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Although the rest of the world had waited a long time for China to open up, feelings were mixed when it actually did and began to integrate rapidly with the world economy. With the country’s recent accession to the World Trade Organization (WTO), many of its trading partners are increasingly concerned that China’s competition in the world goods and capital markets may adversely affect their own growth prospects. This paper examines the implications of China’s WTO accession for other developing countries in the context of the country’s long-term process of growth and opening up. The paper argues that China’s integration into the world economy will inevitably impose adjustment costs on its trading partners in the short-to-medium term, but the benefits it generates are likely to dominate in the long run.
Exports and Imports --- Taxation --- Trade Policy --- International Trade Organizations --- Empirical Studies of Trade --- Economic Integration --- Trade: General --- International Investment --- Long-term Capital Movements --- International economics --- Finance --- Public finance & taxation --- Exports --- Imports --- Foreign direct investment --- Tariffs --- Trade barriers --- International trade --- Balance of payments --- Taxes --- Investments, Foreign --- Tariff --- Commercial policy --- China, People's Republic of
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While global rebalancing will mainly involve structural realignment among major advanced and emerging market economies, it could have significant impact on low-income countries (LICs). Simulations using a global general equilibrium model show that a more balanced global economy would tend to improve the current account balance in LICs with limited impact on domestic output. However, there could be adverse terms of trade effects on some LICs as the prices of manufactured goods rise. On the other hand, such prices increases could provide an impetus to export diversification in many LICs, raising growth in the long run. The output and terms of trade effects would be significantly amplified if structural adjustment is impeded by factor immobility and other rigidities.
International finance --- International monetary system --- International money --- Finance --- International economic relations --- Econometric models. --- Developing countries --- Emerging nations --- Fourth World --- Global South --- LDC's --- Least developed countries --- Less developed countries --- Newly industrialized countries --- Newly industrializing countries --- NICs (Newly industrialized countries) --- Third World --- Underdeveloped areas --- Underdeveloped countries --- Economic conditions. --- Economic conditions --- Investments: Commodities --- Exports and Imports --- Foreign Exchange --- Trade: General --- Empirical Studies of Trade --- Commodity Markets --- International economics --- Currency --- Foreign exchange --- Investment & securities --- Exports --- Real exchange rates --- Terms of trade --- Trade balance --- Commodities --- International trade --- Economic policy --- nternational cooperation --- Balance of trade --- Commercial products --- China, People's Republic of --- Nternational cooperation
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Improving market access in industrial countries and retaining preferences have been Africa's two key objectives in the Doha Round trade negotiations. This paper argues that African negotiators may have overlooked the potential market access gains in developing countries, where trade barriers remain relatively high and demand for African imports has expanded substantially over the past decades. As reductions in most-favored-nation tariffs in industrial countries will inevitably lead to preference erosion, African countries need to ensure that the Doha Round leads to liberalization in all sectors by all World Trade Organization (WTO) members, so that the resulting gains will offset any losses. Such an outcome is more likely if African countries also offer to liberalize their own trade regimes and focus on reciprocal liberalization as a negotiation strategy rather on preferential and differential treatment.
Exports and Imports --- Taxation --- Trade Policy --- International Trade Organizations --- Trade: General --- International economics --- Public finance & taxation --- Exports --- Tariffs --- Trade policy --- Agricultural exports --- Imports --- International trade --- Taxes --- Tariff --- Commercial policy --- United States
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Current U.S. trade policy stresses establishing free trade areas (FTAs) with partners spanning the globe. Motivations include enhancing goods and services trade; stimulating investment flows; extending standards on intellectual property rights, labor, and the environment; and addressing geopolitical concerns. Simulations of FTAs with the United States highlight the importance of trade complementarity, trade diversion, and welfare losses for nonmembers. Agriculture and textiles play a central role in determining welfare outcomes. Initial improvement in market access enjoyed by participants could be eroded progressively as global liberalization proceeds, and this preference erosion might act as a disincentive to participate in multilateral liberalization.
Regionalism --- Free trade --- Commercial policy. --- Foreign trade policy --- International trade --- International trade policy --- Trade policy --- Economic policy --- International economic relations --- Government policy --- United States --- Exports and Imports --- Simulation Methods --- Economic Integration --- Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance: Forecasting and Simulation --- Trade Policy --- International Trade Organizations --- Trade: General --- International economics --- Trade liberalization --- Exports --- Imports --- Trading arrangements --- North American Free Trade Agreement --- Commercial policy --- Commercial treaties
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This paper evaluates the effects on the Bangladeshi economy of phasing out textile and clothing (T&C) quotas currently maintained by industrial countries. The planned abolition of the quotas under the Agreement on Textiles and Clothing in 2005 will alter the competitiveness of various exporting countries. Bangladesh relies heavily on textile and clothing exports and is potentially very vulnerable to this change in competitiveness. Based on assessments of quota restrictiveness and export similarity, and an analysis of its supply constraints, the paper concludes that Bangladesh could face significant pressure on its balance of payments, output, and employment when the quotas are eliminated.
