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Capital Flows, Consumption Booms and Asset Bubbles: A Behavioural Alternative to the Savings Glut Hypothesis
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Year: 2010 Publisher: Cambridge, Mass. National Bureau of Economic Research

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Estimating Discount Functions with Consumption Choices over the Lifecycle
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Year: 2007 Publisher: Cambridge, Mass. National Bureau of Economic Research

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A Debt Puzzle
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Year: 2000 Publisher: Cambridge, Mass. National Bureau of Economic Research

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Beta-Delta-DELTA Sweet Spot
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Year: 2023 Publisher: National Bureau of Economic Research

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Simple Mapping from MPCs to MPXs
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Year: 2022 Publisher: National Bureau of Economic Research

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Present Bias Amplifies the Household Balance-Sheet Channels of Macroeconomic Policy
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Year: 2021 Publisher: National Bureau of Economic Research

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Hyperbolic Discount Functions, Undersaving, and Savings Policy
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Year: 1996 Publisher: Cambridge, Mass. National Bureau of Economic Research

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Hyperbolic discount functions, undersaving and savings policy
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Year: 1996 Publisher: Cambridge, Mass. National Bureau of Economic Research

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The implications of hyperbolic discounting for project evaluation
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Year: 1998 Publisher: Washington, D.C.

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Capital Flows, Consumption Booms and Asset Bubbles: A Behavioural Alternative to the Savings Glut Hypothesis
Authors: ---
Year: 2010 Publisher: Cambridge, Mass National Bureau of Economic Research

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Bernanke (2005) hypothesized that a “global savings glut” was causing large trade imbalances. However, we show that the global savings rates did not show a robust upward trend during the relevant period. Moreover, if there had been a global savings glut there should have been a large investment boom in the countries that imported capital. Instead, those countries experienced consumption booms. National asset bubbles explain the international imbalances. The bubbles raised consumption, resulting in large trade deficits. In a sample of 18 OECD countries plus China, movements in home prices alone explain half of the variation in trade deficits.

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