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Year: 2001 Publisher: Tokyo Bank of Japan, Institute for Monetary and Economic Studies
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Year: 1994 Publisher: San Francisco, Calif. Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco
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Year: 1994 Publisher: San Francisco, Calif. Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco
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Year: 2017 Publisher: Cambridge, Mass. National Bureau of Economic Research
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We examine whether sentiment influences aggregate demand by studying the relationship between the Michigan Survey expectations concerning national output growth and future economic activity at the state level. We instrument for local sentiments with political outcomes, positing that agents in states with a higher share of congressmen from the political party of the sitting President will be more optimistic. This instrument is strong in the first stage, and our results confirm a positive relationship between sentiments and future state economic activity that is robust to a battery of sensitivity tests.
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Year: 2009 Publisher: London Centre For Economic Policy Research
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Year: 2006 Publisher: London Centre For Economic Policy Research, International Macroeconomic And International Trade. Discussion Paper Nr.5942. November 2006
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Year: 2009 Publisher: London Centre For Economic Policy Research
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