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À chaque élection municipale, certains commentateurs annoncent des résultats largement tributaires de la conjoncture nationale. D'autres affirment que le sort des élus dépend avant tout de la situation locale. Dans la perspective d'anticiper les basculements à gauche ou à droite lors de ces scrutins, les auteurs ont analysé les résultats d'un panel de 236 villes de plus de 30 000 habitants sur trente ans (1983-2014). Ils ont passé au crible les critères locaux et nationaux susceptibles d'expliquer les succès et les défaites des candidats, tout en démontrant pourquoi certaines équipes sortantes sont systématiquement reconduites quelle que soit la situation politique nationale. Une typologie des facteurs ancrant ou non les villes dans une fidélité partisane se dessine. Elle met au jour le rôle déterminant de leur profil sociodémographique — avec comme variable clé la proportion de résidents en HLM — et souligne l'importance de la performance économique et financière des maires et de la stratégie politique qu'ils déploient pour assurer leur réélection. Une observation fine et inédite de la dynamique électorale locale, toujours orchestrée par la dialectique gauche-droite et exerçant en France une influence significative sur la politique nationale.
Right and left (Political science) --- Local elections --- History.
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Sociologie électorale --- Campagnes électorales --- Partis politiques --- Voting research --- Political campaigns --- Political parties --- Québec (Province). --- Élections, 2007. --- Élections, 2008. --- Elections, 2007. --- Elections, 2008. --- Sociologie électorale --- Campagnes électorales --- Québec (Province). --- Élections, 2007. --- Élections, 2008.
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Satisfaction with democracy is a vastly studied research topic. In this Element, the authors aim to make sense of this context by showing that elections (electoral processes and outcomes) influence citizens' satisfaction with democracy in different ways according to the quality of a democratic regime. To do so, they leverage the datasets from the Comparative Study on Electoral Systems (CSES) and uphold the belief that social scientists must take advantage of the increased availability of rich comparative datasets. The Element concludes that elections do not only have different impacts on citizens' satisfaction with democracy based on the quality of the democratic regime that they live in, but that the nature of the meaning attributed to electoral processes and outcomes varies between emergent and established democracies.
Elections. --- Democracy. --- Political psychology. --- Political sociology.
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"The majority of policymakers, academics, and members of the general public expected British citizens to vote to remain in the European Union in the 2016 referendum. This perception was based on the well-established idea that voters don?t like change or uncertainty. So why did the British public vote to take such a major economic risk? Framing Risky Choices addresses this question by placing the Brexit vote in the bigger picture of EU and Scottish independence referendums. Drawing from extensive interviews and survey data, it asserts that the framing effect--mobilizing voters by encouraging them to think along particular lines--matters, but not every argument is equally effective. Simple, evocative, and emotionally compelling frames that offer negativity are especially effective in changing people?s minds. In the Brexit case, the Leave side neutralized the economic risks of Brexit and proposed other risks relating to remaining in the EU, such as losing control of immigration policy and a lack of funding for the National Health Service. These concrete, impassioned arguments struck an immediate and familiar chord with voters. Most intriguingly, the Remain side was silent on these issues, without an emotional case to present. Framing Risky Choices presents a multi-method, comparative, state-of-the-art analysis of how the Brexit campaign contributed to the outcome. Uncovering the core mechanism behind post-truth politics, it shows that the strength of an argument is not its empirical validity but its public appeal."--
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Elections --- Voting --- Latin America --- Politics and government.
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The majority of policymakers, academics, and members of the general public expected British citizens to vote to remain in the European Union in the 2016 referendum. This perception was based on the well-established idea that voters don't like change or uncertainty. So why did the British public vote to take such a major economic risk? Framing Risky Choices addresses this question by placing the Brexit vote in the bigger picture of EU and Scottish independence referendums.
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Presidents --- Political parties --- Political campaigns --- Voting research --- Présidents --- Partis politiques --- Campagnes électorales --- Sociologie électorale --- Election --- France --- Politics and government --- Politique et gouvernement --- Voting --- History --- Présidents --- Campagnes électorales --- Sociologie électorale --- Voting research - France --- Voting - France - Statistics --- Voting - France --- Presidents - France - Election - History - 20th century --- Presidents - France - Election - History - 21st century --- France - Politics and government - 20th century --- France - Politics and government - 21st century
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