Listing 1 - 10 of 11 | << page >> |
Sort by
|
Choose an application
The Czech Republic has embarked on an ambitious tax reform and expenditure package to bring the deficit sustainably below 3 percent, and intends to reduce the deficit to 1 percent of GDP by 2012. To address the long-term fiscal challenge due to population aging, pension reform proposals are also being considered. In this paper we assess the macroeconomic effects of these measures using the Global Fiscal Model. The tax reform package will achieve a more efficient tax system. If implemented successfully with the intended expenditure savings measures, debt is projected to improve markedly while output would expand. Fiscal sustainability will not be restored, however, even if further measures to bring the deficit to 1 percent of GDP by 2012. Instead, raising the retirement age and prefunding future aging costs would be needed to keep debt below 60 percent of GDP through 2050.
Taxation --- Pensions --- Debts, Public --- Fiscal policy --- Economic development --- Development, Economic --- Economic growth --- Growth, Economic --- Tax policy --- Debts, Government --- Government debts --- National debts --- Public debt --- Public debts --- Sovereign debt --- Compensation --- Pension plans --- Retirement pensions --- Superannuation --- Duties --- Fee system (Taxation) --- Tax reform --- Taxation, Incidence of --- Taxes --- Government policy --- Economic policy --- Economics --- Statics and dynamics (Social sciences) --- Development economics --- Resource curse --- Finance, Public --- Debt --- Bonds --- Deficit financing --- Retirement income --- Annuities --- Social security individual investment accounts --- Vested benefits --- Revenue --- Macroeconomics --- Public Finance --- Demography --- Personal Income and Other Nonbusiness Taxes and Subsidies --- Fiscal Policy --- National Government Expenditures and Related Policies: General --- Economics of the Elderly --- Economics of the Handicapped --- Non-labor Market Discrimination --- Macroeconomics: Consumption --- Saving --- Wealth --- Welfare & benefit systems --- Public finance & taxation --- Population & demography --- Social security contributions --- Expenditure --- Aging --- Consumption --- Social security --- Expenditures, Public --- Population aging --- Czech Republic
Choose an application
How effective was public investment in stimulating the Japanese economy during the economic stagnation of the 1990s? Using a dataset of regional public investment spending, we find that investment multipliers were higher than for public consumption, although they were relatively low and declining over time. The paper also finds that the effectiveness of economic infrastructure investment, implemented mainly by the central government, is lower than that of social investment mostly undertaken by local governments. These results suggest that while public investment may yield higher output effects than other spending, its effectiveness depends upon its composition, the level of government implementation, and supply side factors.
Investments: General --- Public Finance --- National Government Expenditures and Related Policies: Infrastructures --- Other Public Investment and Capital Stock --- National Government Expenditures and Related Policies: General --- Investment --- Capital --- Intangible Capital --- Capacity --- Debt --- Debt Management --- Sovereign Debt --- Taxation, Subsidies, and Revenue: General --- Public finance & taxation --- Macroeconomics --- Public investment spending --- Expenditure --- Private investment --- Public debt --- Revenue administration --- Public investments --- Expenditures, Public --- Saving and investment --- Debts, Public --- Revenue --- Japan
Choose an application
This paper surveys decision-making roles of governing bodies of central banks that have formally adopted inflation targeting as a monetary framework. Governance practices seek to balance institutional independence needed for monetary policy credibility with accountability required to protect democratic values. Central bank laws usually have price stability as the primary monetary policy objective but seldom require an explicit numerical inflation target. Governments are frequently involved in setting targets, but to ensure operational autonomy, legal provisions explicitly limit government influence in internal policy decision-making processes. Internal governance practices differ considerably with regard to the roles and inter-relationships between the policy, supervisory, and management boards of a central bank.
Anti-inflationary policies. --- Banks and banking, Central. --- Electronic books. -- local. --- Monetary policy. --- Banks and Banking --- Inflation --- Macroeconomics --- Money and Monetary Policy --- Natural Resources --- Monetary Systems --- Standards --- Regimes --- Government and the Monetary System --- Payment Systems --- Monetary Policy --- Central Banks and Their Policies --- Banks --- Depository Institutions --- Micro Finance Institutions --- Mortgages --- Price Level --- Deflation --- Renewable Resources and Conservation: General --- Banking --- Monetary economics --- Environmental management --- Inflation targeting --- Price stabilization --- Consumer price indexes --- Monetary policy --- Prices --- Renewable resources --- Environment --- Banks and banking --- Government policy --- Price indexes --- Natural resources --- New Zealand
Choose an application
This paper seeks to investigate the transmission mechanisms linking productivity to the real exchange rate in the former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia. At first glance, the stylized facts-low labor productivity growth and a trend real depreciation-suggest that a Balassa- Samuelson effect is in play. We find that the relationship between the two is not a result of the traditional Balassa-Samuelson effect. Instead, the depreciation of the real exchange rate reflects mainly the behavior of prices in the tradable sector. We argue that the depreciating real exchange rate may reflect a prolonged transition associated with slow technological growth and the low quality of the country's tradable-goods basket.
