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Toward An Economic Theory of Multilateral Development Banking
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ISBN: 1462395457 1455208094 128122507X 9786613777805 1455221104 Year: 1993 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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Abstract

This paper addresses an apparent lack of economic theory in the analysis of multilateral development bank (MDB) behavior. A simple comparative statics model that is adapted from the credit union literature is used to predict potential areas of conflict, agreement, and indifference between MDB member countries, analyze lending policies against the background of distributional conflicts, and show how various institutional reforms may improve efficiency and overall member country benefits.


Book
Currency Substitution : The Recent Experience of Bolivia
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ISBN: 1462368166 1455255548 1281601934 1455283681 9786613782625 Year: 1992 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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This paper analyzes the determinants of currency substitution in Bolivia in the period following the 1984/85 hyperinflation. We find that expected exchange rate depreciation and actual interest rate differentials between boliviano and dollar deposits in the Bolivian banking system are statistically significant determinants of the degree of currency substitution. However, the explanatory power of these variables is low compared to variables that measure the degree of inertia in the currency substitution process. Thus, further reductions in inflation or higher interest rates for boliviano bank deposits are likely to have but a small effect on dollarization.


Book
Poland : The Social Safety Net During the Transition
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ISBN: 1462316743 145520305X 128160299X 1455274585 9786613783684 Year: 1993 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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This paper argues that the brunt of the reform-induced increase in Polish social expenditures has been borne by social insurance arrangements (mainly pensions and unemployment compensation) rather than by social assistance schemes targeted to the poor or more temporary social safety net schemes. This is largely due to ease of access to social security and its more attractive benefit structure. Much of recent social expenditure reform had an ad-hoc nature and was driven by the need to alleviate looming financial distress. A major policy challenge is to avoid a further burdening of social security by needs that should be addressed by basic income support and emergency assistance policies or by general transfers (e.g., family allowances). Current reform needs are illustrated by using unemployment benefits and pensions as examples.


Book
Mexico : Experiences with Pro-Poor Expenditure Policies
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ISBN: 1462327893 145273416X 1281604046 9786613784735 1451891024 Year: 2002 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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Against the background of Mexico's persistently high degree of inequality, this paper analyzes the country's experience with pro-poor policies over the last decade. A number of important government initiatives, implemented since the mid-1990s, have aimed at improving distributional equity through pro-poor expenditure programs, while at the same time seeking to increase the efficiency of public spending. This paper reviews these initiatives and outlines some additional policy options.


Book
The Role of Fiscal Policy in Sustainable Stabilization : Evidence From Latin America
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ISBN: 1462396364 1452754284 128355495X 1451897545 9786613867407 Year: 1997 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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This paper reviews the role of fiscal policy in a number of stabilization programs in Latin America since the early 1980s. The paper highlights the importance of sustainable fiscal adjustment in stabilization efforts, and discusses the main issues that arise in this context. By reviewing the Latin American experience, it is argued that responsibility for failed stabilization attempts can be traced to four main factors: inconsistent policy mixes; excessive reliance on temporary factors of improvement in the fiscal accounts; failure to implement fundamental fiscal reforms; and lack of complementary structural reforms.


Book
Output Decline and Government Expenditures in European Transition Economies
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ISBN: 1462392377 1455234354 Year: 1994 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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This paper discusses the role of government expenditure policies in the decline in aggregate output in European transition economies. It is argued that there is little evidence for the hypothesis that more expansionary expenditure policies would have helped to mitigate the output decline. While measurement problems allow for very preliminary conclusions, it appears that government expenditures were, generally, not a binding constraint for output. In those cases where it could be argued that government expenditures were a binding constraint, they were usually not the only one. Government expenditure levels still remain on the high side, at least when compared with European market-based economies, and there exists few reasons for pursuing expansionary expenditure policies to lift European transition economies out of the “transitional recession.” While raising expenditure levels per se is an unappealing policy choice, a further reordering of expenditure priorities is desirable. In particular, increases in the share of government expenditures on capital--human and physical--are needed to improve long-run output potential.


Book
The Distributional Effects of Public Expenditure : Update and Overview
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ISBN: 1462383262 1455296929 1281311677 1455246360 9786613778536 Year: 1995 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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It is commonly agreed that economic policies, including budgetary policies, can have potentially strong distributional effects. Traditional economic analysis held that economic policies affected the income distribution primarily through their impact on the rate of growth. More recently, it has come to be recognized that qualitative aspects of economic growth are probably more important than the rate of growth itself. While recent research has confirmed the potential role of expenditure policies as a redistributive tool, it has also shown that redistribution does not necessarily have to come at the expense of economic growth and efficiency. Although there are substantial analytical and technical problems to be faced in the design of equitable and cost-effective public expenditure programs, unfavorable distributional outcomes of these programs can usually be traced more to political and institutional pressures than to purely technical factors.


Book
Economic Determinants of Government Subsidies
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ISBN: 1462302440 1452743134 1283555786 9786613868237 1451903324 Year: 1998 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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The paper studies the economic determinants of government subsidies using panel data for 40 countries over 18 years (from 1975 to 1992) and finds that individual country-specific factors play a sizeable role in determining government subsidies. But it also suggests several characteristics—a small government, a small external current account deficit, and a productive structure geared more toward services and agriculture than manufacturing—may make it easier to keep subsidy expenditures down. The paper also suggests that globalization and the associated increase in openness are not impediments to reducing subsidies. In itself, an IMF-supported adjustment program is found not to be a significant determinant of government subsidy expenditures.


Book
Government Subsidies : Concepts, International Trends, and Reform Options
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ISBN: 1462353991 1455243450 1281601497 9786613782182 1455287741 Year: 1995 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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This paper addresses the problems of defining and measuring government subsidies, examines why and how government subsidies are used as a fiscal policy tool, assesses their economic effects, appraises international empirical evidence on government subsidies, and offers options for their reform. Recent international trends in government subsidy expenditure are analyzed for the 16-year period from 1975 to 1990, using general government subsidy data for 60 countries from the System of National Accounts (SNA) and central government expenditure on subsidies and other current transfers for 68 countries from Government Finance Statistics (GFS). The paper reviews major policy options for subsidy reform, focusing on ways to improve the cost-effectiveness of subsidy programs.


Book
Public Investment and Public-Private Partnerships
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ISBN: 1462392628 1452766509 Year: 2007 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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Over the past three decades, public spending on infrastructure, as a share of GDP, has been on the decline worldwide. Although the link between infrastructure investment and economic growth is not yet fully understood, the quality of infrastructure clearly affects a country's productivity, competitiveness in export markets, and ability to attract foreign investment. This EI explores the following questions: Should countries increase public investment in infrastructure? If the answer is yes, how can they do so in a fiscally responsible manner? Are public-private partnerships a viable alternative?.

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