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This paper analyzes how capital requirements from environmental risk exposure affect bank lending to the corporate sector, and how these effects transmit to real economic activity and greenhouse gas emissions. It exploits the introduction of a policy in Brazil that required banks to incorporate environmental risks into their capital assessments. Using comprehensive credit data, the paper finds that the policy induces large banks to reallocate their lending away from exposed sectors. The credit contraction has no substantial impact on the real activity and greenhouse gas emissions of these sectors, as smaller banks expand their lending. However, the policy triggers a moderate labor reallocation from small firms (those with higher costs of switching lenders) to large firms in environmentally exposed sectors.
Banks and banking. --- Climatic changes --- Law and legislation.
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This paper studies the impact of a program that provides grants for technical assistance on the interest rates and outreach of credit unions in Mexico. Credit unions financing rural borrowers received grants in different years. The study uses propensity score matching and relies additionally on the timing of the grants to identify effects. The analysis shows that the program lowered lending interest rates by up to 2.6 percentage points (from a pre-program average of 17.8 percent). This drop appears to be due to lower operating costs and better risk management, as reflected in a lower nonperforming loan ratio. The program also raised credit unions' returns on assets and significantly increased the value of their loan portfolio.
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This paper analyzes bank stock prices around the world to assess the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on the banking sector. Using a global database of policy responses during the crisis, the paper also examines the role of financial sector policy announcements on the performance of bank stocks. Overall, the results suggest that the crisis and the countercyclical lending role that banks are expected to play have put banking systems under significant stress, with bank stocks underperforming their domestic markets and other non-bank financial firms. The effectiveness of policy interventions has been mixed. Measures of liquidity support, borrower assistance, and monetary easing moderated the adverse impact of the crisis, but this is not true for all banks or in all circumstances. For example, borrower assistance and prudential measures exacerbated the stress for banks that are already undercapitalized and/or operate in countries with little fiscal space. These vulnerabilities will need to be carefully monitored as the pandemic continues to take a toll on the world's economies.
Bank Stock Returns --- Banking Sector --- Banks and Banking Reform --- Business Cycles and Stabilization Policies --- Coronavirus --- Countercyclical Lending --- COVID-19 --- Finance and Financial Sector Development --- Financial Crisis Management and Restructuring --- Financial Sector and Social Assistance --- Government Announcement --- Liquidity Premium --- Macroeconomics and Economic Growth --- Pandemic Impact --- State-Owned Banks
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This paper provides evidence that commercial lenders in Peru free ride off their peers' screening efforts. Leveraging a discontinuity in the loan approval process of a large bank, the study finds that competing lenders responded to additional loan approvals by issuing approvals of their own. Competing lenders captured almost three-quarters of the new loans to previously financially excluded borrowers, greatly diminishing the profits accruing to the initiating bank. Lenders may therefore underinvest in screening new borrowers and expanding financial inclusion, as their competitors reap some of the benefit. The results highlight that information spillovers between lenders may operate outside credit registries.
Access to Credit --- Access to Finance --- Asymmetric Information --- Banking --- Credit Market Competition --- Finance and Financial Sector Development --- Financial Inclusion --- Private Sector Development --- Small and Medium Size Enterprises --- SME Finance
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This paper studies loan conditions in a context where private banks can operate in two credit markets: a free-market with no government intervention and an earmarked market that relies on government funds and where interest rates are regulated. The paper examines the effects of earmarked lending on the spreads of free-market loans using a rich loan-level dataset on all Brazilian firms between 2005 and 2016. The evidence suggests that private banks strategically channel earmarked credit to firms that are ex ante more difficult to lock-in in the free-market-larger firms in more contested regions. The paper highlights a novel channel whereby earmarked credit is used by private banks to extract more rents. Once a firm receives an earmarked credit from its bank, its interest rates on new loans in the free-market increase while the loan volume remains mostly unaffected.
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This paper shows how the creation of ceilings on local public debt can increase economic activity. For identification, the paper exploits administrative micro data in conjunction with the introduction of a Mexican law limiting the amount of indebtedness of subnational governments. The analysis finds that states with ex-ante higher public debt have stronger economic growth after the implementation of the law, despite reducing public spending and increasing taxes, albeit at the expense of more extreme poverty. The mechanism for this result is a reduction in crowding out. In states with higher ex-ante public debt, banks reallocate credit away from local governments and into private firms, with strong positive firm-level real effects. The unwinding of this crowding out is stronger for more credit constrained firms and for firms borrowing from banks that are more exposed to local public debt. Furthermore, the impact of the law on economic growth is stronger in states allocating a larger share of public spending to non-infrastructure projects.
Banks --- Crowding Out --- Debt Markets --- Emerging Market Economies --- Finance and Financial Sector Development --- Fiscal Policy --- Governance --- Government Lending --- Local Government --- Public Debt --- Public Sector Development --- Subnational Debt
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