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Measuring and managing exchange rate risk exposure is important for reducing a firm's vulnerabilities from major exchange rate movements, which could adversely affect profit margins and the value of assets. This paper reviews the traditional types of exchange rate risk faced by firms, namely transaction, translation and economic risks, presents the VaR approach as the currently predominant method of measuring a firm's exchange rate risk exposure, and examines the main advantages and disadvantages of various exchange rate risk management strategies, including tactical versus strategical and passive versus active hedging. In addition, it outlines a set of widely accepted best practices in managing currency risk and presents some of the main hedging instruments in the OTC and exchange-traded markets. The paper also provides some data on the use of financial derivatives instruments, and hedging practices by U.S. firms.
Electronic books. -- local. --- Foreign exchange rates -- Mathematical models. --- Risk management -- Mathematical models. --- Finance --- Business & Economics --- International Finance --- Foreign exchange rates --- Risk management --- Mathematical models. --- Banks and Banking --- Foreign Exchange --- Money and Monetary Policy --- Financing Policy --- Financial Risk and Risk Management --- Capital and Ownership Structure --- Value of Firms --- Goodwill --- Monetary Systems --- Standards --- Regimes --- Government and the Monetary System --- Payment Systems --- Financial services law & regulation --- Monetary economics --- Currency --- Foreign exchange --- Currencies --- Exchange rate risk --- Hedging --- Foreign currency exposure --- Financial risk management --- Money --- Foreign exchange market --- United States
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This paper examines whether decisions about the appropriate exchange rate regime in six Central American countries were based on longer-run economic fundamentals or on the confluence of historical and political circumstances. To uncover any actual relationship both across countries and across time, we estimate several probit and multinomial logit models of exchange rate regime choice with data spanning the period 1974-2001. We find that theoretical long-run determinants, such as trade openness, export share with the major trading partner, economic size, and per capita income, are adequate, but not robust, predictors of exchange rate regime choice. However, we were not able to establish a statistically significant association between the terms of trade fluctuations or capital account openness and a particular regime in any specification using our sample.
Foreign Exchange --- Open Economy Macroeconomics --- Currency --- Foreign exchange --- Exchange rate arrangements --- Crawling peg --- Conventional peg --- Floating exchange rates --- Exchange rates --- United States
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During the last decade, a number of new financial instruments and derivative products related to the Greek drachma have emerged in local as well as international capital markets. The paper analyzes the characteristics of these financial instruments which are traded in organized exchanges and over-the-counter (OTC) markets, and evaluates the conditions under which they have evolved. Drawing from legislative and industry developments in the European Union (EU) and the United States, the paper also examines the effects and implications of such developments for local markets and for the conduct of monetary and foreign exchange policies and argues for the need for sound macroeconomic policies.
Banks and Banking --- Finance: General --- General Financial Markets: General (includes Measurement and Data) --- Pension Funds --- Non-bank Financial Institutions --- Financial Instruments --- Institutional Investors --- Banks --- Depository Institutions --- Micro Finance Institutions --- Mortgages --- Finance --- Banking --- Financial instruments --- Derivative markets --- Stock markets --- Capital markets --- Banks and banking --- Derivative securities --- Stock exchanges --- Capital market --- Greece
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This paper provides an overview of sovereign debt portfolio risks and discusses various liability management operations (LMOs) and instruments used by public debt managers to mitigate these risks. Debt management strategies analyzed in the context of helping reach debt portfolio targets and attain desired portfolio structures. Also, the paper outlines how LMOs could be integrated into a debt management strategy and serve as policy tools to reduce potential debt portfolio vulnerabilities. Further, the paper presents operational issues faced by debt managers, including the need to develop a risk management framework, interactions of debt management with fiscal policy, monetary policy, and financial stability, as well as efficient government bond markets.
Risk --- Interest rates --- Credit --- Economics --- Uncertainty --- Probabilities --- Profit --- Risk-return relationships --- Borrowing --- Finance --- Money --- Loans --- Econometric models. --- Banks and Banking --- Financial Risk Management --- Investments: Bonds --- Public Finance --- Debt --- Debt Management --- Sovereign Debt --- General Financial Markets: General (includes Measurement and Data) --- Portfolio Choice --- Investment Decisions --- International Financial Markets --- General Financial Markets: Government Policy and Regulation --- Financing Policy --- Financial Risk and Risk Management --- Capital and Ownership Structure --- Value of Firms --- Goodwill --- Public finance & taxation --- Investment & securities --- Financial services law & regulation --- Government debt management --- Debt management --- Public debt --- Bonds --- Credit risk --- Public financial management (PFM) --- Asset and liability management --- Financial institutions --- Financial regulation and supervision --- Debts, Public --- Financial risk management --- Argentina
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This paper analyzes the effects of including collective action clauses (CACs) and enhanced CACs in international (nondomestic law-governed) sovereign bonds on sovereigns’ borrowing costs, using secondary-market bond yield spreads. Our findings indicate that inclusion of enhanced CACs, introduced in August 2014, is associated with lower borrowing costs for both noninvestment-grade and investment-grade issuers. These results suggest that market participants do not associate the use of CACs and enhanced CACs with borrowers’ moral hazard, but instead consider their implied benefits of an orderly and efficient debt resolution process in case of restructuring.
