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Book
What Attracts Tourists to Paradise?
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ISBN: 1462326528 1452752095 1283517973 1451991282 9786613830425 Year: 2008 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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This paper investigates the determinants of tourism demand in the Eastern Caribbean Currency Union. We estimate the demand function in a panel setting using annual data from 1979 to 2005. Results show that tourism arrivals are significantly affected by economic developments in the source countries, while price considerations and external shocks (such as hurricanes and wars) are also important. Supply factors, such as developments in foreign direct investment and the number of airlines servicing a destination, are also found to be significant determinants of tourism demand.


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Slowdown in Emerging Markets : Sign of a Bumpy Road Ahead?
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ISBN: 1498308058 1498325262 Year: 2014 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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Following very strong growth during the period 2000–12, emerging market economies (EMEs) experienced a slowdown in the last couple of years. This paper examines the supply-side drivers of the strong growth performance of 63 EMEs and investigates if the recent slowdown in growth is transitory or a more permanent phenomenon. We find that on average the recent slowdown is explained equally by structural and cyclical factors, although there are large variations across countries and regions. While the cyclical component of the slowdown can be corrected by countercyclical policies (provided that there is sufficient policy space), structural bottlenecks are harder to address. Given the expected moderation of capital accumulation and some natural constraints on labor, the strong growth momentum of 2000–12 is unlikely to be repeated going forward, unless TFP performance improves significantly via structural reforms.


Book
Canada's Potential Growth : Another Victim of the Crisis?
Authors: ---
ISBN: 1462384005 1452786372 1283566354 1451918623 9786613878809 Year: 2010 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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This study investigates the impact of the current financial crisis on Canada's potential GDP growth. Using a simple accounting framework to decompose trend GDP growth into changes in capital, labor services and total factor productivity, we find a sizeable drop in Canadian potential growth in the short term. The estimated decline of about 1 percentage point originates from a sharply decelerating capital stock accumulation (as investment has dropped steeply) and a rising long-term unemployment rate (which would raise equilibrium unemployment rates). However, over the medium term, we expect Canada's potential GDP growth to gradually rise to around 2 percent, below the pre-crisis growth rate, mostly reflecting the effects of population aging and a secular decline in average working hours.


Book
What is Behind Latin America’s Declining Income Inequality?
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ISBN: 1498374859 1498304826 1498305083 Year: 2014 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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Income inequality in Latin America has declined during the last decade, in contrast to the experience in many other emerging and developed regions. However, Latin America remains the most unequal region in the world. This study documents the declining trend in income inequality in Latin America and proposes various reasons behind this important development. Using a panel econometric analysis for a large group of emerging and developing countries, we find that the Kuznets curve holds. Notwithstanding the limitations in the dataset and of cross-country regression analysis more generally, our results suggest that almost two-thirds of the recent decline in income inequality in Latin America is explained by policies and strong GDP growth, with policies alone explaining more than half of this total decline. Higher education spending is the most important driver, followed by stronger foreign direct investment and higher tax revenues. Results suggest that policies and to some extent positive growth dynamics could play an important role in lowering inequality further.


Book
To Cut or Not to Cut? That is the (Central Bank’s) Question In Search of the Neutral Interest Rate in Latin America
Authors: ---
ISBN: 1475512678 1475512643 1299461859 1475512694 Year: 2012 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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This paper estimates neutral real interest rate (NRIR) ranges for 10 Latin American countries that either have full-fledged inflation targeting regimes in place or have recently adopted them, using an array of methodologies commonly used in the literature. We find that NRIRs have declined in the last decade, with more economically and financially developed economies exhibiting lower NRIR levels. Based on the estimated NRIRs, we assess that the current monetary stance (measured by the interest rate gap) is appropriately neutral in most of the considered economies, in line with closing output gaps. We also observe that the interest rate gap can be a good predictor of future inflation dynamics and economic growth. In addition, looking at the recent experiences in Brazil and Peru, we suggest that macro-prudential policies could affect the monetary stance even in the absence of direct interest rate changes, through affecting the NRIR.


Book
Why Are Women Working So Much More in Canada? An International Perspective
Authors: ---
ISBN: 1451863527 1462383106 1451908873 9786613826305 1452768315 1283513854 Year: 2006 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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This paper analyzes the role of the tax and benefit system in spurring the impressive increase in Canadian female labor participation in the last decade. Using annual panel data for 10 large industrial countries over the period 1980-2001, I find that reforms in the Canadian tax and benefit system in the mid-1990s account for at least one-third of the observed increase in female participation in the period 1995-2001. The analysis indicates that policy initiatives similar to the "family-friendly" policies introduced in Canada could boost female participation in other countries and help policymakers meet the challenges of population aging.

