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Union Behavior, Industry Rents, and Optimal Policies
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ISBN: 146232567X 1455278807 1282061445 145522622X 9786613799234 Year: 1996 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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This paper examines the supposed welfare gains from strategic trade and industrial policies in the U.S. steel industry. Strategic policies to capture labor rents lead to an endogenous response which greatly diminishes their importance. On the other hand, reducing domestic labor market distortions results in welfare gains nearly as large as those from optimal trade and industrial policies. The paper concludes that the focus on labor rents as the subject of U.S. trade and industrial policy is overstated, at least in manufacturing industries such as integrated steel.


Book
The Effect of Globalization on Wages in the Advanced Economies
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ISBN: 1462354076 1452791651 1281225061 9786613777799 1451893450 Year: 1997 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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This paper examines the effect of globalization on labor markets in the advanced economies, focusing particularly on the claim that increased economic integration has widened the gap between the wages of more skilled and less skilled workers. The broad consensus of research is that globalization, both in terms of increased trade as well as increased capital mobility and foreign direct investment, has had only a modest effect on wages. Instead, changes in technology have led to a pervasive shift in demand for labor that has favored skilled workers to the detriment of less skilled workers.


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Sources of Inflation in Developing Countries
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ISBN: 1462334717 1452795584 1282110004 1451905424 9786613802897 Year: 2001 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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This paper develops stylized facts about the inflation process in developing countries, focusing particularly on the relationship between the exchange rate regime and the sources of inflation. Using annual data from 1964 to 1998 for 53 developing countries, we find that money growth and exchange rate changes-factors typically related to fiscal influences-are far more important in countries with floating exchange rate regimes than in those with fixed exchange rates. Instead, inertial factors dominate the inflation process in developing countries with fixed exchange rate regimes.


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Unionization and Strategic Trade Policy
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ISBN: 1462307647 1451994532 1281600784 1451894287 9786613781475 Year: 2000 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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This paper examines the effect of unionization on welfare and trade policy in a model of duopolists competing in a third market. It shows that the traditional result that the presence of a union necessitates a stronger strategic trade policy to reach the optimal level of welfare depends on the mode of competition. With Bertrand duopolists, a union can be welfare-improving; it can also lead to a weaker trade policy, or even reverse the direction of the optimal policy. The results highlight the importance for trade policy of understanding the nature of firm behavior and the institutional features of the labor market.


Book
Measures of Potential Output : An Application to Israel
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ISBN: 1462347932 1452715947 1281601616 9786613782304 1451897723 Year: 1999 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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This paper estimates measures of potential output for Israel, with the aim of providing evidence on whether the recent growth slowdown is principally a cyclical slowdown or a structural shift toward a slower growth path after the dramatic developments associated with the years of heavy immigration. Israel poses a challenge because traditional methods of measuring potential output assume relatively stable conditions over an extended period of time. We employ five methodologies to derive estimates and find that four of the measures imply the slowdown stems largely from reduced growth of potential output rather than a cyclical slowdown.


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Comparison of CBO's May 2020 interim projections of gross domestic product and its January 2020 baseline projections.
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Year: 2020 Publisher: Washington, DC : Congressional Budget Office, U.S. Congress,

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An awkward embrace : the United States and China in the 21st century
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ISBN: 9780844772356 Year: 2012 Publisher: Washington AEI Press

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Does globalization lower wages and export jobs?
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ISBN: 1557756791 Year: 1997 Publisher: Washington, D.C. International Monetary Fund

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Trade barriers and trade flows across countries and industries

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The Aging of the Population and the Size of the Welfare State
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ISBN: 1462320732 1451999577 1281602671 1451895526 9786613783363 Year: 2002 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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Data for the United States and countries in Western Europe indicate a negative correlation between the dependency ratio and both labor tax rates and the generosity of social transfers, after controlling for other factors that influence the size of the welfare state. This is despite the increased political clout of the dependent population implied by the aging of the population. This paper develops a model of intra-and inter-generational transfers and human capital formation which addresses this seeming puzzle. We show that with democratic voting, a higher dependency ratio can lead to lower taxes or less generous social transfers.

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