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Book
Theory and evidence on reform of the treasury's auction procedures
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Year: 1992 Publisher: Washington, D.C. Federal Reserve Board

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Book
Auction Format Matters : Evidenceon Bidding Behavior and Seller Revenue
Authors: ---
ISBN: 146238434X 1455245437 1281602698 1455207993 9786613783387 Year: 1995 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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This paper evaluates the importance of auction format on bidding behavior and seller revenue, focusing on differences in performance under uniform-price and discriminatory-price formats. The analysis is based on a standard benchmark model from which empirically-testable hypotheses are derived on the optimal amount of bid shading that generates revenue equivalence between the two formats. Applying this model to data from the IMF gold auctions run in 1976-80, we find evidence of statistically significant shading in excess of the theoretically-derived optimum under the discriminatory format. This evidence suggests greater seller revenue under the uniform-price format.


Book
Flexible Estimation of Demand Schedules and Revenue Under Different Auction Formats
Authors: ---
ISBN: 1462345883 1455281816 Year: 1995 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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The IMF Working Papers series is designed to make IMF staff research available to a wide audience. Almost 300 Working Papers are released each year, covering a wide range of theoretical and analytical topics, including balance of payments, monetary and fiscal issues, global liquidity, and national and international economic developments.


Book
Output Fluctuations and Monetary Shocks : Evidence From Colombia
Authors: ---
ISBN: 1462364187 145524239X Year: 1991 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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Using annual data for Colombia over the last thirty years and a new battery of econometric techniques, we test opposing theories that explain macroeconomic fluctuations: The neoclassical synthesis, which posits that, in the presence of temporary price rigidity, an unanticipated monetary expansion produces output gains that erode over time with increases in the price level; and an alternative explanation, which focuses on “real” technological or preference shocks as the sources of output changes. The coefficients from these systems are used to examine two basic propositions: the long-run neutrality of nominal quantities with respect to permanent movements in the money stock; and the short-run sensitivity of output to inflation.


Book
Capital flow bonanzas: an encompassing view of the past and present.
Authors: ---
Year: 2008 Publisher: London Centre For Economic Policy Research

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Book
When the north last headed south: revisiting the 1930s.
Authors: ---
Year: 2010 Publisher: London Centre For Economic Policy Research

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Digital
Pride Goes Before a Fall : Federal Reserve Policy and Asset Markets
Authors: ---
Year: 2011 Publisher: Cambridge, Mass. National Bureau of Economic Research

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Considerable debate rages about whether Federal Reserve policy was too lax in the early part of the 2000s, thereby fueling the home-price bubble that was the proximate cause of the global financial crisis. We present evidence that the view that modest alterations to monetary policy have vast consequences is inconsistent with theory and not supported by evidence. We take a close look at the responses of asset markets to changes in the short-term policy interest rate since the founding of the Fed in 1914. Changes in the federal funds rate have no systematic effect on either long-term interest rates or housing prices over nearly a century. Indeed, since the mid-1990s the policy rate had a negative relationship with long-term interest rates. This is consistent with a global view of capital markets where massive cross-border flows shape the availability of domestic credit and asset prices. The evidence casts doubts on arguments that a moderately different monetary policy path might have mattered.


Digital
After the Fall
Authors: ---
Year: 2010 Publisher: Cambridge, Mass. National Bureau of Economic Research

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This paper examines the behavior of real GDP (levels and growth rates), unemployment, inflation, bank credit, and real estate prices in a twenty one-year window surrounding selected adverse global and country-specific shocks or events. The episodes include the 1929 stock market crash, the 1973 oil shock, the 2007 U.S. subprime collapse and fifteen severe post-World War II financial crises. The focus is not on the immediate antecedents and aftermath of these events but on longer horizons that compare decades rather than years. While evidence of lost decades, as in the depression of the 1930s, 1980s Latin America and 1990s Japan are not ubiquitous, GDP growth and housing prices are significantly lower and unemployment higher in the ten-year window following the crisis when compared to the decade that preceded it. Inflation is lower after 1929 and in the post-financial crisis decade episodes but notoriously higher after the oil shock. We present evidence that the decade of relative prosperity prior to the fall was importantly fueled by an expansion in credit and rising leverage that spans about 10 years; it is followed by a lengthy period of retrenchment that most often only begins after the crisis and lasts almost as long as the credit surge.


Digital
Global Cycles : Capital Flows, Commodities, and Sovereign Defaults, 1815-2015
Authors: --- ---
Year: 2016 Publisher: Cambridge, Mass. National Bureau of Economic Research

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Capital flow and commodity cycles have long been connected with economic crises. Sparse historical data, however, has made it difficult to connect their timing. We date turning points in global capital flows and commodity prices across two centuries and provide estimates from alternative data sources. We then document a strong overlap between the ebb and flow of financial capital, the commodity price super-cycle, and sovereign defaults since 1815. The results have implications for today, as many emerging markets are facing a double bust in capital inflows and commodity prices, making them vulnerable to crises.


Digital
What hurts most? G-3 exchange rate or interest rate volatility
Authors: ---
Year: 2001 Publisher: Cambridge, Mass. NBER

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