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Using a panel of firm-level data, this paper examines the effects of India's trade reforms in the early 1990s on firm productivity in the manufacturing sector, focusing on the interaction between this policy shock and firm and environment characteristics. The rapid and comprehensive tariff reductions-part of an IMF-supported adjustment program with India in 1991-allow us to establish a causal link between variations in inter-industry and intertemporal tariffs and consistently estimated firm productivity. Specifically, reductions in trade protectionism lead to higher levels and growth of firm productivity, with this effect strongest for private companies. Interestingly, state-level characteristics, such as labor regulations, investment climate, and financial development, do not appear to influence the effect of trade liberalization on firm productivity.
Tariff --- Production (Economic theory) --- Microeconomics --- Supply and demand --- Demand (Economic theory) --- Supply-side economics --- India --- Economic conditions --- Exports and Imports --- Taxation --- Production and Operations Management --- Empirical Studies of Trade --- Production --- Cost --- Capital and Total Factor Productivity --- Capacity --- Trade Policy --- International Trade Organizations --- Macroeconomics: Production --- Macroeconomics --- International economics --- Public finance & taxation --- Productivity --- Trade liberalization --- Total factor productivity --- Tariffs --- Trade policy --- International trade --- Taxes --- Industrial productivity --- Commercial policy
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This paper uses firm-level data to examine the performance of India's nonfinancial corporate sector since 1989 and evaluate its financial vulnerabilities. While promising trends in liquidity, profitability, and leverage of the sector emerged in the early 1990s, they experienced a reversal after 1996. Nonetheless, most indicators were still at comfortable levels, and there is evidence of improvement in 2002, the last year in our sample. However, a number of firms still face problems servicing their debt obligations, posing a risk to lenders. In particular, the aggregate interest coverage of the corporate sector indicates that potential nonperforming loans of the corporate sector remain high. This underscores the need for close monitoring of the corporate sector in the future.
Corporations --- Competition --- Finance --- Competition (Economics) --- Competitiveness (Economics) --- Economic competition --- Commerce --- Conglomerate corporations --- Covenants not to compete --- Industrial concentration --- Monopolies --- Open price system --- Supply and demand --- Trusts, Industrial --- Finance. --- Economic aspects --- Banks and Banking --- Corporate Finance --- Finance: General --- Industries: Financial Services --- Corporate Governance --- Financial Institutions and Services: General --- Corporate Finance and Governance: General --- Economywide Country Studies: Asia including Middle East --- Banks --- Depository Institutions --- Micro Finance Institutions --- Mortgages --- Corporate Finance and Governance: Government Policy and Regulation --- General Financial Markets: General (includes Measurement and Data) --- Ownership & organization of enterprises --- Corporate governance --- role & responsibilities of boards & directors --- Banking --- Corporate sector --- Nonperforming loans --- Stock markets --- Commercial banks --- Economic sectors --- Financial institutions --- Financial markets --- Business enterprises --- Loans --- Stock exchanges --- Banks and banking --- India --- Role & responsibilities of boards & directors
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This paper uses the 1991 Indian trade liberalization to measure the impact of trade liberalization on poverty, and to examine the mechanisms underpinning this impact. Variation in sectoral composition across districts and liberalization intensity across production sectors allows a difference-in-difference approach. Rural districts, in which production sectors more exposed to liberalization were concentrated, experienced slower decline in poverty and lower consumption growth. The impact of liberalization was most pronounced among the least geographically mobile, at the bottom of the income distribution, and in Indian states where inflexible labor laws impeded factor reallocation across sectors.
Exports and Imports --- Macroeconomics --- Taxation --- Poverty and Homelessness --- Trade Policy --- International Trade Organizations --- Measurement and Analysis of Poverty --- Economic Development: Human Resources --- Human Development --- Income Distribution --- Migration --- Economic Development: Urban, Rural, Regional, and Transportation Analysis --- Housing --- Infrastructure --- Development Planning and Policy: Trade Policy --- Factor Movement --- Foreign Exchange Policy --- Welfare, Well-Being, and Poverty: General --- Labor Economics: General --- Macroeconomics: Consumption --- Saving --- Wealth --- Public finance & taxation --- International economics --- Poverty & precarity --- Labour --- income economics --- Tariffs --- Trade liberalization --- Poverty --- Labor --- Consumption --- Taxes --- International trade --- National accounts --- Tariff --- Commercial policy --- Labor economics --- Economics --- India --- Income economics
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This paper discusses possible medium-term public debt targets for India, based on evidence from the economic literature on prudent levels of public debt and the feasibility for the country to meet a particular target over the next 5-6 years. While recognizing the challenges in determining an appropriate debt target, cross-country analysis and simulations suggest that a debt ratio in the range of 60-65 percent of GDP by 2015/16 might be suitable for India. Such a debt ceiling, while still above the average debt level for emerging markets, is within the range of debt ratios that would provide room for countercyclical fiscal policy and contingent liabilities. It would also send a strong signal of the government's commitment to fiscal consolidation by making a clear break with the past.
