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Conceptualizing terrorism
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ISBN: 9780198746966 0198746962 Year: 2015 Publisher: Oxford, United Kingdom New York, NY Oxford University Press

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"Conceptualizing terrorism argues that, in the post 9/11 world, the need for an internationally agreed definition of terrorism is more important than it has ever been, despite the challenges that such an endeavour presents. Indeed, in a global context, where the term is often applied selectively and pejoratively according to where one's interests lie, there is a real need to instill some analytical quality into the concept of terrorism, not least in order to prevent the term being manipulated to justify all manner of counter-terrorism responses. Not only is this important for the policymaking context but it is also an imperative task within academia - in order to strengthen the theoretical foundation of terrorism studies, for all other terrorism related theories rest on what one means by terrorism in the first place. Written from an academic perspective, the book explores the prospects for 'terrorism' as an analytical concept. Arguing that the essence of this particular form of political violence lies in its intent to generate a psychological impact beyond the immediate victims, it goes on to propose the adoption of three key preliminary assumptions that have implications for the definitional debate and that it suggests might help to increase the analytical potential of 'terrorism'. The book then considers potential elements of a definition before concluding with its own conceptualization of terrorism"--Dust jacket.


Book
Conceptualizing terrorism
Author:
ISBN: 0191063983 019180925X Year: 2015 Publisher: Oxford : Oxford University Press,

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'Conceptualising Terrorism' argues that, while there have always been good reasons for striving for a universally agreed definition of terrorism, there are further reasons for doing so in the post-9/11 environment, notwithstanding the formidable challenges that confront such an endeavour.


Book
Comovements in National Stock Market Returns : Evidence of Predictability But Not Cointegration
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ISBN: 1462361161 1455280739 1281093149 9786613776198 1455294748 Year: 1996 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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This paper is a response to the literature that tests for cointegration between national stock market indices. It argues that apparent findings of cointegration in other studies may often be due to the use of asymptotic, rather than small-sample, critical values. In fact, economic theory suggests that cointegration is unlikely to be observed in efficient markets. However, this paper finds some evidence for the long-horizon predictability of relative returns, and the existence of “winner-loser” reversals across 16 national equity markets. A conclusion is that national stock market indices include a common world component and two country-specific components, one permanent and one transitory.


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Idiosyncratic Risk : An Empirical Analysis, with Implications for the Risk of Relative-Value Trading Strategies
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ISBN: 1462322646 1452754241 1282107046 1451901895 9786613800398 Year: 1999 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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This paper models the idiosyncratic or asset-specific return of an asset as the return on a portfolio that is long in that asset and short in other assets in the same class, thereby removing the common components of returns. This is the type of “hedged” position that is held by relative-value investors. Weekly returns data for seven different asset classes suggest that idiosyncratic risk is: higher at times of large return outcomes for the asset class as a whole; positively autocorrelated; and correlated across different asset classes. The implications for risk management are discussed.


Book
Winner-Loser Reversals in National Stock Market Indices : Can they Be Explained?
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ISBN: 1462328660 1452723958 1282109596 9786613802484 1451904592 Year: 1997 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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This paper examines possible explanations for “winner–loser reversals” in the national stock market indices of 16 countries. There is no evidence that loser countries are riskier than winner countries either in terms of standard deviations, covariance with the world market or other risk factors, or performance in adverse economic states of the world. While there is evidence that small markets are subject to larger reversals than large markets, perhaps because of some form of market imperfection, the reversals are not just a small-market phenomenon. The apparent anomaly of winner-loser reversals in national market indices therefore remains unresolved.


Book
Volatility and Predictability in National Stock Markets : How Do Emerging and Mature Markets Differ?
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ISBN: 1462378315 1455241385 1281089079 1455267503 9786613774538 Year: 1996 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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This paper examines the evidence for the common assertion that the volatility of emerging stock markets has increased as a result of the liberalization of markets. A range of measures suggests that there has been no generalized increase in volatility in recent years; indeed, it appears that volatility may have tended to fall rather than rise on average. The paper also tests for the predictability of long-horizon returns in emerging markets. While there is evidence for positive autocorrelation in returns at horizons of one or two quarters, the autocorrelations appear to turn negative at horizons of a year or more. However, the magnitude of the apparent return reversals is not that much larger than reversals in some mature markets. One interpretation of the results would be that emerging markets have not consistently been subject to fads or bubbles, or at least no more so than in some industrial countries. In general, the liberalization and broadening of emerging markets should lead to a reduction in return volatility as risk is spread among a larger number of investors.


Book
Menus, Munitions and Keeping the Peace
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ISBN: 1473870860 1473870887 1473870895 Year: 2016 Publisher: Pen & Sword History

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Bank Rating Changes and Bank Stock Returns—Puzzling Evidence from the Emerging Markets
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ISBN: 1462317596 1452787549 1282041231 1451902131 9786613797131 Year: 1999 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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This paper examines the performance of emerging market bank stocks around the time of rating changes by major international agencies. The data suggest that downgrades on average have followed periods of negative cumulative abnormal returns for banks, although upgrades have not followed periods of positive returns. More important, stock prices either do not respond to rating changes or respond in the opposite direction to what would be expected if announcements conveyed value-relevant information. The paper concludes that there are limits to the extent that supervisors in emerging markets can rely on market participants to monitor the safety and soundness of banks.


Book
Growth, Nontradables, and Price Convergence in the Baltics
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ISBN: 1462303625 1455278734 Year: 1995 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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This paper reviews the recent real exchange rate appreciation observed in the three Baltic countries. Until now, this phenomenon may be viewed primarily as a consequence of the undervalued real exchange rates of the new currencies. Looking ahead, a tendency for continued real appreciation is to be expected as part of the transition process toward higher income levels, due in part to differential productivity growth rates in the tradable and nontradable sectors. In the absence of an appreciation of the nominal exchange rate, this real appreciation will occur through inflation rates that are higher than in industrial countries. Provided that the current prudent economic policies are continued, such higher inflation will not threaten macroeconomic objectives and may indeed be viewed as an indication that the transition process is progressing as expected.


Book
Comovements in national stock market returns: evidence of predictability but not cointegration
Author:
Year: 1996 Publisher: Washington, D.C. International Monetary Fund

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