Electronic books. -- local. --- Foreign exchange rates -- Macedonia. --- Labor productivity -- Macedonia. --- Foreign Exchange --- Production and Operations Management --- Macroeconomics: Production --- Human Capital --- Skills --- Occupational Choice --- Labor Productivity --- Currency --- Foreign exchange --- Macroeconomics --- Real effective exchange rates --- Real exchange rates --- Productivity --- Labor productivity --- Purchasing power parity --- Industrial productivity --- North Macedonia, Republic of --- Foreign exchange rates
Choose an application
The labor participation rate in Slovenia has been lower than in the EU-15 (the members states prior to May 2004), particularly for the low-income and older individuals. Using simulations of tax and social benefits and public pensions, the paper shows how the current tax, welfare, and pension systems create disincentives to work among these groups. The paper finds that incentives to retire early are strong for men, especially low-wage earners. The marginal effective tax rates also make it costly for low-income individuals to work and negatively affect the probability of participating. The paper proposes reform measures to enhance work incentives and labor participation, which will be crucial for dealing with population aging and for achieving higher potential growth in Slovenia.
Labor supply --- Public welfare --- Income tax --- Pensions --- Early retirement --- Retirement, Early --- Compensation --- Pension plans --- Retirement pensions --- Superannuation --- Personal income tax --- Taxable income --- Taxation of income --- Benevolent institutions --- Poor relief --- Public assistance --- Public charities --- Public relief --- Public welfare reform --- Relief (Aid) --- Social welfare --- Welfare (Public assistance) --- Welfare reform --- Labor force --- Labor force participation --- Labor pool --- Work force --- Workforce --- Government policy --- Retirement --- Retirement income --- Annuities --- Social security individual investment accounts --- Vested benefits --- Direct taxation --- Internal revenue --- Progressive taxation --- Tithes --- Wages --- Human services --- Social service --- Labor market --- Human capital --- Labor mobility --- Manpower --- Manpower policy --- Taxation --- Labor --- Macroeconomics --- Public Finance --- Nonwage Labor Costs and Benefits --- Private Pensions --- Wages, Compensation, and Labor Costs: General --- Social Security and Public Pensions --- Labor Economics: General --- Retirement Policies --- Labour --- income economics --- Pension spending --- Labor economics --- Slovenia, Republic of --- Income economics
Choose an application
This paper applies the models used to study yield curve dynamics and spillovers in the U.S. and other countries to Central and Eastern European countries (CEE countries). Using the Diebold, Rudebusch, and Aruoba (2006) dynamic version of the Nelson-Siegel representation of the yield curve, the paper finds that the two-way relationship between macroeconomic and financial variables in the CEE countries is similar to the one in mature economies. However, inflation shocks have very little persistence in the CEE countries, owing to the strong convergence trends in these countries-which tend to re-anchor expectations faster. Increased convergence in policies and market integration over time are associated with a stronger correlation between the levels of the yield curves, while the curves slopes are more driven by idiosyncratic factors. Shifts in the euro yield curve are transmitted both to interest rates and inflation expectations in the CEE countries-and transmission is stronger after 2004.
Interest rates --- Stocks --- Econometric models. --- Prices --- Europe, Central --- Europe, Eastern --- Economic policy. --- Common shares --- Common stocks --- Equities --- Equity capital --- Equity financing --- Shares of stock --- Stock issues --- Stock offerings --- Stock trading --- Trading, Stock --- Securities --- Bonds --- Corporations --- Going public (Securities) --- Stock repurchasing --- Stockholders --- Money market rates --- Rate of interest --- Rates, Interest --- Interest --- Banks and Banking --- Econometrics --- Foreign Exchange --- Inflation --- Interest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, and Effects --- Price Level --- Deflation --- Time-Series Models --- Dynamic Quantile Regressions --- Dynamic Treatment Effect Models --- Diffusion Processes --- Finance --- Macroeconomics --- Banking --- Currency --- Foreign exchange --- Econometrics & economic statistics --- Yield curve --- Central bank policy rate --- Real effective exchange rates --- Vector autoregression --- Poland, Republic of
Choose an application
The paper explores the macroeconomic effects of three public pension reforms, namely an increase in retirement age, a reduction in benefits and an increase in contribution rates. Using a five-region version of the IMF‘s Global Integrated Monetary and Fiscal model (GIMF), we find that public pension reforms can have a positive effect on growth in both the short run, propelled by rising consumption, and in the long run, due to lower government debt crowding in higher investment. We also find that a reform action undertaken cooperatively by all regions results in larger output effects, reflecting stronger capital accumulation due to higher world savings. An increase in the retirement age reform yields the strongest impact in the short run, due to the demand effects of higher labor income and in the long run because of supply effects.
