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dissertation (10)

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2023 (5)

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Book
How Does Bank Competition Affect Solvency, Liquidity and Credit Risk? Evidence from the MENA Countries
Authors: --- ---
ISBN: 1513538454 1513583085 1513505831 Year: 2015 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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Abstract

The paper analyzes the relationship between bank competition and stability, with a specific focus on the Middle East and North Africa. Price competition has a positive effect on bank liquidity, as it induces self-discipline incentives on banks for the choice of bank funding sources and for the holding of liquid assets. On the other hand, price competition may have a potentially negative impact on bank solvency and on the credit quality of the loan portfolio. More competitive banks may be less solvent if the potential increase in the equity base—due to capital adjustments—is not large enough to compensate for the reduction in bank profitability. Also, banks subject to stronger competitive pressures may have a higher rate of nonperforming loans, if the increase in the risk-taking incentives from the lender’s side overcomes the decrease in the credit risk from the borrower’s side. In both cases, country-specific policies for market entry conditions—and for bank regulation and supervision—may significantly affect the sign and the size of the relationship. The paper suggests policy reforms designed to improve market contestability and to increase the quality and independence of prudential supervision.


Dissertation
The impact of TLTRO-III condition easing on covered bond issuance: evidence from the Euro Area
Authors: --- ---
Year: 2023 Publisher: Leuven KU Leuven. Faculteit Economie en Bedrijfswetenschappen

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This paper examines the impact of easing TLTRO-III conditions on covered bond issuance. First, the paper provides an overview of the Central Bank as liquidity provider in the Eurozone. There is a strong focus on the Eurosystem collateral framework and unconventional monetary policies. Next, I discuss the condition easing of TLTRO-III in 2020 and the developments in the covered bond market. This section provides more clarity regarding the shift of publicly issued covered bonds to retained covered bonds, in order to pledge those assets as collateral at the ECB. These findings are then linked to regulatory incentives for banks, thanks to liquidity transformation. Finally, a logistic regression is used to measure the effect of the total own-use haircut and bank liquidity on retention behaviour. The results show that a lower own-use haircut increases the odds of being retained, and that more liquid banks retain less covered bonds than less liquid banks.

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Dissertation
Central bank asset purchases: evidence from the Corporate Sector Purchase Programme in the Euro Area
Authors: --- ---
Year: 2023 Publisher: Leuven KU Leuven. Faculteit Economie en Bedrijfswetenschappen

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During the global financial and European debt crises, quantitative easing programmes were implemented by central banks to mitigate the intensifying risks of a financial collapse. Quantitative easing is a unconventional form of monetary policy in which a central bank purchases securities on the open market. After a prolonged period of low inflation and growth prospectives, the European Central Bank started an asset purchase programme in 2014. Although the asset purchase programmes ended in 2022, not every aspect of its effects is fully understood yet. This paper focuses on the purchases of corporate bonds under the Corporate Sector Purchase Programme. In particular ineligible bonds, issued by financial corporations, were analysed to investigate whether these bonds, which were not purchased by the European Central Bank, still were affected by the Corporate Sector Purchase Programme. This indirect effect can act through the portfolio rebalancing channel, as investors adjust their portfolio by investing in other securities. The results of the analysis indicate that the announcement of buying corporate bonds by the European Central Bank caused the spreads of the ineligible corporate bonds to decrease. This would suggest that portfolio rebalancing holds. The second part of this study was centred on the magnitude of the changes in spreads after the announcement, however no statistically significant results were found.

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Dissertation
The release of capital buffers during the Covid-19 crisis: macroprudential policy and supervisory forward guidance
Authors: --- ---
Year: 2022 Publisher: Leuven KU Leuven. Faculteit Economie en Bedrijfswetenschappen

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In the aftermath of the Great Financial Crisis of 2008, there was a tendency to make the bank sector more resilient during periods of financial distress. Hence, the Basel III capital framework was formed. As it only exists for a short time, the COVID-19 crisis was the first real test for this framework. This paper is therefore examining these capital requirements as there isn’t a lot of literature about the use of this capital framework yet. As possible factors for the change in credit supply during the pandemic, the separate buffers (CCyB, O-SII buffer and SyRB) are taken into account. Additionally, two capital ratios (CET1 ratio and the regulatory capital related to AT1 and T2 capital) are considered. This study uses a dataset of 73 banks spread across 18 different nations in the Euro zone. Via a linear regression model for each factor there will be examined if the factor in question contributes to help banks absorb losses during a period of stress. A check is carried out every time to control for credit demand, liquidity, asset quality, liabilities composition and profitability. Only the CET1 ratio appears to have a negative significant effect on the provisions of loans by banks to the real economy. This paper indicates that there weren’t a lot of countries and banks which had a positive CCyB, SyRB or O-SII buffer on the onset of the pandemic.

