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Book
Understanding Corporate Vulnerabilities in Latin America
Authors: ---
ISBN: 1475527888 1475525877 Year: 2016 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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Abstract

This paper analyzes the potential risks and vulnerabilities of non-financial corporates in Latin America and Canada. We quantify the impact of company-specific, countryspecific, and global factors in driving corporate spreads. Overall, we found that all these factors play a role in explaining corporate risk. In particular, country specific factors such as exchange rate and sovereign CDS spreads are significantly associated with changes in corporate spreads, underscoring the importance of solid policy frameworks. We also find that global conditions, such as the VIX, are dominant drivers of corporate spreads. In recent years, the adverse effects from deteriorating domestic conditions have been broadly offset by relatively bening global financial conditions. However, a sustained reversal in these conditions would put significant pressure on corporate risk.


Book
Corporate Financing Trends and Balance Sheet Risks in Latin America
Authors: --- ---
ISBN: 1498398375 149838000X Year: 2015 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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Abstract

Easy global liquidity conditions, stronger risk appetite and a retrenchment in cross-border bank lending led to a surge in emerging market firms’ bond issuance in international markets (what we term “The Bon(d)anza”). Using firm-level data for five large Latin American economies, we provide evidence of a significant change in companies’ external funding strategies and liability structures after 2010, as well as in the balance sheet risks that firms face. We find that stepped up bond issuance was mostly aimed at re-financing rather than funding investment projects, as firms extended the average duration of their debt while securing lower fixed-rates, reducing roll-over and interest rate risks. The shift towards safer maturity structures has come at the expense of a leveraging-up in foreign-currency-denominated financial debt in several countries— reversing a de-dollarization trend seen during the last decade. We also provide evidence that a substantial part of these bonds were issued through offshore vehicles, suggesting regulatory and tax arbitrage strategies. For some corporations, rising dollar debt and high leverage will be particularly taxing in an environment of US dollar strengthening, less buoyant commodity prices and slowing domestic activity.

Keywords

Corporations --- Corporate debt --- Bonds --- Capital market --- Financial risk --- Financial statements --- Balance sheets --- Corporate financial statements --- Earnings statements --- Financial reports --- Income statements --- Operating statements --- Profit and loss statements --- Statements, Financial --- Accounting --- Bookkeeping --- Business records --- Corporation reports --- Business risk (Finance) --- Money risk (Finance) --- Risk --- Capital markets --- Market, Capital --- Finance --- Financial institutions --- Loans --- Money market --- Securities --- Crowding out (Economics) --- Efficient market theory --- Bond issues --- Debentures --- Negotiable instruments --- Debts, Public --- Stocks --- Debt --- Debt financing (Corporations) --- Business corporations --- C corporations --- Corporations, Business --- Corporations, Public --- Limited companies --- Publicly held corporations --- Publicly traded corporations --- Public limited companies --- Stock corporations --- Subchapter C corporations --- Business enterprises --- Corporate power --- Disincorporation --- Trusts, Industrial --- Finance. --- Exports and Imports --- Investments: General --- Investments: Bonds --- Money and Monetary Policy --- Financing Policy --- Financial Risk and Risk Management --- Capital and Ownership Structure --- Value of Firms --- Goodwill --- International Financial Markets --- Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy --- General Financial Markets: General (includes Measurement and Data) --- Monetary Systems --- Standards --- Regimes --- Government and the Monetary System --- Payment Systems --- Public Administration --- Public Sector Accounting and Audits --- International Lending and Debt Problems --- Investment --- Capital --- Intangible Capital --- Capacity --- Investment & securities --- Monetary economics --- Financial reporting, financial statements --- International economics --- Macroeconomics --- Currencies --- Debt service --- Depreciation --- Money --- Public financial management (PFM) --- External debt --- National accounts --- Finance, Public --- Saving and investment --- Brazil


Book
Post-Conflict Recovery : Institutions, Aid, or Luck?
Authors: --- --- ---
ISBN: 1462365744 145528761X 1283555727 9786613868176 1455270474 Year: 2011 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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Abstract

This paper identifies the factors linked to cross-country differentials in growth performance in the aftermath of social conflict for 30 sub-Saharan African countries using panel data techniques. Our results show that changes in the terms of trade are the most important correlate of economic performance in post-conflict environments. This variable is typically associated with an increase in the marginal probability of positive economic performance by about 30 percent. Institutional quality emerges as the second most important factor. Foreign aid is shown to have very limited ability to explain differentials in growth performance, and other policy variables such as trade openness are not found to have a statistically significant effect. The results suggest that exogenous factors ("luck") are an important factor in post-conflict recovery. They also highlight the importance in post-conflict settings of policies to mitigate the macroeconomic impact of terms of trade volatility (including countercyclical macroeconomic policies and innovative financing instruments) and of policies to promote export diversification.


Book
Fiscal Adjustment and Income Inequality : Sub-national Evidence from Brazil
Authors: --- --- ---
ISBN: 1484385764 1484385535 1484386051 1484385349 Year: 2014 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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Abstract

We combine state-level fiscal data with household survey data to assess the links between sub-national fiscal policy and income inequality in Brazil over the period 1995-2011. The results indicate that a tighter fiscal stance at the sub-national level is not associated with a deterioration in inequality measures. This finding contrasts with the conclusions of several papers in the burgeoning literature on the effects of fiscal consolidation on inequality using national data for OECD economies. In addition, we find that a tighter stance is typically positively associated with a measure of “shared prosperity”. Hence, our results caution against extrapolating policy implications of the literature focusing on advanced economies to other settings.

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