Keywords

Electronic books. -- local. --- Gulf Cooperation Council. --- International economic integration. --- Monetary unions -- Gulf Cooperation Council countries. --- Business & Economics --- Labor & Workers' Economics --- Monetary unions --- Common currencies --- Currency areas --- Currency unions --- Optimum currency areas --- Common markets --- Economic integration, International --- Economic union --- Integration, International economic --- Markets, Common --- Union, Economic --- Gulf Co-operation Council --- Co-operation Council for the Arab States of the Gulf --- States of Gulf Co-operation Council --- Golf-Rat --- GCC --- G.C.C. --- Majlis al-Taʻāwun al-Khalījī --- Majlis al-Taʻāwun al-Khalījī al-ʻArabī --- GKR --- Kooperationsrat Arabischer Staaten am Golf --- Cooperation Council for the Arab States of the Gulf --- Duwal Majlis al-Khalīj --- Gŏlpʻŭ Hyŏmnyŏk Wiwŏnhoe --- Kŏlpʻŭ Hyŏmnyŏk Wiwŏnhoe --- Majlis al-Taʻāwun li-Duwal al-Khalīj al-ʻArabīyah --- Golfkooperationsrat --- AGCC --- A.G.C.C. --- Duwal Majlis al-Taʻāwun al-Khalījī --- Sovet sotrudnichestva arabskikh gosudarstv Persidskogo zaliva --- SSAGPZ --- Arab Gulf Cooperation Council --- مجلس التعاون الخليجي --- مجلس التعاون لدول الخليج العربية --- Shūrā-yi Hamkārī-i Khalīj-i Fārs --- شوراى همکارى خليج فارس --- Persian Gulf Cooperation Council --- PGCC --- Conseil de coopération du Golfe --- Gulf Cooperative Council --- Currency question --- Money --- International economic relations --- Consiglio di cooperazione del Golfo --- Ccg --- Labor --- Macroeconomics --- Taxation --- Women''s Studies' --- Economics of Gender --- Non-labor Discrimination --- Taxation, Subsidies, and Revenue: General --- Demand and Supply of Labor: General --- Labor Economics: General --- Labor Standards: Labor Force Composition --- Labour --- income economics --- Gender studies --- women & girls --- Public finance & taxation --- Women --- Tax wedge --- Labor markets --- Labor force participation --- Tax administration and procedure --- Labor market --- Labor economics --- Canada --- Income economics --- Women & girls --- Women's Studies


Book
Universal Health Care 101 : Lessons for the Eastern Caribbean and Beyond
Authors: ---
ISBN: 1451916434 146232651X 128284282X 1451872089 9786612842825 1452790434 Year: 2009 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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Despite the increasing interest in universal health care, little is known about the optimal way to finance, design, and implement it. This paper attempts to fill this gap by providing some general policy recommendations on this important issue. While most of the paper addresses the Eastern Caribbean Currency Union (ECCU) countries, its policy implications are applicable to any country. The paper finds that the best financing option is country-specific depending on a country’s economic, cultural, institutional, demographic and epidemiological characteristics, as well as political economy considerations. However, taxation should be the primary financing source. It also concludes that an appropriate and realistic benefit package would need to be designed to ensure the system’s financial viability. Regarding the optimal way to implement universal health care, certain preconditions are needed, including sound public administration, a small informal economy, and a transparent health financing system that builds social consensus.


Book
Is the Canadian Housing Market Overvalued? A Post-crisis Assessment
Authors: ---
ISBN: 1451918003 1452729875 9786612844362 1282844369 1451873824 1462339611 Year: 2009 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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Canadian house prices have increased significantly between 2003 and early 2008, with a marked downward trend since mid-2008, especially in the resource-rich western provinces. This paper estimates the evolution of equilibrium real home prices during this period in key provinces and finds that, following recent declines, home prices are now generally close to equilibrium throughout Canada. However, house prices in Alberta and British Columbia remain around 8 percent overvalued at the end of the sample (second quarter of 2009). Despite the limitations of econometric estimates of house-price dynamics, the measured small degree of overvaluation suggests that the Canadian housing market is essentially at equilibrium.


Book
Home Sweet Home : Government's Role in Reaching the American Dream
Authors: ---
ISBN: 1462392016 1463900716 1283567253 9786613879707 1463900724 Year: 2011 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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This paper investigates the role of government intervention in achieving the American dream of homeownership. The study analyzes the role of tax deductions in housing finance, including their impact on homeownership and housing consumption. The role of the Government Sponsored Enterprises in facilitating the creation of a secondary market for mortgage-backed securities is also analyzed as well as the role of the Federal Housing Administration. Cross-country comparisons of how housing is financed in other industrial countries is also provided, emphasizing how other countries have been able to achieve comparable homeownership rates as the United States in a less complicated and fiscally cheaper system. Country experiences of successfully phasing out government intervention are also analyzed.


Book
Latin America : Vulnerabilities Under Construction?
Authors: --- ---
ISBN: 1475517599 1475505426 1475545142 1475573359 9781475517590 9781475573350 9781475505429 9781475505429 9781475545142 Year: 2012 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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This paper documents developments in mortgage credit and the housing sector in Latin America over the past decade, and compares them with those of other emerging economies. In particular, it examines the real estate and mortgage markets to assess whether (i) growth in mortgage credit is excessive compared to long-term trends; (ii) trends in house prices reflect changes in economic fundamentals; and (iii) the extent to which household and banking sector vulnerabilities could lead to potential fragilities. Although data limitations hamper a rigorous analysis of trends, our analysis suggests that while there are no imminent misalignments in the real estate and mortgage sectors, they could emerge if current trends persist. Strengthening supervision and addressing data gaps is thus critical to ensure adequate monitoring of risks and vulnerabilities in these sectors.

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