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Dissertation
Issuance of Green Corporate Bonds: evidence from the Benelux
Authors: --- ---
Year: 2022 Publisher: Leuven KU Leuven. Faculteit Economie en Bedrijfswetenschappen

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Due to the rising ecological issues the focus towards green bonds has soared. The green bond is developing in a record pace while the rationale and logic behind their issuance remains rather unexplored. In this paper green bond issuer characteristics is discussed with evidence from the Benelux region. The characteristics of firms that choose to issue green bonds are investigated compared to conventional corporate bonds. Based on data retrieved from Eikon/DataStream, Orbis Global and Sustainalytics a sample is obtained with firms issuing green and conventional corporate bonds issued in the Euro currency in the Benelux. A binary regression was performed with 8 potential explanatory variables. The results of the paper show the characteristics and motives that drive firms to issue green bonds or not. The variables that appeared to be significant are profitability, current ratio, leverage, listed and green preference. Thus, profitable high leveraged private firms with low Environmental Social and Governance risk and current ratios have higher probabilities of issuing green bonds. These finding could have great impact on policy making to increase the volume of green bond issuance and so advance the transition to a green economy.

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Dissertation
The Asset-Backed Securities Purchase Programme and the developments in the securitisation market: evidence from the euro area
Authors: --- ---
Year: 2022 Publisher: Leuven KU Leuven. Faculteit Economie en Bedrijfswetenschappen

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Record low interest rates and low inflation prompted central banks to act with quantitative easing measures. The ECB started its quantitative easing programmes with the Asset-backed securities purchase programme and the third Covered-bond purchase programme in late 2014. However, research on the effects of the Asset-backed securities purchase programme is scarce, which poses a problem since it was a crucial part to revive the securitisation market in Europe, which suffered greatly during the crisis. The purpose of this study is to bridge this knowledge gap by firstly analysing the effect of the Asset-backed securities purchase programme on the asset-backed securities prices on the secondary market, using a fixed effect difference-in-differences analysis. In a second study, I analyse how intensively bank determinants influences the securitisation volume for asset-backed securities using fixed effects linear regressions. The first study indicates that Asset-backed securities purchase programme had no significant effect on the prices of targeted asset-backed securities. The second study suggests that the impact of balance sheet determinants did change before and after the implementation of the programme, with some variables affecting securitisation volumes more than others. Further studies are needed to establish a more thorough understanding of both research questions.

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Dissertation
Assessing the greenium in the European market for corporate bonds: an empirical analysis of the green bonds’ pricing
Authors: --- ---
Year: 2023 Publisher: Leuven KU Leuven. Faculteit Economie en Bedrijfswetenschappen

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The paramount global challenge of the 21st century revolves around addressing the pressing environmental emergency. In response to these environmental concerns, the issuance of green bonds has been increasing worldwide. This study analyses the pricing at issuance of green corporate bonds and their conventional counterparts, issued between 2016 and 2022 in the European financial market. The aim of this research is to explore the greenium which is a complex phenomenon researchers have been exploring from different angles, but literature offers very contrasting conclusions. The goal of this paper is to shed light on this topic through a multiple linear regression with the issue price being the dependent variable, and six independent variables. The variables that appeared to be significant are bond type, coupon rate, days to maturity, days from issuance, amount issued and seniority. Results show evidence for a slightly negative green premium and our findings suggest that the origin of the observed green discount lies beyond the characteristics of the bond itself. Various external factors contributing to this occurrence are explored, including green label legislation and greenwashing. As the green bond market continues to evolve, research around the greenium is key to ease the transition towards broader public engagement.

