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2023 (3)

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Income Share Agreements: Market Structure, Communication, and Equity Implications of a Student Loan Alternative
Authors: --- --- --- --- --- et al.
Year: 2023 Publisher: RAND Corporation

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Abstract

Postsecondary education is a key pathway to economic mobility for many Americans, but financial challenges often make it difficult for learners to pursue and complete their education. Obtaining financing for postsecondary education can be a barrier to access for some students. The process is complicated, and many programs are ineligible for traditional student loans. One alternative postsecondary financing approach with broad potential use is an income share agreement (ISA). Under an ISA, the learner promises a share (income percentage) of their post-completion income to a funder for a set period (repayment term) in exchange for immediate money for school. ISA payments are only required when the learner's earnings exceed a set amount (i.e., when earnings are above the income threshold). Although ISAs can be beneficial, not much is known about how they function in practice. For example, there are no industrywide requirements for what information ISA-offering institutions provide to learners. There are few regulatory safeguards to prevent the use of potentially misleading language in ISA documentation. The number of postsecondary institutions offering ISAs is unknown, as are the characteristics of these institutions. The authors of this report aim to fill some of these gaps. Using a novel dataset that they compiled to describe the ISA market, the authors examine how ISA structure, implementation, and communication vary; analyze the language used to market ISAs; and assess implications for systemic inequities. This report provides their findings and recommendations for federal and state policymakers, financial aid professionals and learners, and ISA-offering institutions.

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Book
Comparing Taliban Social Media Usage by Language: Who's Speaking and What's Being Said
Authors: --- --- ---
Year: 2023 Publisher: RAND Corporation

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In the wake of the Taliban takeover and the reestablishment of the Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan in August 2021, there are significant questions about the best methods to interpret Taliban messaging. Better interpretation would, in turn, help U.S. and Western policymakers to better understand Taliban leadership intentions and would thus allow for better-informed U.S. and Western policy decisions regarding Afghanistan. Limited direct diplomatic contact between the Taliban and most Western governments necessitates reliance on alternative sources of information. Taliban use of social media, particularly Twitter, was identified as one way to understand Taliban thinking. The authors of this report examine Taliban leadership use of Twitter in various regional languages and in English. Focusing on three areas — the economy, relationships with other militant groups and neighboring countries, and the status of women in Afghan society — the authors sought to clarify the messaging broadcast via this medium and to determine whether messaging differed by language used. The authors found no overall strategy behind Taliban social media use and no strong evidence that Taliban social media activity is coordinated at a high level. Messages appear designed to inform, persuade, and influence a target audience. On some issues, messaging was common across languages; in other cases, the messages were distinctly different, reflecting Taliban interest in tailoring a message for a specific audience without regard to potential contradictions by other individuals or among the various languages.

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Book
Pathways from Climate Change to Conflict in U.S. Central Command
Authors: --- --- --- --- --- et al.
Year: 2023 Publisher: RAND Corporation

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Abstract

An analysis of how climate change could lead to conflict is presented in this report. Although climate-related conflict can occur anywhere in the world, the focus of this report is on how this process has occurred and continues to evolve in the U.S. Central Command (CENTCOM) area of responsibility (AOR). Much of the CENTCOM AOR is already coping with environmental stress caused by climate change and environmental management practices. Many of the factors associated with conflict (such as weak institutions and hybrid regimes) are present in the AOR, leaving the region vulnerable to the phenomenon of climate-related conflict. The authors begin by presenting an examination of what the academic literature identifies as causal pathways that lead from climate hazards to different types of conflict: intrastate conflict (also known as civil conflict) and interstate conflict. After identifying the causal pathways, the authors analyze three cases of climate-related conflict in the CENTCOM AOR. The purpose of this research is to support CENTCOM leadership, planners, and intelligence officers to prepare for a future security environment that is affected by climate change. Understanding the causal pathways from climate change to conflict should enable CENTCOM to anticipate how changes in the physical environment may reverberate in the security environment and when an area may be on a path to conflict or full-blown war that could lead to CENTCOM intervention. The report is the second in a series focused on climate change and the security environment.

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