system. This research develops a modeling capability to begin filling that gap. The authors develop and estimate a stochastic dynamic programming model to analyze the relationship between compensation, including retirement benefits, and retention over the career of Chicago public school teachers. The structural modeling approach used was first developed at RAND for the purpose of studying the relationship between military compensation and the retention of military personnel and is called the dynamic retention model, or DRM. Although the peer-reviewed literature on teachers includes research on retirement benefits and the timing of retirement, the research does not model compensation and retention over the length of the career from entry to exit (into retirement or an alternative career), and it has limited capability to predict the effect of compensation and retirement benefit changes on retention. By comparison, the DRM is well suited to these tasks, and the DRM specification developed here for Chicago teachers fits their career retention profile well." --

Teacher turnover --- Teachers --- Mathematical models. --- Pensions

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Teacher turnover --- Private schools --- Teachers --- Teachers --- Attitudes. --- Job satisfaction

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Teachers have come under increasing scrutiny over the past several years as part of the continuing national debate on the quality and appropriateness of American schooling. Discussion has focused on the quality of the teaching force, the adequacy of teacher compensation, the potential for teacher shortages, and the patterns and magnitude of teacher attrition. This study focuses on Indiana public school teachers, using data that cover 24 years. Among the specific issues that the report addresses are (1) whether teachers are leaving the profession at growing rates; (2) the roles compensation and working conditions play in retaining teachers in the profession; (3) whether shortages of teachers are likely; (4) whether more attractive job opportunities are increasing attrition rates for women teachers; (5) what types of teachers stay longest in the profession; and (6) how attrition rates differ by subject taught. The findings indicate that teacher attrition rates are at their lowest level in 25 years. Female attrition rates have fallen much faster than male rates. This trend is attributable to the increasing labor force participation of women. Another demographic trend that has contributed to reducing teacher attrition is the greater proportion of entering teachers who are older. Finally, the analysis shows that teacher compensation and working conditions significantly affect attrition. Over the next ten years, teacher attrition rates should remain low, provided that pay levels are maintained in real terms.

Teacher turnover --- Teachers --- Longitudinal studies. --- Supply and demand

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Teachers --- Teacher turnover --- Educational surveys --- Supply and demand