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Dissertation
The determination of circuity factors in Europe: estimating road travel distances for logistics applications
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Year: 2020 Publisher: Leuven KU Leuven. Faculteit Economie en Bedrijfswetenschappen

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Abstract

Computing capacity and processing power increases every day. Data are accessible to industry professionals with ease and this trend offers opportunities for the freight transportation sector. In particular, distances and transportation costs can be estimated using tailored circuity factors. A circuity factor is defined as the ratio of the network distance over the straight-line distance, where the network distance is derived from a freight traffic route. In this research, a vehicle routing method is developed that constructs optimal transportation routes in graphs that represent real-world road networks. Next, more than one million routes are simulated to arrive at estimated circuity factors for different regions in Europe, that later can be used in logistics applications. Hence, the computer program determines the optimal route with the freight logistics industry in mind. This setting translates in more circuitous routes, but this is outweighed by avoiding inefficient urban traffic. The results demonstrate the importance of using suiting network-based circuity factors rather than straight-line distances when studying supply chains. They also underscore the importance of differentiating between diverse regions when determining circuity factors.

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Dissertation
Carbon emissions in the logistics sector: analyzing the effect of fiscal and regulatory policies on renewable energy
Authors: --- --- ---
Year: 2022 Publisher: Leuven KU Leuven. Faculteit Economie en Bedrijfswetenschappen

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The increase of intensity of the logistics sector and the impact of global warming are raising the need for more sustainable types of freight transportation. Therefore, more renewable energy sources and greener transportation modes are needed in the road transportation sector. Fiscal and regulatory policies are introduced to reduce the number of carbon emissions caused by road freight transportation. In this thesis, a theoretical model is established that examines several fiscal and regulatory policies in the market for the demand for different transportation modes, which consist of electric and diesel heavy trucks. These policies are analyzed along with their impacts on the economic surplus, such as the reduction of CO2 emissions, the promotion of electric heavy goods vehicles production, the effect on the consumers, and the impacts on the government income. Research on the impact of these policies, combined with a numerical analysis, shows the following results. The carbon tax is proven to be the most efficacious in reducing the amount of carbon emissions and has a positive impact on the number of electric heavy trucks in the market. Although the subsidy and renewables portfolio mandate increase the number of electric heavy trucks in the market, these policies achieve to reduce carbon emissions in a less efficient approach and have a more negative impact on the economic surplus. These outcomes can be used strategically for policymakers to implement the most effective incentives in the road transportation sector.

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Dissertation
The impact of order consolidation on a multimodal network using synchromodal scheduling
Authors: --- --- ---
Year: 2020 Publisher: Leuven KU Leuven. Faculteit Economie en Bedrijfswetenschappen

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The transport sector is the largest emitter of greenhouse gas in the EU-28, especially driven by the preference of shippers for carbon-intensive road transport. In addition, increasing customer expectations lead to more frequent shipments of lower volumes, resulting in low fill rates of containers, high transport costs and additional environmental pollution. This increasing environmental impact induces a need for new transport policies. One of these new and promising transport policies to stimulate modal shifts, to minimize the environmental impact and to reduce the costs for Logistic Service Providers (LSP) is synchromodal scheduling. Within this thesis, the synergies between synchromodal scheduling and consolidation of orders on goods level are researched by proposing a mathematical model. Synchromodal scheduling makes use of multiple transport modalities to construct the transport schedule and offers the LSP the freedom to change the transport plan at any moment based on real-time information. A Markov Decision Process is used to formulate a synchromodal scheduling model, which optimizes the daily transport plan of the LSP with stochastic demand information by minimizing total costs, while investigating the opportunities of order consolidation. The goal of the model is to find an optimal policy, which defines the decisions that should be taken in a certain time period given the current state of the system. In a series of numerical experiments, the potential cost savings, the reduced environmental impact and the reliability of the transport system of the developed model are shown.

