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This paper addresses an apparent lack of economic theory in the analysis of multilateral development bank (MDB) behavior. A simple comparative statics model that is adapted from the credit union literature is used to predict potential areas of conflict, agreement, and indifference between MDB member countries, analyze lending policies against the background of distributional conflicts, and show how various institutional reforms may improve efficiency and overall member country benefits.
Finance: General --- Industries: Financial Services --- International Monetary Arrangements and Institutions --- International Lending and Debt Problems --- Financial Institutions and Services: General --- Banks --- Depository Institutions --- Micro Finance Institutions --- Mortgages --- General Financial Markets: General (includes Measurement and Data) --- Finance --- Multilateral development institutions --- Loans --- Securities markets --- Capital markets --- Credit bureaus --- Financial institutions --- Financial markets --- Development banks --- Capital market --- Credit ratings --- United States
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This paper analyzes the determinants of currency substitution in Bolivia in the period following the 1984/85 hyperinflation. We find that expected exchange rate depreciation and actual interest rate differentials between boliviano and dollar deposits in the Bolivian banking system are statistically significant determinants of the degree of currency substitution. However, the explanatory power of these variables is low compared to variables that measure the degree of inertia in the currency substitution process. Thus, further reductions in inflation or higher interest rates for boliviano bank deposits are likely to have but a small effect on dollarization.
Banks and Banking --- Foreign Exchange --- Inflation --- Money and Monetary Policy --- Demand for Money --- Monetary Systems --- Standards --- Regimes --- Government and the Monetary System --- Payment Systems --- Banks --- Depository Institutions --- Micro Finance Institutions --- Mortgages --- Price Level --- Deflation --- Monetary economics --- Banking --- Macroeconomics --- Currency --- Foreign exchange --- Dollarization --- Bank deposits --- Currencies --- Exchange rates --- Monetary policy --- Financial services --- Money --- Prices --- Banks and banking --- Bolivia
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This paper argues that the brunt of the reform-induced increase in Polish social expenditures has been borne by social insurance arrangements (mainly pensions and unemployment compensation) rather than by social assistance schemes targeted to the poor or more temporary social safety net schemes. This is largely due to ease of access to social security and its more attractive benefit structure. Much of recent social expenditure reform had an ad-hoc nature and was driven by the need to alleviate looming financial distress. A major policy challenge is to avoid a further burdening of social security by needs that should be addressed by basic income support and emergency assistance policies or by general transfers (e.g., family allowances). Current reform needs are illustrated by using unemployment benefits and pensions as examples.
Labor --- Macroeconomics --- Public Finance --- Demography --- Social Security and Public Pensions --- Nonwage Labor Costs and Benefits --- Private Pensions --- Economics of the Elderly --- Economics of the Handicapped --- Non-labor Market Discrimination --- Aggregate Factor Income Distribution --- Unemployment: Models, Duration, Incidence, and Job Search --- National Government Expenditures and Welfare Programs --- Unemployment Insurance --- Severance Pay --- Plant Closings --- Pensions --- Population & demography --- Labour --- income economics --- Public finance & taxation --- Pension spending --- Aging --- Income --- Unemployment --- Expenditure --- Social assistance spending --- Population and demographics --- Unemployment benefits --- Population aging --- Expenditures, Public --- Unemployment insurance --- Poland, Republic of --- Income economics
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Against the background of Mexico's persistently high degree of inequality, this paper analyzes the country's experience with pro-poor policies over the last decade. A number of important government initiatives, implemented since the mid-1990s, have aimed at improving distributional equity through pro-poor expenditure programs, while at the same time seeking to increase the efficiency of public spending. This paper reviews these initiatives and outlines some additional policy options.
Macroeconomics --- Public Finance --- Personal Income, Wealth, and Their Distributions --- Economic Development: Human Resources --- Human Development --- Income Distribution --- Migration --- Aggregate Factor Income Distribution --- Education: General --- National Government Expenditures and Education --- Education --- Public finance & taxation --- Income --- Income inequality --- Education spending --- Income distribution --- National accounts --- Expenditure --- Expenditures, Public --- Mexico
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This paper reviews the role of fiscal policy in a number of stabilization programs in Latin America since the early 1980s. The paper highlights the importance of sustainable fiscal adjustment in stabilization efforts, and discusses the main issues that arise in this context. By reviewing the Latin American experience, it is argued that responsibility for failed stabilization attempts can be traced to four main factors: inconsistent policy mixes; excessive reliance on temporary factors of improvement in the fiscal accounts; failure to implement fundamental fiscal reforms; and lack of complementary structural reforms.
Inflation --- Macroeconomics --- Public Finance --- Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook: General --- Fiscal Policy --- Taxation, Subsidies, and Revenue: General --- Price Level --- Deflation --- National Government Expenditures and Related Policies: General --- Public finance & taxation --- Revenue administration --- Fiscal consolidation --- Fiscal policy --- Expenditure --- Prices --- Revenue --- Expenditures, Public --- Argentina
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This paper discusses the role of government expenditure policies in the decline in aggregate output in European transition economies. It is argued that there is little evidence for the hypothesis that more expansionary expenditure policies would have helped to mitigate the output decline. While measurement problems allow for very preliminary conclusions, it appears that government expenditures were, generally, not a binding constraint for output. In those cases where it could be argued that government expenditures were a binding constraint, they were usually not the only one. Government expenditure levels still remain on the high side, at least when compared with European market-based economies, and there exists few reasons for pursuing expansionary expenditure policies to lift European transition economies out of the “transitional recession.” While raising expenditure levels per se is an unappealing policy choice, a further reordering of expenditure priorities is desirable. In particular, increases in the share of government expenditures on capital--human and physical--are needed to improve long-run output potential.
