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This paper examines the causes of deflation in Hong Kong SAR, exploring whether it reflects a prolonged process of adjustment to cyclical shocks or whether it results from price equalization pressures arising from structural integration with mainland China. To gauge the relative importance of these factors, the paper provides both an econometric and a qualitative analysis of the price dynamics between Hong Kong SAR and Shenzhen, a neighboring city in mainland China. It finds that the role of price equalization as a source of deflation is minor. Deflation in Hong Kong SAR is best explained by successive cyclical shocks which have been amplified by balance-sheet and wealth effects.
Foreign Exchange --- Inflation --- Macroeconomics --- Real Estate --- Price Level --- Deflation --- Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance: General --- Nonagricultural and Nonresidential Real Estate Markets --- Currency --- Foreign exchange --- Property & real estate --- Nominal effective exchange rate --- Land prices --- Consumer price indexes --- Prices --- Asset prices --- Housing --- Price indexes --- Hong Kong Special Administrative Region, People's Republic of China
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This paper addresses two complications arising from the use of collateral requirements in debt contracts between wealth-constrained entrepreneurs and banks. First, costly asset liquidation is found to enhance the susceptibility of debt finance to interest rate volatility. Second, aggregate uncertainty in conjunction with limited bank capitalization is shown to produce excessive credit constraints that, under certain conditions, justify the public supply of liquidity. The paper suggests applications with respect to models of interest rate smoothing and self-fulfilling currency crises.
Banks and Banking --- Labor --- Macroeconomics --- Money and Monetary Policy --- Industries: Financial Services --- Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy --- Banks --- Depository Institutions --- Micro Finance Institutions --- Mortgages --- Labor Demand --- Price Level --- Inflation --- Deflation --- Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit: General --- Finance --- Labour --- income economics --- Banking --- Monetary economics --- Collateral --- Self-employment --- Asset prices --- Credit --- Financial institutions --- Prices --- Money --- Loans --- Self-employed --- Banks and banking --- India --- Income economics
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Zonder onderwerpscode --- Money. Monetary policy --- Private finance
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