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Denying flight
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ISBN: 0833081810 0833081829 0833081780 9780833081827 9780833081810 9780833081834 0833081837 9780833081780 Year: 2013 Publisher: Santa Monica, CA

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In the past two decades, the U.S. Air Force has participated in three contingencies involving no-fly zones (NFZs) over Bosnia, Iraq, and Libya, and NFZ proposals have been proffered for some time as an option for intervention in the Syrian civil war that would avoid placing Western troops on the ground. This paper is intended as a preliminary look at NFZs as a strategic approach in such situations, with an emphasis on the forms they might take, their potential utility, and their probable limitations.

Striking first
Author:
ISBN: 0833038818 9786612283079 1282283073 0833040952 9780833040954 9780833040909 0833040901 9780833038814 0833032968 9780833032966 0833038079 9780833038074 0833038230 9780833038234 9780833040862 0833040863 9781282283077 6612283076 9780833040831 0833040839 Year: 2006 Publisher: Santa Monica, CA RAND Project Air Force

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Looks at the Coalition Provisional Authority's efforts to rebuild Iraq's security sector and provides lessons learned.


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Precision and Purpose: Airpower in the Libyan Civil War
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Year: 2015

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A team of U.S. and international experts assesses the impact of various nations' airpower efforts during the 2011 conflict in Libya, including NATO allies and non-NATO partners, and how their experiences offer guidance for future conflicts. In addition to the roles played by the United States, Britain and France, it examines the efforts of Italy, Canada, Belgium, Denmark, the Netherlands, Norway, Sweden, Qatar, the UAE, and the Libyan rebels.


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Precision and purpose
Authors: --- ---
ISBN: 0833088092 0833087932 9780833088093 9780833088079 0833088076 9780833088086 0833088084 9780833087935 Year: 2015 Publisher: Santa Monica, CA RAND

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A team of U.S. and international experts assesses the impact of various nations' airpower efforts during the 2011 conflict in Libya, including NATO allies and non-NATO partners, and how their experiences offer guidance for future conflicts. In addition to the roles played by the United States, Britain and France, it examines the efforts of Italy, Canada, Belgium, Denmark, the Netherlands, Norway, Sweden, Qatar, the UAE, and the Libyan rebels.


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Conventional Coercion Across the Spectrum of Conventional Operations : The Utility of U.S. Military Forces in the Emerging Security Environment
Authors: --- ---
ISBN: 159875081X Year: 2002 Publisher: Santa Monica : RAND Corporation,

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After reviewing the literature, this report looks at the utility of the military as a coercive instrument. It analyses cases that provide insights into conventional coercion and concludes that only an understanding of our adversaries and ourselves will yield a successful coercive strategy.


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Innovation in the United States Air Force : Evidence from Six Cases
Authors: --- --- --- ---
Year: 2016 Publisher: Santa Monica, CA : RAND Corporation,

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"Developing innovative means to go "over not through" national strategic challenges has long been central to the Air Force's contribution to American security. In recent months, however, U.S. Air Force (USAF) senior leaders have raised the questions of whether the service is sufficiently innovative today and what can be done to make it more innovative for the future. This report assesses historical cases of Air Force innovation or apparent failure to innovate. These case studies include innovations in strategic reconnaissance (1946-1972), nuclear survivability (1950-1960), suppression of enemy air defenses (1975-1985), and precision strategic attack (1990-1999). Cases of apparent failure to innovate include close air support after World War II (1946-1951), early efforts to defeat Soviet integrated air defenses (1960-1970), and airborne high-value targeting in the post-Cold War era (1900-2001)"--Publisher's website


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Airlift capabilities for future U.S. counterinsurgency operations

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Evaluating Future Trends in Support of the Air Force Strategic Environment Assessment: Discussion and Results from a Structured Workshop
Authors: --- --- --- --- --- et al.
Year: 2019 Publisher: Santa Monica, Calif. RAND Corporation

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Every few years, the Air Force develops the Strategic Environment Assessment (AFSEA). The 2016 AFSEA is a 30-year look into the future for Air Force planning. As part of this process, Air Force asked RAND researchers to identify plausible futures based on nine trends in the categories of Geopolitical, Military & Warfare, and Human & Workforce to assist Air Force strategic planning in developing the AFSEA. The RAND team generated a range of future projections based on each of these trends and then convened a collaborative structured workshop to identify important interactions between these trends and to develop a set of future worlds during a 30-year time frame to assist the Air Force during the AFSEA. The workshop was a two-day event during which the RAND trend experts (1) presented their trend assessments and plausible futures; (2) conducted a cross-consistency analysis to look for any combinations of futures that they felt would be inconsistent with each other; (3) identified "interesting pairings" of futures; and (4) developed future worlds using different combinations of trend futures. The purpose of the workshop was to create a set of future worlds that represented diverse contexts and potential challenges for the Air Force to consider. This report presents the results of that workshop.

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The air war against the Islamic State : the role of airpower in Operation Inherent Resolve
Authors: --- --- --- --- --- et al.
Year: 2021 Publisher: Santa Monica, Calif. RAND Corporation

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Airpower played a pivotal role in the U.S.-led fight against the Islamic State in Iraq and Syria (ISIS) from 2014 to 2019 and contributed to the success of Operation Inherent Resolve. This report sheds light on the impact of the air operations in Operation Inherent Resolve and whether airpower could have been applied differently to achieve faster, more-sustainable outcomes. The authors incorporate interviews with U.S. and coalition personnel, primary-source documents, and U.S. and coalition strike and sortie data to document the operational history of the air war, assess the relationship between airpower effects, and analyze the strategic and operational impact of airpower in Operation Inherent Resolve. The authors find that, although airpower played an essential role in combating ISIS, airpower alone would not have been likely to defeat the militant organization. Instead, the combination of airpower and ground forces—led by Iraqi and Syrian partners—was needed to destroy the Islamic State as a territorial entity. The overarching strategy of Operation Inherent Resolve, which put ground-force partners in the lead, created several challenges and innovations in the application of airpower, which have implications for future air wars. To be prepared to meet future demands against nonstate and near-peer adversaries, the U.S. Air Force and the joint force should apply lessons learned from Operation Inherent Resolve.


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Alternative Futures Following a Great Power War: Volume 1, Scenarios, Findings, and Recommendations

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The U.S. Department of Defense has been increasingly focused on competition with Russia and China and, in the extreme, the possibility of great power war. To inform thinking about what might follow such a war, RAND researchers generated four hypothetical near-term great power war scenarios and assessed how the postwar strategic environment would change in each scenario. These scenarios offer planners and decisionmakers plausible narratives about future great power wars with different features to help them examine assumptions and think about how wartime choices could affect postwar U.S. objectives. The scenarios in this report illustrate the complex relationships between wartime and postwar goals. They show how a U.S. victory could provoke a stronger alignment between China and Russia or lead to greater determination and hostility in the recently defeated adversary. A U.S. defeat, meanwhile, could enhance U.S. efforts to recruit allies and partners, while also increasing the likelihood of nuclear proliferation among U.S. allies and partners. Indeterminate war outcomes could heighten the risk of a quick return to conflict while sapping alliance cohesion. The complexity and variability of these results highlight the importance for U.S. policymakers of considering postwar outcomes in prewar planning.

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