Aggregate Factor Income Distribution --- Capital investments --- Capital spending --- Debt service --- Expenditure --- Expenditures, Public --- Exports and Imports --- External debt --- Government subsidies --- Income --- Interest payments --- International economics --- International Lending and Debt Problems --- Macroeconomics --- National accounts --- National Government Expenditures and Related Policies: General --- National Government Expenditures and Related Policies: Infrastructures --- Other Public Investment and Capital Stock --- Public finance & taxation --- Public Finance --- Subsidies --- Poland, Republic of
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It is commonly agreed that economic policies, including budgetary policies, can have potentially strong distributional effects. Traditional economic analysis held that economic policies affected the income distribution primarily through their impact on the rate of growth. More recently, it has come to be recognized that qualitative aspects of economic growth are probably more important than the rate of growth itself. While recent research has confirmed the potential role of expenditure policies as a redistributive tool, it has also shown that redistribution does not necessarily have to come at the expense of economic growth and efficiency. Although there are substantial analytical and technical problems to be faced in the design of equitable and cost-effective public expenditure programs, unfavorable distributional outcomes of these programs can usually be traced more to political and institutional pressures than to purely technical factors.
Macroeconomics --- Public Finance --- Poverty and Homelessness --- Aggregate Factor Income Distribution --- National Government Expenditures and Related Policies: General --- Personal Income, Wealth, and Their Distributions --- Macroeconomics: Consumption --- Saving --- Wealth --- Welfare, Well-Being, and Poverty: General --- Public finance & taxation --- Poverty & precarity --- Expenditure --- Personal income --- Income distribution --- Income inequality --- Consumption --- National accounts --- Poverty --- Expenditures, Public --- Income --- Economics --- Colombia
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The paper studies the economic determinants of government subsidies using panel data for 40 countries over 18 years (from 1975 to 1992) and finds that individual country-specific factors play a sizeable role in determining government subsidies. But it also suggests several characteristics—a small government, a small external current account deficit, and a productive structure geared more toward services and agriculture than manufacturing—may make it easier to keep subsidy expenditures down. The paper also suggests that globalization and the associated increase in openness are not impediments to reducing subsidies. In itself, an IMF-supported adjustment program is found not to be a significant determinant of government subsidy expenditures.
Econometrics --- Macroeconomics --- Public Finance --- National Government Expenditures and Related Policies: General --- Discrete Regression and Qualitative Choice Models --- Discrete Regressors --- Proportions --- General Aggregative Models: General --- Public finance & taxation --- Econometrics & economic statistics --- Expenditure --- Government subsidies --- Total expenditures --- Logit models --- National accounts --- Econometric analysis --- Expenditures, Public --- Subsidies --- Econometric models --- National income --- France
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This paper addresses the problems of defining and measuring government subsidies, examines why and how government subsidies are used as a fiscal policy tool, assesses their economic effects, appraises international empirical evidence on government subsidies, and offers options for their reform. Recent international trends in government subsidy expenditure are analyzed for the 16-year period from 1975 to 1990, using general government subsidy data for 60 countries from the System of National Accounts (SNA) and central government expenditure on subsidies and other current transfers for 68 countries from Government Finance Statistics (GFS). The paper reviews major policy options for subsidy reform, focusing on ways to improve the cost-effectiveness of subsidy programs.
Budgeting --- Macroeconomics --- Public Finance --- Statistics --- Taxation and Subsidies: Incidence --- National Government Expenditures and Related Policies: General --- General Aggregative Models: General --- Data Collection and Data Estimation Methodology --- Computer Programs: Other --- National Budget --- Budget Systems --- Public finance & taxation --- Econometrics & economic statistics --- Budgeting & financial management --- Government subsidies --- National accounts --- Government finance statistics --- Expenditure --- Budget planning and preparation --- Economic and financial statistics --- Public financial management (PFM) --- Subsidies --- National income --- Finance --- Expenditures, Public --- Budget --- United States
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Over the past three decades, public spending on infrastructure, as a share of GDP, has been on the decline worldwide. Although the link between infrastructure investment and economic growth is not yet fully understood, the quality of infrastructure clearly affects a country's productivity, competitiveness in export markets, and ability to attract foreign investment. This EI explores the following questions: Should countries increase public investment in infrastructure? If the answer is yes, how can they do so in a fiscally responsible manner? Are public-private partnerships a viable alternative?.
Infrastructure --- Public Finance --- National Government Expenditures and Related Policies: Infrastructures --- Other Public Investment and Capital Stock --- Investment --- Capital --- Intangible Capital --- Capacity --- Debt --- Debt Management --- Sovereign Debt --- National Government Expenditures and Related Policies: General --- Public finance & taxation --- Macroeconomics --- Public investment and public-private partnerships (PPP) --- Public investment spending --- Public debt --- Expenditure --- Public-private sector cooperation --- Public investments --- Saving and investment --- Debts, Public --- Expenditures, Public --- Brazil
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