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Dissertation
Determining the Optimal Frequency and Capacity Reservation for Rail Services on a Hinterland Synchromodal Corridor
Authors: --- --- ---
Year: 2022 Publisher: Leuven KU Leuven. Faculteit Economie en Bedrijfswetenschappen

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Under pressure from various stakeholders, logistics service providers (LSPs) continuously strive for more cheap, flexible, and environmentally friendly ways of transporting freight. One way to increase the economic and environmental performance of freight logistics is to shift freight volumes from road to rail transportation. However, train services typically have less flexibility due to longer shipping times, predefined schedules, and capacity that needs to be reserved in advance. For that reason, this thesis takes the perspective of an LSP and aims to determine the optimal frequency and capacity level for rail services on a hinterland corridor when road transportation is the only alternative. Since the frequency and capacity booking decision on rail services must be taken months in advance, the exact details of future orders are unknown. Therefore, a mixed-integer linear programming model is developed that considers probabilistic knowledge of future orders and determines the optimal capacity to be reserved on rail services. The numerical experiments reveal that an optimal train frequency and corresponding capacity level exists that minimizes overall costs for an LSP. Next, sensitivity analyses on carbon taxes and overdue penalty costs are performed. These analyses demonstrate that carbon taxes stimulate the use of greener trains and that overdue penalties increase the LSP’s service level. Furthermore, the analysis concludes that the decision concerning the optimal train frequency is mainly a trade-off between providing high service quality and endeavouring low environmental damage. As a result, this study concludes that increasing the scale of the LSP or i.e. bundling more orders is the only way to ameliorate the service level, environmental performance, and economic performance at the same time.

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Dissertation
Challenges in bicycle traffic modeling
Authors: --- --- ---
Year: 2020 Publisher: Leuven KU Leuven. Faculteit Economie en Bedrijfswetenschappen

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The bicycle as a mode of transport has seen a massive increase in popularity due to its health benefits, low cost, durability and ecological sustainability. Governments worldwide are opening up to its potential by implementing cycling infrastructure and promoting the use of the bicycle for short-distance travel. Striving towards an optimal implementation, policy makers can utilize traffic models to simulate the effects of infrastructure, before it is put into place. Though car traffic models have been studied extensively in the past, studies concerning bicycle traffic are limited. In this thesis, a literature review investigates how the traffic flow of bicycles can be modeled with traditional car flow models. As the route choice model used in car traffic simulators is too simplistic to correctly model cyclists’ behavior, a bicycle specific traffic simulator is necessary. The MATSim model, an open source traffic simulator, can be edited to utilize a route choice model for cyclists based on factors such as slope, cycling infrastructure and road surface, making it a well-performing bicycle traffic. A case study for the city of Leuven exemplifies how the bicycle traffic model based on MATSim can be applied for policy-making.

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Dissertation
Inventory management for meal-kit services under uncertain demand
Authors: --- --- ---
Year: 2023 Publisher: Leuven KU Leuven. Faculteit Economie en Bedrijfswetenschappen

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This thesis develops an inventory model to manage multiple perishable products, each with a fixed maximum shelf life, in the context of meal-kit services. Using a scenario-based approach on a stochastic demand to capture uncertainty, the proposed mixed integer linear programming (MILP) model determines the optimal order quantities for ingredients in the different meal-kits. This occurs periodically over a finite horizon. To satisfy the demand, using a First-In, First-Out (FIFO) depletion policy, so-called last-minute orders can be ordered at a higher cost in case there are shortages once the actual demand is revealed. The meal-kit service faces a typical tradeoff: it will either have significant waste levels or high last-minute order costs. The functioning of the MILP is tested by implementing the model in a Julia script with the Gurobi solver, using test data to analyze the trends obtained by perturbations of different parameters. The model shows that offering more recipes per period does not necessarily result in higher costs. It is also advisable for the meal-kit service to obtain the best demand forecasts as possible. However, the results indicate that there is no need to have an extremely large number of scenarios, causing high computational costs, to capture the demand uncertainty more accurately since the effect only improves up to a certain level. Lastly, an additional extension to the model incorporates demand forecasts of multiple periods (instead of only one period) in the optimization model.

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Dissertation
The Covid-19 Crisis: The Impact of Containment Policies on the Maritime Supply Chain
Authors: --- --- ---
Year: 2021 Publisher: Leuven KU Leuven. Faculteit Economie en Bedrijfswetenschappen

