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Scripts of terror : the stories terrorists tell themselves
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ISBN: 0197530974 019753614X Year: 2020 Publisher: New York, New York : Oxford University Press,

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Understanding the Ministry of Defence's Wider Contribution to UK Prosperity: Measuring Defence Output
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Year: 2021 Publisher: Santa Monica, Calif. RAND Corporation

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Despite the growing policy emphasis on understanding the value of UK defence, assessing the primary benefits of defence remains a challenge. Defence is inherently complex, and it remains difficult to prove that the non-occurrence of an event (e.g. a conflict) is directly related to the existence of defence capabilities and activities. Linked to these challenges, connecting defence activity and output to defence outcomes and benefits remains elusive. This study has explored the potential of five methodologies (lines of enquiry — LOEs) to measure the contribution of defence to UK prosperity in terms of its primary benefits (i.e. protection from external threats). These are: LOE1 — defence analogue to Quality Adjusted Life Years (QALYs) LOE2 — Value of a Statistical Life (VSL) measures; LOE3 — insurance policy techniques; LOE4 — logic models and proxy indicators; and LOE5 — discrete choice experiments (DCEs). This study has identified a range of insights for the Ministry of Defence on how to apply and further develop these methodologies towards measuring the primary benefits of defence. This study has been exploratory, and it was expected that not all approaches would be viable.

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Strategic advantage in a competitive age: Definitions, dynamics and implications

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Strategic competition and the pursuit of strategic advantage are foundational concepts in UK, U.S. and Allied strategy and policy documents. However, there is no universally agreed definition or theory of strategic advantage, what it comprises, and how it works. This risks strategies, policies, plans, and behaviours being built on faulty assumptions. Given these conceptual and definitional issues, the Secretary of State's Office for Net Assessment and Challenge (SONAC) in the UK Ministry of Defence (MOD) commissioned RAND Europe to offer an independent, evidence-based perspective and refine the current working definition of strategic advantage. The RAND-led team, which also drew in leading academics, did so through the application of a multi-method research approach involving the development of a series of twelve historical case studies and a series of expert workshops. This study explored the types of strategic advantage held by different actors, the ways in which these can been gained and/or lost, and the ways in which nations seek to maintain and exploit their advantages in practice as part of great power competition.

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