Textile industry --- Clothing trade --- Apparel industry --- Clothiers --- Clothing industry --- Fashion industry --- Garment industry --- Rag trade --- Tailors --- Textile industry and fabrics --- Textiles industry --- Manufacturing industries --- Exports and Imports --- Finance: General --- Trade Policy --- International Trade Organizations --- Empirical Studies of Trade --- Trade: Forecasting and Simulation --- Trade: General --- International Investment --- Long-term Capital Movements --- General Financial Markets: General (includes Measurement and Data) --- International economics --- Finance --- Exports --- Export performance --- Imports --- Foreign direct investment --- Competition --- International trade --- Balance of payments --- Financial markets --- Investments, Foreign --- Bangladesh
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Trade and financial ties between low-income countries (LICs) and Brazil, Russia, India, and China (BRICs) have expanded rapidly in recent years. This gives rise to the potential for growth to spill over from the latter to the former. We employ a global vector autoregression (GVAR) model to investigate the extent of business cycle transmission from BRICs to LICs through both direct (FDI, trade, productivity, exchange rates) and indirect (global commodity prices, demand, and interest rates) channels. The estimation results show that there are significant direct spillovers while indirect spillovers also matters in many cases. Based on these results, we show that growing LIC-BRIC ties have significantly helped alleviate the adverse impact of the recent global financial crisis on LIC economies.
Economic development--Developing countries--Econometric models. --- Economic development--Econometric models. --- Developing countries. --- Econometrics --- Exports and Imports --- Macroeconomics --- Time-Series Models --- Dynamic Quantile Regressions --- Dynamic Treatment Effect Models --- Diffusion Processes --- State Space Models --- General Aggregative Models: Forecasting and Simulation --- Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance: Forecasting and Simulation --- Externalities --- Commodity Markets --- Energy: Demand and Supply --- Prices --- International Investment --- Long-term Capital Movements --- Econometrics & economic statistics --- Finance --- Spillovers --- Commodity prices --- Vector autoregression --- Oil prices --- Foreign direct investment --- Financial sector policy and analysis --- Econometric analysis --- Balance of payments --- International finance --- Investments, Foreign --- United States --- Economic development --- Econometric models.
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Agriculture and state --- Agriculture --- Food supply --- Economic aspects --- China --- Economic policy
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Regional trade arrangements (RTAs) in Africa have been ineffective in promoting trade and foreign direct investment. Relatively high external trade barriers and low resource complementarity between member countries limit both intra- and extraregional trade. Small market size, poor transport facilities and high trading costs make it difficult for African countries to reap the potential benefits of RTAs. To increase regional trade and investment, African countries need to undertake more broad-based liberalization and streamline existing RTAs, supported by improvements in infrastructure and trade facilitation. Early action to strengthen the domestic revenue base would help address concerns over revenue losses from trade liberalization.
Electronic books. -- local. --- International Monetary Fund -- Africa. --- Investments, Foreign -- Africa. --- Trade blocs -- Africa. --- Exports and Imports --- Taxation --- International Economics --- Trade Policy --- International Trade Organizations --- Trade: General --- International economics --- Public finance & taxation --- International trade & commerce --- Trade liberalization --- Tariffs --- Trade facilitation --- Exports --- Trade barriers --- Commercial policy --- Tariff --- Customs administration --- United States --- Trade blocs --- Investments, Foreign --- International Monetary Fund
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Flows of development financing from the BRICs (Brazil, Russia, India, and China) to low income countries (LICs) have surged in recent years. Unlike aid from traditional donors, BRICs (excluding Russia) view their financing as primarily based on the principles of South-South cooperation, focusing on mutual benefits without attachment of policy conditionality. This paper provides an overview of the philosophies and modalities of BRIC financing and examines their implications for LIC economies and future LIC-BRIC engagement.
Economic development projects --- Economic history --- Development projects, Economic --- Projects, Economic development --- Economic assistance --- Technical assistance --- Economic conditions --- History, Economic --- Economics --- Public investments --- Finance. --- BRIC countries --- Big Four countries --- BRICS countries --- Economic conditions. --- Exports and Imports --- Financial Risk Management --- Infrastructure --- Social Services and Welfare --- Public Finance --- Foreign Aid --- Investment --- Capital --- Intangible Capital --- Capacity --- International Lending and Debt Problems --- Government Policy --- Provision and Effects of Welfare Program --- Debt --- Debt Management --- Sovereign Debt --- National Government Expenditures and Related Policies: Infrastructures --- Other Public Investment and Capital Stock --- International economics --- Macroeconomics --- Social welfare & social services --- Finance --- Public finance & taxation --- Development assistance --- Debt sustainability --- Poverty reduction --- Debt relief --- Foreign aid --- National accounts --- External debt --- Poverty --- Public investment and public-private partnerships (PPP) --- Expenditure --- International relief --- Debts, External --- Saving and investment --- Public-private sector cooperation --- China, People's Republic of
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