Debts, Public -- India. --- Debts, Public. --- Fiscal policy -- India. --- Debts, Government --- Government debts --- National debts --- Public debt --- Public debts --- Sovereign debt --- Debt --- Bonds --- Deficit financing --- Debts, Public --- Fiscal policy --- Banks and Banking --- Finance: General --- Public Finance --- Fiscal Policy --- Policy Objectives --- Policy Designs and Consistency --- Policy Coordination --- National Budget, Deficit, and Debt: General --- Debt Management --- Sovereign Debt --- Interest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, and Effects --- General Financial Markets: General (includes Measurement and Data) --- Public finance & taxation --- Finance --- Macroeconomics --- Real interest rates --- Government debt management --- Emerging and frontier financial markets --- Financial services --- Public financial management (PFM) --- Financial markets --- Interest rates --- Financial services industry --- India
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This paper examines India's experience with fiscal rules with a view to inform the design of a possible successor fiscal framework to the FRBMA. Among several proposals to strengthen the FRBMA, a framework that focuses medium-term fiscal policy on debt sustainability by the use of a medium term debt target, and annual nominal expenditure growth rules is proposed. This approach tackles the deficit bias at its core and enables countercyclical fiscal policy through automatic stabilizers. Numerical targets should be supported by structural reform measures for both revenues and expenditures, while the coverage of the fiscal rules should be expanded.
Finance, Public -- India. --- Finance. --- Fiscal policy -- India. --- Macroeconomics --- Public Finance --- Fiscal Policy --- National Government Expenditures and Related Policies: General --- Debt --- Debt Management --- Sovereign Debt --- Public finance & taxation --- Fiscal rules --- Fiscal policy --- Expenditure --- Fiscal consolidation --- Public debt --- Expenditures, Public --- Debts, Public --- India
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This paper examines the role of removing obstacles to competition in product markets in raising growth and productivity. Using firm-level data from Italy during 2003–13 and OECD measures of product market regulation, we estimate the effect of deregulation in network sectors on value added and productivity of firms in these sectors, as well as firms using these intermediates in their production processes. We find evidence of a significant positive impact. These effects are more pronounced in Italian provinces with more efficient public administration, underscoring the complementarities of advancing public administration and product market reforms simultaneously.
Competition --- Deregulation --- Product management --- Capacity --- Capital and Total Factor Productivity --- Commodity exchanges --- Commodity markets --- Comparative Studies of Countries --- Cost --- Expenditure --- Expenditures, Public --- Finance --- Finance: General --- Financial markets --- General Financial Markets: General (includes Measurement and Data) --- Industrial Organization and Macroeconomics: Industrial Structure and Structural Change --- Industrial Price Indices --- Industrial productivity --- Institutions and Growth --- Macroeconomics --- Macroeconomics: Production --- National Government Expenditures and Related Policies: General --- Panel Data Models --- Production and Operations Management --- Production --- Productivity --- Public expenditure review --- Public finance & taxation --- Public Finance --- Spatio-temporal Models --- Total factor productivity --- Italy
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While many have celebrated India's accelerating economic growth, some have expressed concern about the distributional impacts of the growth process. Cognizant of the vulnerability of its large population below poverty, India's authorities have made faster and more inclusive economic growth the primary goal of their development strategy. This paper aims to document how the benefits of economic expansion were shared across the income distribution over the last two decades using disaggregate household level data. Experiences across Indian states suggest an important role for economic policy in shaping the inclusiveness of growth. States with higher financial development, more flexible labor markets, and higher average education experienced greater relative gains for the poor. Improving infrastructure may also lead to a growth process that is more inclusive of the poor.
Macroeconomics --- Poverty and Homelessness --- Aggregate Factor Income Distribution --- Macroeconomics: Consumption --- Saving --- Wealth --- Welfare, Well-Being, and Poverty: General --- Labor Economics: General --- Poverty & precarity --- Labour --- income economics --- Consumption --- Income distribution --- Income inequality --- Poverty --- Labor --- Economics --- Labor economics --- India --- Econometric models. --- Economic conditions --- Economic policy --- Income economics
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