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Multistage stochastic optimization problems appear in many ways in finance, insurance, energy production and trading, logistics and transportation, among other areas. They describe decision situations under uncertainty and with a longer planning horizon. This book contains a comprehensive treatment of today’s state of the art in multistage stochastic optimization. It covers the mathematical backgrounds of approximation theory as well as numerous practical algorithms and examples for the generation and handling of scenario trees. A special emphasis is put on estimation and bounding of the modeling error using novel distance concepts, on time consistency and the role of model ambiguity in the decision process. An extensive treatment of examples from electricity production, asset liability management and inventory control concludes the book.
Stochastic processes. --- Mathematical optimization. --- Optimization (Mathematics) --- Optimization techniques --- Optimization theory --- Systems optimization --- Mathematical analysis --- Maxima and minima --- Operations research --- Simulation methods --- System analysis --- Random processes --- Probabilities --- Operations research. --- Operations Research/Decision Theory. --- Operations Research, Management Science. --- Optimization. --- Operational analysis --- Operational research --- Industrial engineering --- Management science --- Research --- System theory --- Decision making. --- Management science. --- Quantitative business analysis --- Management --- Problem solving --- Statistical decision --- Deciding --- Decision (Psychology) --- Decision analysis --- Decision processes --- Making decisions --- Management decisions --- Choice (Psychology) --- Decision making
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AA / International- internationaal --- 305.6 --- Functionals --- -Risk assessment --- -Risk management --- -Decision making --- -658.4033 --- Risicotheorie, speltheorie. Risicokapitaal. Beslissingsmodellen. --- Statistical methods --- Deciding --- Decision (Psychology) --- Decision analysis --- Decision processes --- Making decisions --- Management --- Management decisions --- Choice (Psychology) --- Problem solving --- Insurance --- Analysis, Risk --- Assessment, Risk --- Risk analysis --- Risk evaluation --- Evaluation --- Function spaces --- Functional analysis --- Functions --- Decision making --- Risk assessment --- Risk management --- Evaluation du risque --- Gestion du risque --- Méthodes statistiques --- 658.4033 --- Risicotheorie, speltheorie. Risicokapitaal. Beslissingsmodellen --- Statistical methods.
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Multistage stochastic optimization problems appear in many ways in finance, insurance, energy production and trading, logistics and transportation, among other areas. They describe decision situations under uncertainty and with a longer planning horizon. This book contains a comprehensive treatment of today’s state of the art in multistage stochastic optimization. It covers the mathematical backgrounds of approximation theory as well as numerous practical algorithms and examples for the generation and handling of scenario trees. A special emphasis is put on estimation and bounding of the modeling error using novel distance concepts, on time consistency and the role of model ambiguity in the decision process. An extensive treatment of examples from electricity production, asset liability management and inventory control concludes the book.
Methodology of economics --- Economics --- Numerical methods of optimisation --- Operational research. Game theory --- Mathematical statistics --- Planning (firm) --- Business management --- Business economics --- Computer. Automation --- financieel management --- bedrijfseconomie --- automatisering --- economie --- mathematische modellen --- econometrie --- wiskunde --- operationeel onderzoek
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This book is the first in the market to treat single- and multi-period risk measures (risk functionals) in a thorough, comprehensive manner. It combines the treatment of properties of the risk measures with the related aspects of decision making under risk.The book introduces the theory of risk measures in a mathematically sound way. It contains properties, characterizations and representations of risk functionals for single-period and multi-period activities, and also shows the embedding of such functionals in decision models and the properties of these models.
Decision making --- Functionals --- Risk assessment --- Risk management --- Statistical methods.
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Multistage stochastic optimization problems appear in many ways in finance, insurance, energy production and trading, logistics and transportation, among other areas. They describe decision situations under uncertainty and with a longer planning horizon. This book contains a comprehensive treatment of today?s state of the art in multistage stochastic optimization. It covers the mathematical backgrounds of approximation theory as well as numerous practical algorithms and examples for the generation and handling of scenario trees. A special emphasis is put on estimation and bounding of the modeling error using novel distance concepts, on time consistency and the role of model ambiguity in the decision process. An extensive treatment of examples from electricity production, asset liability management and inventory control concludes the book. [Back cover]
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This book presents an overview of the risks involved in modern electricity production, delivery and trading, including technical risk in production, transportation and delivery, operational risk for the system operators, market risks for traders, and political and other long term risks in strategic management. Using decision making under uncertainty as a methodological background, the book is divided into four parts, with Part I focusing on energy markets, particularly electricity markets. Topics include a nontechnical overview of energy markets and their main properties, basic price models for energy commodity prices, and modeling approaches for electricity price processes. Part II looks at optimal decisions in managing energy systems, including hydropower dispatch models, cutting plane algorithms and approximative dynamic programming; hydro-thermal production; renewable; stochastic investments and operational optimization models for natural gas transport; decision making in operating electricity networks; and investment in extending energy production systems. Part III explores pricing, including electricity swing options and the pricing of derivatives with volume control. Part IV looks at long-term and political risks, including energy systems under aspects of climate change, and catastrophic operational risks, particularly risks from terrorist attacks.
Energy industries -- Risk management. --- Power resources. --- Risk management. --- Management --- Business & Economics --- Management Theory --- Electrical engineering. --- Electric engineering --- Business. --- Operations research. --- Decision making. --- Electric power production. --- Energy industries. --- Business and Management. --- Operation Research/Decision Theory. --- Energy Technology. --- Energy Economics. --- Insurance --- Engineering --- Operations Research/Decision Theory. --- Energy Systems. --- Energy Policy, Economics and Management. --- Operational analysis --- Operational research --- Industrial engineering --- Management science --- Research --- System theory --- Energy systems. --- Energy policy. --- Energy and state. --- Energy and state --- Power resources --- State and energy --- Industrial policy --- Energy conservation --- Deciding --- Decision (Psychology) --- Decision analysis --- Decision processes --- Making decisions --- Management decisions --- Choice (Psychology) --- Problem solving --- Government policy --- Decision making
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This book gathers a selection of refereed papers presented at the “International Conference on Operations Research OR2015,” which was held at the University of Vienna, Austria, September 1-4, 2015. Over 900 scientists and students from 50 countries attended this conference and presented more than 600 papers in parallel topic streams as well as special award sessions. Though the guiding theme of the conference was “Optimal Decision and Big Data,” this volume also includes papers addressing practically all aspects of modern Operations Research. .
Operations research --- Business. --- Production management. --- Game theory. --- Operations research. --- Management science. --- Engineering economics. --- Engineering economy. --- Business and Management. --- Operations Research/Decision Theory. --- Operations Research, Management Science. --- Operations Management. --- Game Theory, Economics, Social and Behav. Sciences. --- Engineering Economics, Organization, Logistics, Marketing. --- Mathematics. --- Math --- Science --- Economy, Engineering --- Engineering economics --- Industrial engineering --- Manufacturing management --- Industrial management --- Operational analysis --- Operational research --- Management science --- Research --- System theory --- Decision making. --- Games, Theory of --- Theory of games --- Mathematical models --- Mathematics --- Quantitative business analysis --- Management --- Problem solving --- Statistical decision --- Deciding --- Decision (Psychology) --- Decision analysis --- Decision processes --- Making decisions --- Management decisions --- Choice (Psychology) --- Decision making
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Operational research. Game theory --- Computer. Automation --- automatisering --- speltheorie --- algoritmen --- operationeel onderzoek --- numerieke analyse
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