Pensions -- Congresses. --- Pensions -- Finance. --- Pensions. --- Compensation --- Pension plans --- Retirement pensions --- Superannuation --- Retirement income --- Annuities --- Social security individual investment accounts --- Vested benefits --- Banks and Banking --- Macroeconomics --- Public Finance --- Labor --- Social Security and Public Pensions --- Open Economy Macroeconomics --- Interest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, and Effects --- Debt --- Debt Management --- Sovereign Debt --- Macroeconomics: Consumption --- Saving --- Wealth --- Nonwage Labor Costs and Benefits --- Private Pensions --- Pensions --- Finance --- Public finance & taxation --- Pension spending --- Real interest rates --- Public debt --- Consumption --- Pension reform --- Expenditure --- Financial services --- Interest rates --- Debts, Public --- Economics --- United States --- Finance.
Choose an application
Potential output estimation plays a crucial role in conducting fiscal policy based on structural balances. Difficulties in estimating potential output could lead to an erroneous policy stance with a consequent impact on growth. This paper analyzes historical data on revisions of actual and potential growth in the European Union and the implication of these revisions for the measurement of fiscal effort using the cyclically-adjusted primary balance (CAPB). It finds that revisions in output gap estimates were large, at almost 1½ percent of potential GDP on average. Revisions in potential GDP also contributed significantly to revisions in the estimated CAPB, especially during the crisis years. Given these findings and historical correlations, it proposes an indicative rule of thumb for reducing errors in the measurement of fiscal effort by factoring in that about 30 percent of revisions in actual growth capture changes in potential growth. In other words, the standard advice of “letting automatic stabilizers operate fully” in response to a positive/negative growth shocks likely implies a strengthening/weakening of the structural position.
Fiscal policy --- Gross domestic product --- Industrial productivity --- Economic development --- Productivity, Industrial --- TFP (Total factor productivity) --- Total factor productivity --- Industrial efficiency --- Production (Economic theory) --- Domestic product, Gross --- GDP --- Gross national product --- Tax policy --- Taxation --- Economic policy --- Finance, Public --- Econometric models. --- Government policy --- Budgeting --- Macroeconomics --- Production and Operations Management --- Fiscal Policy --- Macroeconomics: Production --- National Budget --- Budget Systems --- Budgeting & financial management --- Output gap --- Potential output --- Fiscal stance --- Budget planning and preparation --- Production growth --- Production --- Public financial management (PFM) --- Economic theory --- Budget --- Ireland
Choose an application
This paper analyzes the impact of decentralization on overall fiscal performance in the European Union, taking into account fiscal institutional arrangements. We find that spending decentralization has been associated with sizably better fiscal performance, especially when transfer dependency of subnational governments is low. However, subnational fiscal rules do not seem to be associated with better performance.
Decentralization in government --- Fiscal policy --- Tax policy --- Taxation --- Economic policy --- Finance, Public --- Centralization in government --- Devolution in government --- Government centralization --- Government decentralization --- Government devolution --- Political science --- Central-local government relations --- Federal government --- Local government --- Public administration --- Econometric models. --- Government policy --- Budgeting --- Macroeconomics --- Public Finance --- State and Local Taxation, Subsidies, and Revenue --- Intergovernmental Relations --- Federalism --- Secession --- Fiscal Policies and Behavior of Economic Agents: General --- Fiscal Policy --- National Budget --- Budget Systems --- National Government Expenditures and Related Policies: General --- Budgeting & financial management --- Public finance & taxation --- Fiscal rules --- Fiscal federalism --- Fiscal stance --- General government spending --- Expenditure --- Public financial management (PFM) --- Budget --- Expenditures, Public --- Denmark
Choose an application
Many developing and emerging countries do not fully pass-through increases in international fuel prices to domestic retail prices, with adverse consequences for fuel tax revenues and tax volatility. The adoption of an automatic fuel pricing mechanism can help to address this problem, and the incorporation of a price smoothing mechanism can ensure pass-through over the medium term but also avoid sharp increases (and decreases) in domestic prices. This technical note addresses the following issues: (i) the design of an automatic fuel pricing mechanism; (ii) the incorporation of domestic price smoothing and resulting tradeoffs; (iii) the transition from ad hoc pricing adjustments to an automatic mechanism; and (iv) policies to support this transition and the maintenance of an automatic mechanism. A standardized template for simulating and evaluating the implications of alternative pricing mechanisms for price and fiscal volatility is available on request.
Petroleum products --- Price maintenance --- Fair trade --- Maintenance of prices --- Price fixing, Resale --- Price stabilization, Industrial --- Resale price fixing --- Resale price maintenance --- Price fixing --- Mazut --- Petroleum --- Hydraulic fluids --- Prices --- Refining --- Inflation --- Macroeconomics --- Taxation --- Allocative Efficiency --- Cost-Benefit Analysis --- Efficiency --- Optimal Taxation --- Price Level --- Deflation --- Energy: Demand and Supply --- Business Taxes and Subsidies --- Excise taxes --- Price adjustments --- Fuel prices --- Price structures --- Fuel tax --- Taxes --- Motor fuels;Taxation --- Gabon
Listing 1 - 10 of 11 | << page >> |
Sort by
|