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The Covid-19 pandemic caused, aside to the crisis in the public health sector, an immense disruption in the maritime supply chain. To limit the transmission of the Coronavirus, several containment policies, such as school and workplace closures, stay at home requirements and closed international borders were imposed. Consequently, companies experienced material, equipment and labor shortages and unpredictable lead times. At the same time, ports encountered ocean blank sailings, scarcity of labor and the mandatory quarantining of crew members. As a result, port activity was heavily interrupted. This research aims at understanding and quantifying the losses in port activity by doing an empirical analysis based on the number of port calls and traded quantity per product category. Moreover, when the losses and gains in port activity are estimated, a statistical analysis is executed to examine which containment policy accounts for the most of this change in port activity. The results of this thesis demonstrate that an obvious decrease occurred between 2019 and 2020 in port calls and traded quantity through ports. Both are considered as indicators of port activity. However no uniform trend can be distinguished over all the months and the geographical areas. A statistical analysis based on empirical real-time data demonstrates that the overall level of strictness has a significant negative impact on the port activity with and without delay. Nonetheless, it appears that not every containment policy’s impact is the same. ‘Stay at home requirements’, ‘School Closings’ and ‘Workplace Closing’ are the containment policies that interrupt the port activity the most in a negative way.

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Dissertation
Synchromodality in the physical internet: real-time switching in a multimodal network with stochastic transit times

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Environmental concerns raise the need for more efficiency and sustainability in the freight transportation sector. For this purpose, the Physical Internet is introduced, which aims to connect logistics networks into one hyperconnected supernetwork. To transport freight over such an integrated network, the innovative concept of synchromodality is presented. Synchromodality is defined by the usage of multiple modalities when planning shipments, where real-time switching between transportation modes is possible. In this thesis, a synchromodal planning model is developed that constructs optimal transportation routes in a multimodal network with stochastic transit times, formulated as a mixed-integer linear programming problem. To cope with this transit time stochasticity, transportation routes are adapted in accordance to real-time information about the transit time outcomes. Hence, the model determines the optimal decision to be taken in a terminal depending on the realized transit time. A numerical study demonstrates the potential advantages of real-time planning adaptation in terms of costs, service quality and environmental impact.

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Dissertation
Dual Sourcing in a Synchromodal Transport
Authors: --- --- ---
Year: 2023 Publisher: Leuven KU Leuven. Faculteit Economie en Bedrijfswetenschappen

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Dual sourcing is common practice in supply chain management that not only can reduce the total logistics costs but also the environmental impact of freight transportation. Using dual sourcing strategy, a company simultaneously orders (e.g., raw materials) from two different supply sources, (i) a slow and less flexible, but cheaper and greener supplier, and (ii) a fast and more flexible, but more expensive and pollutant. The objective of this thesis is to develop a quantitative model that optimize the modal split between transportation modes such that minimizing the long-run average total logistical costs. The proposed model extends the synchromodal model studied in the literature by taking into account several realistic aspects of the transportation problem. First, this thesis considers varying delivery frequency for the two transportation modes. Second, the model considers the reality that slow transport mode may have delays along the route. The model is solved by using simulation-based optimization through a search for all possible combinations of order quantity and order-up-to-level over a simulation time horizon. Furthermore, this thesis conducts a set of sensitivity analyses in order to evaluate the impact of various settings of product unit price and standard deviation of the demand. From the case study, it is shown that the extended model is able to maximize the share of slow transportation mode with lower total logistics costs

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Dissertation
Inventory Management in a Synchromodal Transport Network
Authors: --- --- ---
Year: 2023 Publisher: Leuven KU Leuven. Faculteit Economie en Bedrijfswetenschappen

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Global supply chains face mounting pressure to transition to sustainable transport modes in order to address the challenges posed by climate change. In response to this concern, synchromodal transport is emerging as a solution to enhance the economic and environmental efficiency of logistics networks. Synchromodality refers to the dynamic and adaptive selection of transport modes based on real-time information about the supply chain conditions. At the basis of synchromodality lies the concept of the Physical Internet, which refers to the digital and physical interconnectivity of logistics networks into one integrated supply system. This thesis contributes to the field by developing an inventory replenishment heuristic tailored to synchromodal transport systems. The heuristic is designed to effectively integrate a sustainable and cost-efficient, yet inflexible, transport mode with a flexible transport mode that has a higher economic and environmental cost. The model considers a scenario where replenishment orders are initially transported by rail transport and can be (partially) expedited through transshipment to road transport. The heuristic has a nested order-up-to structure and the parameters are optimized by means of exhaustive search simulation, with the objective of optimizing the Total Logistics Costs (TLC). A numerical analysis demonstrates promising performance in terms of TLC and emissions compared to unimodal, intermodal and dual sourcing policies.

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