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This paper analyzes the effectiveness of technical assistance provided by AFRITAC West (AFW) in the area of national accounts using the Fund's Technical Assistance Information Management System (TAIMS). The challenge has been to report on "ultimate outcomes" (i.e., the production and dissemination of national accounts statistics along best international practices) rather than on "inputs" (i.e., the number of national accounts missions fielded by AFW), as it has been the case to date. The paper concludes that the "ultimate outcome" of producing and disseminating robust national accounts is work in progress, with AFW's technical assistance efforts mainly focusing on source data assessments and methodological issues underpinning the compilation of national accounts. The pending challenge is to further support a more timely production and dissemination of national accounts data, as recommended in the Data ROSCs and by the IMF mission teams to AFW member countries.
Macroeconomics --- Statistics --- Data Processing --- Data Transmission Systems --- Databases --- General Aggregative Models: General --- Data Collection and Data Estimation Methodology --- Computer Programs: General --- Methodology for Collecting, Estimating, and Organizing Macroeconomic Data --- Data Access --- Data capture & analysis --- National accounts --- Data dissemination --- Data Quality Assessment Framework (DQAF) --- Data processing --- Data collection --- National income --- Data transmission systems --- Economic statistics --- Electronic data processing --- Senegal
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This paper reviews monetary and exchange rate policies in Peru in 1930-80. The review covers major transformations to the world economy, including the post-1929 crash and WWII, and changing economic paradigms, such as the collapse of the gold standard and the rise and fall of the Bretton Woods system of fixed exchange rates. The analysis emphasizes the lasting partnership between Peruvian policymakers and the Bretton Woods institutions, while stressing the local authorities’ ownership of final policy decisions. The review shows that, in general, during the fifty year period under analysis, the Peruvian authorities sought to deliver nominal exchange rate stability, even at the cost of introducing market distortions and/or incurring heavy losses in international reserves.
Foreign exchange rates --- Monetary policy --- Monetary management --- Economic policy --- Currency boards --- Money supply --- Exchange rates --- Fixed exchange rates --- Flexible exchange rates --- Floating exchange rates --- Fluctuating exchange rates --- Foreign exchange --- Rates of exchange --- Government policy --- Rates --- Banks and Banking --- Exports and Imports --- Foreign Exchange --- Trade: General --- Monetary Policy --- Currency --- International economics --- Banking --- International reserves --- Real exchange rates --- Imports --- Exports --- Central banks --- International trade --- Foreign exchange reserves --- Peru
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This paper discusses the nature of Angola's disinflation strategy in recent years, with special emphasis on the most recent efforts by the Angolan authorities to stabilize the economy. Looking to the past, the paper stresses the costs of the disinflation strategy, as measured by the central bank sizable foreign exchange intervention and the increase in Angola's external liabilities that unfolded in the process. The paper also notes that non-oil fiscal deficits have remained very large. Looking to the future, the paper stresses the pressing need to reduce demand pressures stemming from sizable government spending on wages and salaries, goods and services, subsidies, and other current transfers to the economy. The prescribed fiscal consolidation effort is viewed as critical to curtail the non-oil fiscal deficit, reduce inflation expectations on a lasting basis, and avoid further foreign borrowing on commercial terms, including loans collateralized by future oil revenues.
