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Interactions between banks and open capital account are investigated as rationalizations for empirical regularities characterizing disinflation programs anchored by the exchange rate. The financial system is characterized by bank dominance and lending externality – banks do not internalize the effect of their lending on other banks’ information about potential borrowers. Model dynamics simulation shows that remonetization in the wake of disinflation increases loanable funds supply and translates into bank credit expansion financed by capital inflows. A credit-driven boom results, accompanied by overvaluation and current account deficits generating financial fragilities and vulnerability to a shock that can trigger banking and balance-of-payments crises.
Banks and Banking --- Exports and Imports --- Money and Monetary Policy --- Macroeconomics --- Money Supply --- Credit --- Money Multipliers --- Current Account Adjustment --- Short-term Capital Movements --- Open Economy Macroeconomics --- Banks --- Depository Institutions --- Micro Finance Institutions --- Mortgages --- Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit: General --- Monetary Systems --- Standards --- Regimes --- Government and the Monetary System --- Payment Systems --- International Investment --- Long-term Capital Movements --- Macroeconomics: Consumption --- Saving --- Wealth --- Banking --- Monetary economics --- International economics --- Bank credit --- Currencies --- Commercial banks --- Capital inflows --- Money --- Financial institutions --- Balance of payments --- Consumption --- National accounts --- Banks and banking --- Capital movements --- Economics --- Argentina
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The observed increase in the level and volatility of Tanzania's Treasury yields in recent years against an otherwise benign macroeconomic backdrop presented a puzzle for policymakers, while raising concerns about the fiscal burden of rising debt interest payments and diversion of bank credit away from the private sector. Using evidence from bid-level data and supported by theoretical models, this paper argues that oligopolistic bidding through 2005 may have been partly responsible for the rising level of yields; while the high volatility during 2006-07 could be traced to the emergence of a sharp segmentation of the T-bill market between sophisticated financial market players (foreign-controlled banks) and a lessexperienced group of investors (domestic pension funds and small banks). An important policy recommendation that emerges is that public debt managers should avoid micromanaging Treasury bill auctions by issuing amounts in excess of those offered or by dipping into oversubscribed segments of the yield curve, as such practices seriously disadvantage the less-sophisticated (but more competitive) investors vis-à-vis the more sophisticated players.
Banks and Banking --- Investments: General --- General Financial Markets: General (includes Measurement and Data) --- Banks --- Depository Institutions --- Micro Finance Institutions --- Mortgages --- Investment & securities --- Banking --- Treasury bills and bonds --- Government securities --- Foreign banks --- Commercial banks --- Banks and banking --- Banks and banking, Foreign --- Tanzania, United Republic of --- Tanzania --- Economic conditions. --- Economic policy.
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This volume documents Tanzania’s remarkable turnaround from severe economic distress in 1985, and reviews the economic policies that twenty years later contributed to a successful reversal. Tanzania still faces many policy and reform challenges, despite the many recent economic achievements the country has experienced.
Finance, Public --- Monetary policy --- Economic assistance --- Tanzania --- Economic conditions --- Economic policy. --- Economic aid --- Foreign aid program --- Foreign assistance --- Grants-in-aid, International --- International economic assistance --- International grants-in-aid --- Economic policy --- International economic relations --- Conditionality (International relations) --- Monetary management --- Currency boards --- Money supply --- Cameralistics --- Public finance --- Public finances --- Currency question --- Exports and Imports --- Foreign Exchange --- Public Finance --- National Government Expenditures and Related Policies: General --- Empirical Studies of Trade --- Foreign Aid --- International economics --- Public finance & taxation --- Currency --- Foreign exchange --- Trade balance --- Foreign aid --- Public financial management (PFM) --- Expenditure --- International trade --- Balance of trade --- International relief --- Expenditures, Public --- Tanzania, United Republic of
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