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This paper examines the supposed welfare gains from strategic trade and industrial policies in the U.S. steel industry. Strategic policies to capture labor rents lead to an endogenous response which greatly diminishes their importance. On the other hand, reducing domestic labor market distortions results in welfare gains nearly as large as those from optimal trade and industrial policies. The paper concludes that the focus on labor rents as the subject of U.S. trade and industrial policy is overstated, at least in manufacturing industries such as integrated steel.
Exports and Imports --- Labor --- Macroeconomics --- Production and Operations Management --- Trade Policy --- International Trade Organizations --- Empirical Studies of Trade --- Wages, Compensation, and Labor Costs: General --- Labor Economics: General --- Macroeconomics: Production --- Labour --- income economics --- International economics --- Wages --- Trade policy --- Capacity utilization --- Labor share --- International trade --- Production --- Labor economics --- Commercial policy --- Industrial capacity --- United States --- Income economics
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This paper examines the effect of globalization on labor markets in the advanced economies, focusing particularly on the claim that increased economic integration has widened the gap between the wages of more skilled and less skilled workers. The broad consensus of research is that globalization, both in terms of increased trade as well as increased capital mobility and foreign direct investment, has had only a modest effect on wages. Instead, changes in technology have led to a pervasive shift in demand for labor that has favored skilled workers to the detriment of less skilled workers.
Exports and Imports --- Labor --- Macroeconomics --- Trade: General --- Wage Level and Structure --- Wage Differentials --- Wages, Compensation, and Labor Costs: General --- Demand and Supply of Labor: General --- Aggregate Factor Income Distribution --- Labor Demand --- Labour --- income economics --- International economics --- Wages --- Labor markets --- Income inequality --- Imports --- Labor demand --- National accounts --- International trade --- Labor market --- Income distribution --- United States --- Income economics
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This paper develops stylized facts about the inflation process in developing countries, focusing particularly on the relationship between the exchange rate regime and the sources of inflation. Using annual data from 1964 to 1998 for 53 developing countries, we find that money growth and exchange rate changes-factors typically related to fiscal influences-are far more important in countries with floating exchange rate regimes than in those with fixed exchange rates. Instead, inertial factors dominate the inflation process in developing countries with fixed exchange rate regimes.
Foreign Exchange --- Inflation --- Production and Operations Management --- Price Level --- Deflation --- Monetary Systems --- Standards --- Regimes --- Government and the Monetary System --- Payment Systems --- Macroeconomics: Production --- Macroeconomics --- Currency --- Foreign exchange --- Exchange rate arrangements --- Exchange rates --- Output gap --- Conventional peg --- Prices --- Production --- Economic theory --- Côte d'Ivoire
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This paper examines the effect of unionization on welfare and trade policy in a model of duopolists competing in a third market. It shows that the traditional result that the presence of a union necessitates a stronger strategic trade policy to reach the optimal level of welfare depends on the mode of competition. With Bertrand duopolists, a union can be welfare-improving; it can also lead to a weaker trade policy, or even reverse the direction of the optimal policy. The results highlight the importance for trade policy of understanding the nature of firm behavior and the institutional features of the labor market.
Exports and Imports --- Labor --- Macroeconomics --- Trade Policy --- International Trade Organizations --- Trade Unions: Objectives, Structure, and Effects --- Wages, Compensation, and Labor Costs: General --- Wages, Compensation, and Labor Costs: Public Policy --- Labor Economics: General --- Labour --- income economics --- International economics --- Wages --- Trade policy --- Wage setting --- Export subsidies --- Commercial policy --- Labor economics --- Income economics
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This paper estimates measures of potential output for Israel, with the aim of providing evidence on whether the recent growth slowdown is principally a cyclical slowdown or a structural shift toward a slower growth path after the dramatic developments associated with the years of heavy immigration. Israel poses a challenge because traditional methods of measuring potential output assume relatively stable conditions over an extended period of time. We employ five methodologies to derive estimates and find that four of the measures imply the slowdown stems largely from reduced growth of potential output rather than a cyclical slowdown.
Inflation --- Macroeconomics --- Production and Operations Management --- Macroeconomics: Production --- Price Level --- Deflation --- Business Fluctuations --- Cycles --- Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles: General (includes Measurement and Data) --- Economic growth --- Potential output --- Output gap --- Production growth --- Productivity --- Production --- Prices --- Business cycles --- Economic theory --- Industrial productivity --- Israel
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Gross domestic product --- Economic forecasting --- COVID-19 (Disease) --- Economic aspects --- United States. --- United States --- Economic conditions.
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Data for the United States and countries in Western Europe indicate a negative correlation between the dependency ratio and both labor tax rates and the generosity of social transfers, after controlling for other factors that influence the size of the welfare state. This is despite the increased political clout of the dependent population implied by the aging of the population. This paper develops a model of intra-and inter-generational transfers and human capital formation which addresses this seeming puzzle. We show that with democratic voting, a higher dependency ratio can lead to lower taxes or less generous social transfers.
Macroeconomics --- Taxation --- Demography --- Structure, Scope, and Performance of Government --- Personal Income and Other Nonbusiness Taxes and Subsidies --- Personal Income, Wealth, and Their Distributions --- Economics of the Elderly --- Economics of the Handicapped --- Non-labor Market Discrimination --- Labor Economics: General --- Demographic Economics: General --- Population & demography --- Welfare & benefit systems --- Labour --- income economics --- Personal income --- Labor taxes --- Aging --- Labor --- Population and demographics --- National accounts --- Taxes --- Income --- Income tax --- Population aging --- Labor economics --- Population --- United States --- Income economics
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