Foreign exchange rates --- Economic stabilization --- Adjustment, Economic --- Business stabilization --- Economic adjustment --- Stabilization, Economic --- Economic policy --- Exchange rates --- Fixed exchange rates --- Flexible exchange rates --- Floating exchange rates --- Fluctuating exchange rates --- Foreign exchange --- Rates of exchange --- Rates --- Angola --- Anghūlā --- Colónia de Angola (Portugal) --- Estado de Angola (Portugal) --- Narodnai︠a︡ Respublika Angoly --- People's Republic of Angola --- Portugiesisch Westafrika --- Portuguese West Africa --- Province d'Angola (Portugal) --- Província de Angola (Portugal) --- R.P.A. --- Republic of Angola --- República de Angola --- República Popular de Angola --- République populaire d'Angola --- RPA --- Volksrepublik Angola --- Angola (Revolutionary government in exile, 1962-1975) --- Economic policy. --- Foreign Exchange --- Inflation --- Macroeconomics --- Public Finance --- Price Level --- Deflation --- Fiscal Policy --- Debt --- Debt Management --- Sovereign Debt --- Public finance & taxation --- Currency --- Government debt management --- Fiscal consolidation --- Fiscal policy --- Prices --- Debts, Public
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This paper reviews the economic conditions in central Asia at the time of the Russian financial crisis of August 1998; the channels by which the crisis was transmitted to the central Asian region; and the policy responses. The paper concludes that, while real exchange rates of central Asian national currencies vis-à-vis the Russian ruble have returned to their pre-crisis levels following the nominal devaluations that ensued, other indicators of external competitiveness, such as unit labor cost indices, suggest the need for further surveillance in this area. Also, it is not yet clear if full exchange rate flexibility has been established in central Asia despite the protracted and costly exits from the nominal exchange rates in place at the time of the crisis. Finally, the debt-to-GDP ratios in central Asia, which grew rapidly between 1998 and 1999 in the context of large exchange rate adjustments, remain a challenge for the Tajik and Kyrgyz authorities, in particular.
Exports and Imports --- Financial Risk Management --- Foreign Exchange --- Monetary Policy --- Central Banks and Their Policies --- Studies of Particular Policy Episodes --- Financial Crises --- Trade: General --- International Lending and Debt Problems --- Currency --- Foreign exchange --- International economics --- Economic & financial crises & disasters --- Exchange rates --- Financial crises --- Exports --- External debt --- Exchange rate arrangements --- International trade --- Debts, External --- Kyrgyz Republic
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Spain's participation in European integration has strengthened its policymaking credibility and created an enviroment conducive to sustainable economic growth. Over the last decade, Spain has seen improvements in inflation, output, employment, and its balance of payments, and it has substantially reformed its product, labor, and financial markets. This paper reviews Spain's past economic performance and sees good prospects for further rises in living standards.
Economic conditions. Economic development --- International finance --- Spain --- European Economic Community --- Economic conditions --- Economic policy --- European Union --- 338.22 <460> --- 338 <460> --- 339.92 --- 338 --- (460) --- $?$93/07 --- ce --- espagne --- marche unique --- plan de convergence --- politique economique --- AA* / International - Internationaal --- ES / Spain - Spanje - Espagne --- 331.31 --- 334.151.20 --- 331.30 --- 331.33 --- 331.32 --- Economische organisatieleer. Economisch beleid. Economische politiek--Spanje --- Economische situatie. Economische structuur van bepaalde landen en gebieden. Economische geografie. Economische produktie.economische produkten. Economische diensten--Spanje --- Economische samenwerking en integratie. Tolunie --- eg --- spanje --- eenheidsmarkt --- convergentieplan --- economisch beleid --- Economisch beleid. --- Economische en monetaire unie van de Europese Gemeenschappen: algemeenheden. --- Economische toestand. --- Structureel beleid. Reglementering. Dereglementering. Ordnungspolitik. --- Structuur van de economie. --- -Economic policy. --- Working papers --- 339.92 Economische samenwerking en integratie. Tolunie --- 338 <460> Economische situatie. Economische structuur van bepaalde landen en gebieden. Economische geografie. Economische produktie.economische produkten. Economische diensten--Spanje --- 338.22 <460> Economische organisatieleer. Economisch beleid. Economische politiek--Spanje --- Espanja --- Spanien --- Hiszpania --- Spanish State --- España --- Estado Español --- Espagne --- Hispania --- Sefarad --- Sepharad --- Shpanye --- Shpanie --- Reino de España --- Kingdom of Spain --- Reino d'Espanya --- Reinu d'España --- Espainiako Erresuma --- Regne d'Espanya --- Reiaume d'Espanha --- Espanya --- Espanha --- スペイン --- Supein --- イスパニア --- Isupania --- Economische toestand --- Economisch beleid --- Structuur van de economie --- Structureel beleid. Reglementering. Dereglementering. Ordnungspolitik --- Economische en monetaire unie van de Europese Gemeenschappen: algemeenheden --- CEE --- Evropeĭskiĭ Soi︠u︡z --- C.E.E. --- Communauté économique européenne --- Comunidad Económica Europea --- Comunità economica europea --- EEC --- EC --- Europäische Wirtschaftsgemeinschaft --- Europejska Wspólnota Gospodarcza --- Europese Economische Gemeenschap --- Európai Gazdasági Közösség --- EHS --- Kurapʻa Kyŏngje Kongdongchʻe --- Kurapʻa Kongdong Sijang --- EEG --- Evropeĭska ikonomicheska obshtnost --- Evropské hospodářské spolecenstvi --- Comunidade Económica Europeia --- EWG --- Europæiske økonomiske fællesskab --- EØF --- Koinē Agora --- EOK --- MCE --- Mercado Común Europeo --- Europeiske økonomiske fellesskap --- Evropeĭskoe ėkonomicheskoe soobshchestvo --- MEC --- Evropska ekonomska zaednica --- EZZ --- Common Market --- Marché commun --- EĖS --- Avrupa Ekonomik Topluluğu --- AET --- Müşterek Pazar --- Ortak Pazar --- Sūq al-Ūrūbbīyah al-Mushtarakah --- Mercado Comum --- Europaikē Oikonomikē Koinotēta --- Evropska gospodarska skupnost --- Mercato comune --- EEZ --- Evropska ekonomska zajednica --- Euroopan Yhteisö --- EY --- EIO --- Shuḳ ha-Eropi ha-meʼuḥad --- Suq Komuni --- Eurōpaïkē Koinotēta --- Comunidade Européia --- Mercado Comum Europeau --- Unia Europejska --- Koinotēta --- E.G. --- קהילה האירופית --- קהילייה האירופאית --- שוק הארופאי המשותף --- Evropeisku Félagsmarknaðin --- EF --- Economic policy. --- Spain - Economic conditions - 1975 --- -Spain - Economic policy --- CEE (European Economic Community) --- C.E.E. (European Economic Community) --- EEC (European Economic Community) --- Banks and Banking --- Inflation --- Macroeconomics --- Public Finance --- Taxation --- Exports and Imports --- Banks --- Depository Institutions --- Micro Finance Institutions --- Mortgages --- Taxation, Subsidies, and Revenue: General --- National Government Expenditures and Related Policies: General --- Personal Income and Other Nonbusiness Taxes and Subsidies --- Price Level --- Deflation --- International Investment --- Long-term Capital Movements --- Public finance & taxation --- Banking --- Currency --- Foreign exchange --- Labour --- income economics --- International economics --- Income and capital gains taxes --- Revenue administration --- Income tax systems --- Commercial banks --- Financial institutions --- Taxes --- Total expenditures --- Expenditure --- Banks and banking --- Income tax --- Expenditures, Public --- Prices --- Revenue --- Capital movements
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This paper reviews the Latin American experience with the implementation of 1993 SNAand the updating of the national accounts' base year. It also makes a preliminary assessment of the possible estimation biases in nominal GDP estimates stemming from the use of outdated national accounts base years, downwards biases with household final consumption estimates, and an overestimation of gross fixed capital formation in construction activities.
National income --- Accounting --- Evaluation. --- Net national product --- Flow of funds --- Gross national product --- Income --- Investments: General --- Macroeconomics --- General Aggregative Models: General --- Investment --- Capital --- Intangible Capital --- Capacity --- Macroeconomics: Consumption --- Saving --- Wealth --- Urban, Rural, and Regional Economics: Household Analysis: General --- Aggregate Factor Income Distribution --- National accounts --- Gross fixed investment --- Consumption --- Household consumption --- Saving and investment --- Economics --- Nicaragua
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This paper summarizes the IMF advice on the ruble area as it was presented to the national authorities in Russia, the Baltic countries, and other states of the former Soviet Union in 1991-93. In the course of doing so, the paper corrects some misperceptions that have arisen about the IMF's role. The evidence presented in the paper suggests that (i) the balance of arguments on the ruble area (and national currencies) changed over time, and hence so did the IMF's advice, and (ii) from the beginning, the IMF staff concentrated on pointing out the pros and cons of alternative monetary arrangements, without strongly advocating a particular one, emphasizing that it was the authorities' decision to stay in or leave the ruble area. Fund advice on how to introduce national currencies was made readily available to the various national authorities as early as January 1992.
