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This paper estimates the effectiveness of capital controls in response to inflow surges in Brazil, Colombia, Korea, and Thailand in the 2000s. Controls are generally associated with a decrease in inflows and a lengthening of maturities, but the relationship is not statistically significant in all cases, and the effects are temporary. Controls are more successful in providing room for monetary policy than dampening currency appreciation pressures. We argue that the macroeconomic impact of capital controls depends on the extensiveness of the policy, the level of capital market development, the support provided by other policies, and the persistence of capital flows.
Exports and Imports --- Macroeconomics --- Current Account Adjustment --- Short-term Capital Movements --- International Investment --- Long-term Capital Movements --- Open Economy Macroeconomics --- Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles: General (includes Measurement and Data) --- International economics --- Economic growth --- Capital flows --- Capital controls --- Capital inflows --- Business cycles --- Current account balance --- Balance of payments --- Capital movements --- Brazil
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En la serie de Documentos de Análisis del Personal Técnico del FMI se presentan los últimos análisis e investigaciones sobre políticas elaborados por miembros del personal técnico del FMI, que se publican para recibir comentarios y fomentar el debate. Estos documentos generalmente son breves y están escritos en un lenguaje no técnico, ya que se dirigen a un público amplio interesado en temas de política económica. Esta serie solo se publica en la página web y reemplazó en enero de 2011 a la serie de Notas de Opinión del Personal Técnico del FMI.
Exports and Imports --- Money and Monetary Policy --- International Investment --- Long-term Capital Movements --- Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit: General --- Monetary Systems --- Standards --- Regimes --- Government and the Monetary System --- Payment Systems --- International economics --- Monetary economics --- Capital controls --- Capital inflows --- Capital flows --- Credit --- Currencies --- Capital movements --- Money --- Colombia
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Staff Discussion Notes showcase the latest policy-related analysis and research being developed by individual IMF staff and are published to elicit comment and to further debate. These papers are generally brief and written in nontechnical language, and so are aimed at a broad audience interested in economic policy issues. This Web-only series replaced Staff Position Notes in January 2011.
Exports and Imports --- Money and Monetary Policy --- International Investment --- Long-term Capital Movements --- Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit: General --- Monetary Systems --- Standards --- Regimes --- Government and the Monetary System --- Payment Systems --- International economics --- Monetary economics --- Capital controls --- Capital inflows --- Capital flows --- Credit --- Currencies --- Balance of payments --- Money --- Capital movements --- Colombia
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This paper provides a summary of the key policies that encourage dedollarization. It focuses on cases in which the authorities’ intention is to gain greater control of monetary policy and draws on the experiences of countries that have successfully dedollarized. Unlike previous work on the subject, this paper examines both macroeconomic stabilization policies and microeconomic measures, such as prudential regulation of the financial system. This study is also the first attempt to make extensive use of the foreign exchange regulation data reported in the IMF’s Annual Report on Exchange Arrangements and Exchange Restrictions. The main conclusion is that durable dedollarization depends on a credible disinflation plan and specific microeconomic measures.
Money. --- Currency question. --- Dollar, American. --- Foreign exchange. --- Cambistry --- Currency exchange --- Exchange, Foreign --- Foreign currency --- Foreign exchange problem --- Foreign money --- Forex --- FX (Finance) --- International exchange --- International finance --- Currency crises --- American dollar --- Money --- Fiat money --- Free coinage --- Monetary question --- Scrip --- Finance --- Finance, Public --- Legal tender --- Currency --- Money, Primitive --- Specie --- Standard of value --- Exchange --- Value --- Banks and banking --- Coinage --- Currency question --- Gold --- Silver --- Silver question --- Wealth --- Foreign Exchange --- Macroeconomics --- Money and Monetary Policy --- Monetary Systems --- Standards --- Regimes --- Government and the Monetary System --- Payment Systems --- Comparative or Joint Analysis of Fiscal and Monetary Policy --- Stabilization --- Treasury Policy --- Monetary economics --- Foreign exchange --- Currencies --- Dollarization --- Exchange rates --- Fiscal stabilization --- Monetary policy --- Fiscal policy --- Croatia, Republic of
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Since 1998, the staff of the International Monetary Fund has published a classification of countries' de facto exchange rate arrangements. Experience in operating this classification system has highlighted a need for changes. The present paper provides information on revisions to the system in early 2009. The changes are expected to allow for greater consistency and objectivity of classifications across countries, expedite the classification process, conserve resources, and improve transparency.
Finance --- Business & Economics --- International Finance --- Foreign exchange rates. --- Monetary policy. --- Monetary management --- Exchange rates --- Fixed exchange rates --- Flexible exchange rates --- Floating exchange rates --- Fluctuating exchange rates --- Foreign exchange --- Rates of exchange --- Rates --- Economic policy --- Currency boards --- Money supply --- Foreign Exchange --- International Agreements and Observance --- International Organizations --- Development Planning and Policy: Trade Policy --- Factor Movement --- Foreign Exchange Policy --- Currency --- Exchange rate arrangements --- Exchange rate policy --- Crawling peg --- Conventional peg
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En la serie de Documentos de Análisis del Personal Técnico del FMI se presentan los últimos análisis e investigaciones sobre políticas elaborados por miembros del personal técnico del FMI, que se publican para recibir comentarios y fomentar el debate. Estos documentos generalmente son breves y están escritos en un lenguaje no técnico, ya que se dirigen a un público amplio interesado en temas de política económica. Esta serie solo se publica en la página web y reemplazó en enero de 2011 a la serie de Notas de Opinión del Personal Técnico del FMI.
