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This paper assesses countries' compliance with the Anti-Money Laundering and Combating the Financing of Terrorism (AML/CFT) international standard during the period 2004 to 2011. We find that overall compliance is low; there is an adverse impact on financial transparency created by the cumulative effects of poor implementation of standards on customer identification; and the current measurements of compliance do not take into account an analysis of ML/FT risk, thereby undermining their credibility and the relevance of some of the policy recommendations taken on their basis. Moreover, we also examine the key role of some cultural, institutional, and financial factors in boosting countries' compliance using econometric analysis.
Money laundering --- Terrorism --- Acts of terrorism --- Attacks, Terrorist --- Global terrorism --- International terrorism --- Political terrorism --- Terror attacks --- Terrorist acts --- Terrorist attacks --- World terrorism --- Direct action --- Insurgency --- Political crimes and offenses --- Subversive activities --- Political violence --- Terror --- Anti-terrorism --- Antiterrorism --- Counter-terrorism --- Counterterrorism --- Laundering of money --- Money washing --- Washing of money --- Commercial crimes --- Prevention. --- Prevention --- Standards. --- Public Finance --- Industries: Financial Services --- Criminology --- Economics of Regulation --- International Law --- Financial Institutions and Services: Government Policy and Regulation --- Banks --- Depository Institutions --- Micro Finance Institutions --- Mortgages --- Illegal Behavior and the Enforcement of Law --- Taxation, Subsidies, and Revenue: General --- Trade Policy --- International Trade Organizations --- Financial Institutions and Services: General --- Corporate crime --- white-collar crime --- Public finance & taxation --- Anti-money laundering and combating the financing of terrorism (AML/CFT) --- Legal support in revenue administration --- Post-clearance customs audit --- Financial sector --- Revenue --- Customs administration --- Financial services industry --- White-collar crime
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This paper studies the transmission of crime shocks to the economy in a sample of 32 Mexican states over the period from 1993 to 2012. The paper uses a panel structural VAR approach which accounts for the heterogeneity of the dynamic state level responses in GDP, FDI and international migration flows, and measures the transmission via the impulse response of homicide rates. The approach also allows the study of the pattern of economic responses among states. In particular, the percentage of GDP devoted to new construction and the perception of public security are characteristics that are shown to be associated with the sign and magnitude of the responses of economic variables to crime shocks.
Business. --- Crime -- Economic aspects -- Mexico. --- Mexico -- Economic conditions -- 1982. --- Mexico -- Social conditions -- 1982. --- Social Welfare & Social Work --- Social Sciences --- Criminology, Penology & Juvenile Delinquency --- Econometrics --- Exports and Imports --- Criminology --- Emigration and Immigration --- Macroeconomic Analyses of Economic Development --- Formal and Informal Sectors --- Shadow Economy --- Institutional Arrangements --- Economywide Country Studies: Latin America --- Caribbean --- Regional Economic Activity: Growth, Development, and Changes --- Illegal Behavior and the Enforcement of Law --- International Investment --- Long-term Capital Movements --- International Migration --- Time-Series Models --- Dynamic Quantile Regressions --- Dynamic Treatment Effect Models --- Diffusion Processes --- State Space Models --- Crime & criminology --- Finance --- Econometrics & economic statistics --- Migration, immigration & emigration --- Crime --- Foreign direct investment --- Migration --- Structural vector autoregression --- Vector autoregression --- Balance of payments --- Population and demographics --- Econometric analysis --- Crime--Economic aspects --- Investments, Foreign --- Emigration and immigration --- Mexico
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This paper argues that oil revenue management and public investment in Congo are vulnerable to corruption as a result of limited transparency and accountability. Corruption has potentially contributed to poor macro-fiscal outcomes. The paper acknowledges the authorities’ anti-corruption efforts made so far and proposes further critical reforms to reduce remaining vulnerabilities. Using a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model results show that, depending on the reforms adopted, the potential additional growth can range between 0.8 to 1.8 percent per year over the next 10 years, and debt can decline by 2.25 to 3 percent of GDP per year over the same period. These results suggest that macrofiscal gains from anti-corruption reforms could be substantial even under conservative reform scenarios.
Corporations --- Corporate bribery --- Corporate corruption --- Corporate crime --- Business ethics --- Commercial crimes --- Corrupt practices. --- Investments: Energy --- Public Finance --- Taxation --- Criminology --- Exhaustible Resources and Economic Development --- Hydrocarbon Resources --- Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook: General --- Bureaucracy --- Administrative Processes in Public Organizations --- Corruption --- National Government Expenditures and Related Policies: Infrastructures --- Other Public Investment and Capital Stock --- Energy: General --- Business Taxes and Subsidies --- Public finance & taxation --- Investment & securities --- white-collar crime --- Oil --- Public investment spending --- Public investment and public-private partnerships (PPP) --- Oil, gas and mining taxes --- Commodities --- Crime --- Expenditure --- Taxes --- Petroleum industry and trade --- Public investments --- Public-private sector cooperation --- Congo, Democratic Republic of the --- White-collar crime
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This paper investigates the relationship between unrecorded economic activity associated with the production of illicit coca and formally recorded economic activity in Peru. It does so by attempting to construct new regional level estimates for coca production and by implementing recently developed panel time series methods that are robust to regional heterogeneity and unobserved regional inter-dependencies. The paper finds that on balance illicit coca production crowds out formal sector production at the regional level, regardless of whether unanticipated changes occur nationally or regionally. However, total output nevertheless increases, since formal sector production is crowded out less than one for one.
Informal sector (Economics) --- Coca industry --- Coca leaf industry --- Peru --- Economic conditions. --- Macroeconomics --- Public Finance --- Economywide Country Studies: Latin America --- Caribbean --- Regional Economic Activity: Growth, Development, and Changes --- Illegal Behavior and the Enforcement of Law --- International Relations and International Political Economy: General --- Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models: Models with Panel Data --- Macroeconomics: Consumption --- Saving --- Wealth --- Taxation, Subsidies, and Revenue: General --- Debt --- Debt Management --- Sovereign Debt --- National Government Expenditures and Related Policies: Infrastructures --- Other Public Investment and Capital Stock --- Price Level --- Inflation --- Deflation --- Public finance & taxation --- Consumption --- Legal support in revenue administration --- Government debt management --- Public investment spending --- Consumer price indexes --- National accounts --- Revenue administration --- Public financial management (PFM) --- Expenditure --- Prices --- Economics --- Revenue --- Debts, Public --- Public investments --- Price indexes
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