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"Conceptualizing terrorism argues that, in the post 9/11 world, the need for an internationally agreed definition of terrorism is more important than it has ever been, despite the challenges that such an endeavour presents. Indeed, in a global context, where the term is often applied selectively and pejoratively according to where one's interests lie, there is a real need to instill some analytical quality into the concept of terrorism, not least in order to prevent the term being manipulated to justify all manner of counter-terrorism responses. Not only is this important for the policymaking context but it is also an imperative task within academia - in order to strengthen the theoretical foundation of terrorism studies, for all other terrorism related theories rest on what one means by terrorism in the first place. Written from an academic perspective, the book explores the prospects for 'terrorism' as an analytical concept. Arguing that the essence of this particular form of political violence lies in its intent to generate a psychological impact beyond the immediate victims, it goes on to propose the adoption of three key preliminary assumptions that have implications for the definitional debate and that it suggests might help to increase the analytical potential of 'terrorism'. The book then considers potential elements of a definition before concluding with its own conceptualization of terrorism"--Dust jacket.
Terrorism --- Acts of terrorism --- Attacks, Terrorist --- Global terrorism --- International terrorism --- Political terrorism --- Terror attacks --- Terrorist acts --- Terrorist attacks --- World terrorism --- Direct action --- Insurgency --- Political crimes and offenses --- Subversive activities --- Political violence --- Terror --- #SBIB:327.5H21 --- Vrede – oorlog, oorlogssituaties
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'Conceptualising Terrorism' argues that, while there have always been good reasons for striving for a universally agreed definition of terrorism, there are further reasons for doing so in the post-9/11 environment, notwithstanding the formidable challenges that confront such an endeavour.
Terrorism. --- Acts of terrorism --- Attacks, Terrorist --- Global terrorism --- International terrorism --- Political terrorism --- Terror attacks --- Terrorist acts --- Terrorist attacks --- World terrorism --- Direct action --- Insurgency --- Political crimes and offenses --- Subversive activities --- Political violence --- Terror
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This paper is a response to the literature that tests for cointegration between national stock market indices. It argues that apparent findings of cointegration in other studies may often be due to the use of asymptotic, rather than small-sample, critical values. In fact, economic theory suggests that cointegration is unlikely to be observed in efficient markets. However, this paper finds some evidence for the long-horizon predictability of relative returns, and the existence of “winner-loser” reversals across 16 national equity markets. A conclusion is that national stock market indices include a common world component and two country-specific components, one permanent and one transitory.
Econometrics --- Finance: General --- Investments: Stocks --- Macroeconomics --- International Financial Markets --- Time-Series Models --- Dynamic Quantile Regressions --- Dynamic Treatment Effect Models --- Diffusion Processes --- State Space Models --- General Financial Markets: General (includes Measurement and Data) --- Price Level --- Inflation --- Deflation --- Pension Funds --- Non-bank Financial Institutions --- Financial Instruments --- Institutional Investors --- Finance --- Econometrics & economic statistics --- Investment & securities --- Stock markets --- Asset prices --- Vector autoregression --- Stocks --- Price indexes --- Financial markets --- Prices --- Financial institutions --- Econometric analysis --- Stock exchanges --- United States
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This paper models the idiosyncratic or asset-specific return of an asset as the return on a portfolio that is long in that asset and short in other assets in the same class, thereby removing the common components of returns. This is the type of “hedged” position that is held by relative-value investors. Weekly returns data for seven different asset classes suggest that idiosyncratic risk is: higher at times of large return outcomes for the asset class as a whole; positively autocorrelated; and correlated across different asset classes. The implications for risk management are discussed.
Banks and Banking --- Finance: General --- Investments: Stocks --- Portfolio Choice --- Investment Decisions --- International Financial Markets --- General Financial Markets: General (includes Measurement and Data) --- Pension Funds --- Non-bank Financial Institutions --- Financial Instruments --- Institutional Investors --- Financing Policy --- Financial Risk and Risk Management --- Capital and Ownership Structure --- Value of Firms --- Goodwill --- Finance --- Investment & securities --- Financial services law & regulation --- Stock markets --- Stocks --- Market risk --- Securities markets --- Emerging and frontier financial markets --- Financial markets --- Financial institutions --- Financial regulation and supervision --- Stock exchanges --- Financial risk management --- Capital market --- Financial services industry --- United States
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This paper examines possible explanations for “winner–loser reversals” in the national stock market indices of 16 countries. There is no evidence that loser countries are riskier than winner countries either in terms of standard deviations, covariance with the world market or other risk factors, or performance in adverse economic states of the world. While there is evidence that small markets are subject to larger reversals than large markets, perhaps because of some form of market imperfection, the reversals are not just a small-market phenomenon. The apparent anomaly of winner-loser reversals in national market indices therefore remains unresolved.
