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In this paper we provide tools for assessing the house prices and housing valuation. We develop two approaches: (i) borrowing capacity approach, and (ii) intrinsic value approach. The borrowing capacity of households, together with their down payment, implies how much housing they can attain. In the intrinsic value approach, property value is viewed as a discounted present value of adjusted net rental income. Our approach does not involve a complex econometric model and only widely available data are used. The proposed indicators can guide households, financial markets and macroprudential authorities in their understanding of house prices development. To illustrate the concepts, we analyze the housing prices in the Czech Republic and assess the degree of market over-and undervaluation.
Real property --- Land valuation --- Real estate appraisal --- Valuation of land --- Valuation. --- Infrastructure --- Macroeconomics --- Real Estate --- Industries: Financial Services --- Financial Risk Management --- Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles: Forecasting and Simulation --- Housing Supply and Markets --- Banks --- Depository Institutions --- Micro Finance Institutions --- Mortgages --- Personal Income, Wealth, and Their Distributions --- Economic Development: Urban, Rural, Regional, and Transportation Analysis --- Housing --- International Financial Markets --- Property & real estate --- Finance --- Housing prices --- Personal income --- Loans --- Prices --- Financial institutions --- National accounts --- Asset valuation --- Asset and liability management --- Income --- Saving and investment --- Asset-liability management --- Czech Republic
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This paper assesses house prices in 11 Canadian Census Metropolitan Areas (CMA) using the borrowing-capacity and the net-present-value approaches. The results indicate that by the end of 2018, house prices in most metropolitan areas are aligned with macroeconomic fundamentals. However, in Hamilton, Toronto, and Vancouver house prices have increased beyond the values implied by the fundamentals.
Housing--Prices--Canada. --- Mortgage loans--Canada. --- Real estate investment. --- Investment in real estate --- Real property investment --- Investments --- Land speculation --- Real estate business --- Inflation --- Infrastructure --- Macroeconomics --- Real Estate --- Industries: Financial Services --- Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles: Forecasting and Simulation --- Housing Supply and Markets --- Banks --- Depository Institutions --- Micro Finance Institutions --- Mortgages --- Personal Income, Wealth, and Their Distributions --- Economic Development: Urban, Rural, Regional, and Transportation Analysis --- Housing --- Price Level --- Deflation --- Property & real estate --- Finance --- Housing prices --- Personal income --- Prices --- Financial institutions --- National accounts --- Income --- Saving and investment --- Canada --- Mortgage loans
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Assessing House Prices in Canada.
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