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Dissertation
Unconventional Monetary Policy and climate challenges: evidence from the implementation of the corporate sector purchase program in the EU
Authors: --- ---
Year: 2023 Publisher: Leuven KU Leuven. Faculteit Economie en Bedrijfswetenschappen

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Climate change has become one of the “critical missions” for the European Central Bank to focus on while designing its monetary policy. Given the growing importance of non conventional monetary tools like quantitative easing (QE) I want to examine whether public commitments like the Monetary Policy Strategy Review (MPSR, July 2021) have made a significant impact to decarbonise the asset portfolio bought by the ECB. On a second level I to identify which green characteristics increase the likelihood for bonds to be bought by the ECB. The data used in this thesis have been extracted from two different sources. First, data on the ECB’s corporate bond portfolios was acquired from the ECB’s website. Second, a bond universe of Euro-denominated, non-financial corporate bonds issued within the period between March 2016 and July 2023 was extracted from Refinitiv Eikon DataStream. The bonds included in this universe were then further divided into categories depending on the level of “greenness”. Based on key characteristics like Green Bond Flag (GBF), Use of Proceeds and External verification, a categorisation of “Color Bonds” was developed. Types of activity (Sector Groups) and Domiciles were also combined into groups to test for impact on the Green bonds purchasing pattern of the ECB. To check for potential predictors for the odds of a bond being bought by the ECB under the CSPP a logistic regression model was applied. In the total timeframe of 2017-2023 the quarterly number of purchased green bonds under the CSPP was stable. I found a significant increase in the probability for a non-financial corporate bond to be purchased under the CSPP when containing a Green Bond Flag, Green Use of Proceeds or a higher level of transparency and verified green characteristics. There was however was no significant difference in the odds of these assets being bought by the ECB before or after the MPSR. The available data also suggests that the application of the market neutrality principle does not tilt the purchases towards more carbon intensive sectors like the fossil fuel or utility sector.

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Dissertation
The Setup of the Macroprudential Policy in the European Union
Authors: --- ---
Year: 2023 Publisher: Leuven KU Leuven. Faculteit Economie en Bedrijfswetenschappen

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The emergence of the macroprudential policy initiative has regained financial regulators around the world ample confidence in fighting against banking crisis. The use of macroprudential tools such as the Countercyclical Capital Buffer has provided banks sufficient capital support once the systemic risk materializes. Setup of the macroprudential policy within the European Union is mainly achieved by a national’s Central Bank, the National Authorities such as the Financial Stability Committee or by the Ministry of Finance within a nation’s government. This thesis aims to investigate on a country level the impact of institutional differences on the setup of the macroprudential policy by these authorities. Through data support on a quarterly basis covering all EU member states within 2016-19, it is found with logistic modeling that, both a nation’s Central Bank and the National Authorities play a vital role in the setup of the macroprudential policy; a better policy outcome can be reached when it is the National Authorities setting the Countercyclical Capital Buffer along with the Central Bank in charge of the implementation of the macroprudential policy, or, when it is the same institution taking on all the macroprudential duties; the Government may negatively impact the efficacy of implementing macroprudential measures, especially when it is involved in setting the Countercyclical Capital Buffer.

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Dissertation
Entering debt capital markets for the first time: empirical analysis on corporate performance

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The paper explores how firms perform after entering debt capital markets for the first time during the 2017-2019 period. Literature review covers various studies concerning the developments of the corporate bond markets. Data is gathered from different databases. First filtered in the Eikon for the first-time issuance criteria, then in Orbis for the firm size criteria. Final sample of 38 companies consists of corporates from EU member states and the UK. Ex-post period of one year is set to conduct descriptive analysis, observing the differences between pre- and post-issuance performance in terms of turnover, assets, liabilities, and some financial health measures such as profitability, liquidity, and solvency. Results show that first-time issuers mostly use their external financing to finance their growth, which is reflected in the rise of total assets. Issuer companies already have high debt prior to issuance. By entering bond markets, they increase total liabilities significantly as well as their risks of insolvency. In the short run, observed firms get less profitable, whereas changes in turnover are not detectable. Finally, their liquidity remains around the same value and with issuance they diversify from equity to debt financing.

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