Banks and Banking --- Finance: General --- Investments: Stocks --- Macroeconomics --- International Financial Markets --- General Financial Markets: General (includes Measurement and Data) --- Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy --- Pension Funds --- Non-bank Financial Institutions --- Financial Instruments --- Institutional Investors --- Price Level --- Inflation --- Deflation --- Financing Policy --- Financial Risk and Risk Management --- Capital and Ownership Structure --- Value of Firms --- Goodwill --- Finance --- Investment & securities --- Financial services law & regulation --- Stock markets --- Market capitalization --- Stocks --- Asset prices --- Market risk --- Financial markets --- Financial institutions --- Prices --- Financial regulation and supervision --- Stock exchanges --- Financial services industry --- Financial risk management --- United States
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This paper examines the evidence for the common assertion that the volatility of emerging stock markets has increased as a result of the liberalization of markets. A range of measures suggests that there has been no generalized increase in volatility in recent years; indeed, it appears that volatility may have tended to fall rather than rise on average. The paper also tests for the predictability of long-horizon returns in emerging markets. While there is evidence for positive autocorrelation in returns at horizons of one or two quarters, the autocorrelations appear to turn negative at horizons of a year or more. However, the magnitude of the apparent return reversals is not that much larger than reversals in some mature markets. One interpretation of the results would be that emerging markets have not consistently been subject to fads or bubbles, or at least no more so than in some industrial countries. In general, the liberalization and broadening of emerging markets should lead to a reduction in return volatility as risk is spread among a larger number of investors.
Finance: General --- Investments: Stocks --- Macroeconomics --- General Financial Markets: General (includes Measurement and Data) --- Price Level --- Inflation --- Deflation --- Pension Funds --- Non-bank Financial Institutions --- Financial Instruments --- Institutional Investors --- Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy --- International Financial Markets --- Finance --- Investment & securities --- Emerging and frontier financial markets --- Stock markets --- Asset prices --- Stocks --- Market capitalization --- Financial markets --- Prices --- Financial institutions --- Financial services industry --- Stock exchanges --- United States
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This paper examines the performance of emerging market bank stocks around the time of rating changes by major international agencies. The data suggest that downgrades on average have followed periods of negative cumulative abnormal returns for banks, although upgrades have not followed periods of positive returns. More important, stock prices either do not respond to rating changes or respond in the opposite direction to what would be expected if announcements conveyed value-relevant information. The paper concludes that there are limits to the extent that supervisors in emerging markets can rely on market participants to monitor the safety and soundness of banks.
Banks and Banking --- Finance: General --- Investments: Stocks --- Macroeconomics --- Investments: Bonds --- International Financial Markets --- Banks --- Depository Institutions --- Micro Finance Institutions --- Mortgages --- General Financial Markets: General (includes Measurement and Data) --- Pension Funds --- Non-bank Financial Institutions --- Financial Instruments --- Institutional Investors --- Price Level --- Inflation --- Deflation --- Finance --- Banking --- Investment & securities --- Emerging and frontier financial markets --- Stock markets --- Stocks --- Asset prices --- Financial markets --- Financial institutions --- Prices --- Bond ratings --- Banks and banking --- Financial services industry --- Stock exchanges --- Bonds --- United States
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This paper reviews the recent real exchange rate appreciation observed in the three Baltic countries. Until now, this phenomenon may be viewed primarily as a consequence of the undervalued real exchange rates of the new currencies. Looking ahead, a tendency for continued real appreciation is to be expected as part of the transition process toward higher income levels, due in part to differential productivity growth rates in the tradable and nontradable sectors. In the absence of an appreciation of the nominal exchange rate, this real appreciation will occur through inflation rates that are higher than in industrial countries. Provided that the current prudent economic policies are continued, such higher inflation will not threaten macroeconomic objectives and may indeed be viewed as an indication that the transition process is progressing as expected.
Aggregate Factor Income Distribution --- Conventional peg --- Currency --- Deflation --- Economic Growth of Open Economies --- Foreign Exchange --- Foreign exchange --- Income --- Industrial productivity --- Inflation --- Macroeconomics --- Macroeconomics: Production --- National accounts --- Open Economy Macroeconomics --- Price Level --- Prices --- Production and Operations Management --- Production --- Productivity --- Real exchange rates --- United States
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