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This book describes the latest advances in the theory of mean field games, which are optimal control problems with a continuum of players, each of them interacting with the whole statistical distribution of a population. While originating in economics, this theory now has applications in areas as diverse as mathematical finance, crowd phenomena, epidemiology, and cybersecurity.Because mean field games concern the interactions of infinitely many players in an optimal control framework, one expects them to appear as the limit for Nash equilibria of differential games with finitely many players, as the number of players tends to infinity. This book rigorously establishes this convergence, which has been an open problem until now. The limit of the system associated with differential games with finitely many players is described by the so-called master equation, a nonlocal transport equation in the space of measures. After defining a suitable notion of differentiability in the space of measures, the authors provide a complete self-contained analysis of the master equation. Their analysis includes the case of common noise problems in which all the players are affected by a common Brownian motion. They then go on to explain how to use the master equation to prove the mean field limit.This groundbreaking book presents two important new results in mean field games that contribute to a unified theoretical framework for this exciting and fast-developing area of mathematics.
Convergence. --- Mean field theory. --- Many-body problem --- Statistical mechanics --- Functions --- A priori estimate. --- Approximation. --- Bellman equation. --- Boltzmann equation. --- Boundary value problem. --- C0. --- Chain rule. --- Compact space. --- Computation. --- Conditional probability distribution. --- Continuous function. --- Convergence problem. --- Convex set. --- Cooperative game. --- Corollary. --- Decision-making. --- Derivative. --- Deterministic system. --- Differentiable function. --- Directional derivative. --- Discrete time and continuous time. --- Discretization. --- Dynamic programming. --- Emergence. --- Empirical distribution function. --- Equation. --- Estimation. --- Euclidean space. --- Folk theorem (game theory). --- Folk theorem. --- Heat equation. --- Hermitian adjoint. --- Implementation. --- Initial condition. --- Integer. --- Large numbers. --- Linearization. --- Lipschitz continuity. --- Lp space. --- Macroeconomic model. --- Markov process. --- Martingale (probability theory). --- Master equation. --- Mathematical optimization. --- Maximum principle. --- Method of characteristics. --- Metric space. --- Monograph. --- Monotonic function. --- Nash equilibrium. --- Neumann boundary condition. --- Nonlinear system. --- Notation. --- Numerical analysis. --- Optimal control. --- Parameter. --- Partial differential equation. --- Periodic boundary conditions. --- Porous medium. --- Probability measure. --- Probability theory. --- Probability. --- Random function. --- Random variable. --- Randomization. --- Rate of convergence. --- Regime. --- Scientific notation. --- Semigroup. --- Simultaneous equations. --- Small number. --- Smoothness. --- Space form. --- State space. --- State variable. --- Stochastic calculus. --- Stochastic control. --- Stochastic process. --- Stochastic. --- Subset. --- Suggestion. --- Symmetric function. --- Technology. --- Theorem. --- Theory. --- Time consistency. --- Time derivative. --- Uniqueness. --- Variable (mathematics). --- Vector space. --- Viscosity solution. --- Wasserstein metric. --- Weak solution. --- Wiener process. --- Without loss of generality.
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The past forty years have seen a rapid rise in top income inequality in the United States. While there is a large number of existing theories of the Pareto tails of the income and wealth distributions at a given point in time, almost none of these address the fast rise in top inequality observed in the data. We show that standard theories, which build on a random growth mechanism, generate transition dynamics that are an order of magnitude too slow relative to those observed in the data. We then suggest parsimonious deviations from the basic model that can explain such changes, namely heterogeneity in mean growth rates or deviations from Gibrat's law. These deviations are consistent with theories in which the increase in top income inequality is driven by the rise of "superstar" entrepreneurs or managers.
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We recast the Aiyagari-Bewley-Huggett model of income and wealth distribution in continuous time. This workhorse model - as well as heterogeneous agent models more generally - then boils down to a system of partial differential equations, a fact we take advantage of to make two types of contributions. First, a number of new theoretical results: (i) an analytic characterization of the consumption and saving behavior of the poor, particularly their marginal propensities to consume; (ii) a closed-form solution for the wealth distribution in a special case with two income types; (iii) a proof that there is a unique stationary equilibrium if the intertemporal elasticity of substitution is weakly greater than one; (iv) characterization of "soft" borrowing constraints. Second, we develop a simple, efficient and portable algorithm for numerically solving for equilibria in a wide class of heterogeneous agent models, including - but not limited to - the Aiyagari-Bewley-Huggett model.
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The past forty years have seen a rapid rise in top income inequality in the United States. While there is a large number of existing theories of the Pareto tails of the income and wealth distributions at a given point in time, almost none of these address the fast rise in top inequality observed in the data. We show that standard theories, which build on a random growth mechanism, generate transition dynamics that are an order of magnitude too slow relative to those observed in the data. We then suggest parsimonious deviations from the basic model that can explain such changes, namely heterogeneity in mean growth rates or deviations from Gibrat's law. These deviations are consistent with theories in which the increase in top income inequality is driven by the rise of "superstar" entrepreneurs or managers.
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The Paris-Princeton Lectures in Financial Mathematics, of which this is the third volume, will, on an annual basis, publish cutting-edge research in self-contained, expository articles from outstanding - established or upcoming! - specialists. The aim is to produce a series of articles that can serve as an introductory reference for research in the field. It arises as a result of frequent exchanges between the finance and financial mathematics groups in Paris and Princeton. The present volume sets standards with articles by René Carmona, Ivar Ekeland/Erik Taflin, Arturo Kohatsu-Higa, Pierre-Louis Lions/Jean-Michel Lasry, and Hyuên Pham.
Quantitative methods (economics) --- Operational research. Game theory --- Financial analysis --- stochastische analyse --- speltheorie --- financiële analyse --- kansrekening
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We recast the Aiyagari-Bewley-Huggett model of income and wealth distribution in continuous time. This workhorse model - as well as heterogeneous agent models more generally - then boils down to a system of partial differential equations, a fact we take advantage of to make two types of contributions. First, a number of new theoretical results: (i) an analytic characterization of the consumption and saving behavior of the poor, particularly their marginal propensities to consume; (ii) a closed-form solution for the wealth distribution in a special case with two income types; (iii) a proof that there is a unique stationary equilibrium if the intertemporal elasticity of substitution is weakly greater than one; (iv) characterization of "soft" borrowing constraints. Second, we develop a simple, efficient and portable algorithm for numerically solving for equilibria in a wide class of heterogeneous agent models, including - but not limited to - the Aiyagari-Bewley-Huggett model.
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