Banks and Banking --- Exports and Imports --- Money and Monetary Policy --- Monetary Policy --- International Monetary Arrangements and Institutions --- International Policy Coordination and Transmission --- Socialist Systems and Transitional Economies: National Income, Product, and Expenditure --- Money --- Inflation --- Monetary Systems --- Standards --- Regimes --- Government and the Monetary System --- Payment Systems --- Banks --- Depository Institutions --- Micro Finance Institutions --- Mortgages --- Financial Aspects of Economic Integration --- Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit: General --- International Lending and Debt Problems --- Monetary economics --- Banking --- International economics --- Currencies --- Monetary unions --- Currency reform --- Credit --- Economic integration --- Correspondent banking --- Financial services --- Banks and banking --- Correspondent banks --- Russian Federation
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This paper examines the usefulness of testing the conformity of macroeconomic data with Benford's law as indicator of data quality. Most of the macroeconomic data series tested conform with Benford's law. However, questions emerge on the reliability of such tests as indicators of data quality once conformity with Benford's law is contrasted with the data quality ratings included in the data module of the Reports on the Observance of Standards and Codes (data ROSCs). Furthermore, the analysis shows that rejection of Benford's law may be unrelated to the quality of statistics, and instead may result from marked structural shifts in the data series. Hence, nonconformity with Benford's law should not be interpreted as a reliable indication of poor quality in macroeconomic data.
Business & Economics --- Economic Theory --- Investments: General --- Macroeconomics --- Money and Monetary Policy --- Statistics --- Econometric and Statistical Methods: General --- Methodology for Collecting, Estimating, and Organizing Macroeconomic Data --- Data Access --- Measurement and Data on National Income and Product Accounts and Wealth --- Environmental Accounts --- Monetary Systems --- Standards --- Regimes --- Government and the Monetary System --- Payment Systems --- General Aggregative Models: General --- Investment --- Capital --- Intangible Capital --- Capacity --- Data Collection and Data Estimation Methodology --- Computer Programs: Other --- Current Account Adjustment --- Short-term Capital Movements --- Econometrics & economic statistics --- Monetary economics --- Currencies --- National accounts --- Gross fixed investment --- Government finance statistics --- Balance of payments statistics --- Money --- Economic and financial statistics --- National income --- Saving and investment --- Finance --- Balance of payments --- United States
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This paper attempts to offer specific inputs to the debate on local content promotion in the oil industry, using the specific case of São Tomé and Príncipe as point of reference. Our approach emphasizes inter-sectoral linkages and institutional pre-conditions for local content promotion. Based on an Input-Output description of the economy, we quantify the consistency between the prospective oil sector development and the growth of other sectors of the economy. We also assess a number of sectoral policies and "niche" activities within the oil industry that would maximize the local benefits from oil exploration.
Investments: Energy --- Exports and Imports --- Agribusiness --- Industries: Energy --- Nonrenewable Resources and Conservation: General --- Energy: General --- Macroeconomics: Production --- Trade: General --- Agriculture: General --- Petroleum, oil & gas industries --- Investment & securities --- International economics --- Agricultural economics --- Oil sector --- Oil --- Oil production --- Oil exports --- Agricultural sector --- Petroleum industry and trade --- Exports --- Agricultural industries --- São Tomé and Príncipe, Democratic Republic of
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The Southern African Customs Union (SACU) is facing its biggest challenge in its 100 years of existence. The global economic crisis has significantly reduced its revenue outlook, which is having a disproportionate impact on its smaller member countries, and which calls for an appropriate policy response. This paper discusses specifically the implications for Botswana, Lesotho, Namibia, and Swaziland, and provides recommendations regarding the proper fiscal response by these countries to the decline in SACU revenue.
Macroeconomics --- Public Finance --- National Government Expenditures and Related Policies: General --- Fiscal Policy --- Debt --- Debt Management --- Sovereign Debt --- Taxation, Subsidies, and Revenue: General --- National Government Expenditures and Related Policies: Infrastructures --- Other Public Investment and Capital Stock --- Public finance & taxation --- Expenditure --- Fiscal consolidation --- Public debt --- Revenue administration --- Public investment spending --- Fiscal policy --- Expenditures, Public --- Debts, Public --- Revenue --- Public investments --- Botswana
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