Banks and Banking --- Exports and Imports --- Foreign Exchange --- Money and Monetary Policy --- International Investment --- Long-term Capital Movements --- Multinational Firms --- International Business --- Banks --- Depository Institutions --- Micro Finance Institutions --- Mortgages --- Monetary Systems --- Standards --- Regimes --- Government and the Monetary System --- Payment Systems --- International economics --- Currency --- Foreign exchange --- Banking --- Monetary economics --- Capital controls --- Capital inflows --- Currencies --- Capital movements --- Banks and banking --- Money --- Colombia
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Staff Discussion Notes showcase the latest policy-related analysis and research being developed by individual IMF staff and are published to elicit comment and to further debate. These papers are generally brief and written in nontechnical language, and so are aimed at a broad audience interested in economic policy issues. This Web-only series replaced Staff Position Notes in January 2011.
Banks and Banking --- Exports and Imports --- Foreign Exchange --- Money and Monetary Policy --- International Investment --- Long-term Capital Movements --- Multinational Firms --- International Business --- Banks --- Depository Institutions --- Micro Finance Institutions --- Mortgages --- Monetary Systems --- Standards --- Regimes --- Government and the Monetary System --- Payment Systems --- Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit: General --- International economics --- Currency --- Foreign exchange --- Banking --- Monetary economics --- Capital controls --- Capital inflows --- Currencies --- Balance of payments --- Money --- Credit --- Capital movements --- Banks and banking --- Colombia
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With rising financial integration, the magnitude and swings in capital flows have increased in the past two decades, intensifying the policy debate on how best to deal with these flows. This paper assesses the use and effectiveness of capital controls in limiting inflow surges. Using a novel dataset on capital control changes across 40 advanced and emerging market and developing economies over 1995-2018, we find that the tightening of capital controls reduces the probability of future surges both at the aggregate and the asset flow levels. The results are robust to various definitions of surges and are stronger when controls are matched to the asset class they target. Finally, we also find significant multilateral spillovers from capital control actions, pointing towards the need for international cooperation in the use of these policies.
Macroeconomics --- Economics: General --- Exports and Imports --- Current Account Adjustment --- Short-term Capital Movements --- Financial Crises --- Financial Institutions and Services: Government Policy and Regulation --- International Investment --- Long-term Capital Movements --- Economic & financial crises & disasters --- Economics of specific sectors --- International economics --- Capital controls --- Balance of payments --- Currency crises --- Informal sector --- Economics --- Capital movements
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This paper provides an analysis of the use and effects of capital controls in 27 AEs and EMDEs which experienced at least one financial crisis between 1995 and 2017. Countries often turn to using capital controls in crisis: some ease inflow controls while others tighten controls on outflows. A key finding is that countries with pervasive controls before the start of the crisis are shielded compared to countries with more open capital accounts, which see a significant decline in capital flows during crises. In contrast, the effectiveness of capital controls introduced during crises appears to be weak and difficult to identify. There is also some evidence that the introduction of outflow controls during crises is negatively associated with sovereign debt ratings, but that investors may actually forgive with time.
Macroeconomics --- Economics: General --- Exports and Imports --- Financial Risk Management --- Current Account Adjustment --- Short-term Capital Movements --- Financial Crises --- Financial Institutions and Services: Government Policy and Regulation --- International Investment --- Long-term Capital Movements --- Economic & financial crises & disasters --- Economics of specific sectors --- International economics --- Capital controls --- Balance of payments --- Capital outflows --- Financial crises --- Capital account --- Capital flows --- Currency crises --- Informal sector --- Economics --- Capital movements --- United States
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With rising financial integration, the magnitude and swings in capital flows have increased in the past two decades, intensifying the policy debate on how best to deal with these flows. This paper assesses the use and effectiveness of capital controls in limiting inflow surges. Using a novel dataset on capital control changes across 40 advanced and emerging market and developing economies over 1995-2018, we find that the tightening of capital controls reduces the probability of future surges both at the aggregate and the asset flow levels. The results are robust to various definitions of surges and are stronger when controls are matched to the asset class they target. Finally, we also find significant multilateral spillovers from capital control actions, pointing towards the need for international cooperation in the use of these policies.
Macroeconomics --- Economics: General --- Exports and Imports --- Current Account Adjustment --- Short-term Capital Movements --- Financial Crises --- Financial Institutions and Services: Government Policy and Regulation --- International Investment --- Long-term Capital Movements --- Economic & financial crises & disasters --- Economics of specific sectors --- International economics --- Capital controls --- Balance of payments --- Currency crises --- Informal sector --- Economics --- Capital movements
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