Banks and Banking --- Financial Risk Management --- Investments: Bonds --- Interest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, and Effects --- Current Account Adjustment --- Short-term Capital Movements --- International Lending and Debt Problems --- General Financial Markets: General (includes Measurement and Data) --- Financial Crises --- Investment & securities --- Finance --- Economic & financial crises & disasters --- Sovereign bonds --- Bond yields --- Bonds --- Yield curve --- Financial crises --- Interest rates --- Greece
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This paper analyzes the effects of including collective action clauses (CACs) and enhanced CACs in international (nondomestic law-governed) sovereign bonds on sovereigns’ borrowing costs, using secondary-market bond yield spreads. Our findings indicate that inclusion of enhanced CACs, introduced in August 2014, is associated with lower borrowing costs for both noninvestment-grade and investment-grade issuers. These results suggest that market participants do not associate the use of CACs and enhanced CACs with borrowers’ moral hazard, but instead consider their implied benefits of an orderly and efficient debt resolution process in case of restructuring.
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This paper presents some conventional and new measures of market, credit, and liquidity risks for government bonds. These measures are analyzed from the perspective of a sovereign's debt manager. In particular, it examines duration, convexity, M-square, skewness, kurtosis, and VaR statistics as measures of interest rate exposure; a VaR statistic as the prominent measure of exchange rate exposure; the balance sheet approach (or contingent claims approach), and its consequent probability of default as the most promising measure of credit risk exposure; and an elasticity approach and a VaR statistic to measure liquidity risk. Along with the formulas for the various statistics proposed, we provide simple examples of their application to some common risk valuation cases. Finally, we present an integrated approach for the simultaneous estimation of a portfolio's interest rate and exchange rate risk using the VaR methodology. The integrated approach is then extended to also include N risk factors. This approach allows us to measure the total risk of a portfolio, provided that the volatilities and correlations among the risk factors can be estimated.
Credit -- Econometric models. --- Debts, Public -- Econometric models. --- Electronic books. -- local. --- Government securities -- Econometric models. --- Interest rates -- Econometric models. --- Liquidity (Economics) -- Econometric models. --- Risk -- Econometric models. --- Business & Economics --- Economic Theory --- Risk --- Interest rates --- Credit --- Liquidity (Economics) --- Government securities --- Debts, Public --- Econometric models. --- Debts, Government --- Government debts --- National debts --- Public debt --- Public debts --- Sovereign debt --- Government agency securities --- Government bonds --- Public securities --- Treasuries (Securities) --- Treasury bonds --- Borrowing --- Assets, Frozen --- Frozen assets --- Debt --- Bonds --- Deficit financing --- Securities --- Finance --- Money --- Loans --- Economics --- Uncertainty --- Probabilities --- Profit --- Risk-return relationships --- Banks and Banking --- Investments: Bonds --- Financing Policy --- Financial Risk and Risk Management --- Capital and Ownership Structure --- Value of Firms --- Goodwill --- General Financial Markets: General (includes Measurement and Data) --- Financial services law & regulation --- Investment & securities --- Credit risk --- Liquidity risk --- Market risk --- Exchange rate risk --- Financial risk management --- United States
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This edited volume on Credit, Currency, or Derivatives: Instruments of Global Financial Stability or Crisis contains original papers that examine various issues concerning the role, the structure and functioning of credit, currency and derivatives instruments and markets as they relate to financial crises. We stress the importance of the inter-linkages of these instruments and markets in promoting or hindering financial stability or crises as well as government policies, on a local and global level. The papers in this volume highlight various aspects of credit and currency instruments and markets, along with their interactions, for the stability of domestic and international financial systems. Particular emphasis is given on the failures of regulatory systems and their implications for systemic financial crises. Also, the papers analyze the costs of financial crises and explore the institutional and economic arrangements that could ameliorate the adverse effects of financial crises in advanced and emerging-market countries.
International finance. --- Globalization. --- Global cities --- Globalisation --- Internationalization --- International relations --- Anti-globalization movement --- International monetary system --- International money --- Finance --- International economic relations --- E-books --- Financial crises --- Economics. --- Prevention. --- Economic theory --- Political economy --- Crashes, Financial --- Crises, Financial --- Financial crashes --- Financial panics --- Panics (Finance) --- Stock exchange crashes --- Stock market panics --- Social sciences --- Economic man --- Crises --- International finance --- Globalization --- Business & Economics --- Credit & credit institutions. --- Business cycles. --- Financial crises. --- Monetary policy. --- Finance. --- Monetary management --- Economic policy --- Currency boards --- Money supply --- Economic cycles --- Economic fluctuations --- Cycles
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A Primer on Managing Sovereign Debt-Portfolio Risks.
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