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Year: 2010 Publisher: Washington, D.C., The World Bank,
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This paper analyzes Botswana's medium-term fiscal sustainability in view of the expected depletion of diamonds in the future. The analysis shows that in the absence of policy adjustments, Botswana's current fiscal policy strategy is unsustainable over the longer term, which could endanger macroeconomic stability and Botswana's reputation as Africa's success story. Ensuring medium-term sustainability of Botswana's public finances requires stronger revenue collection, through improved revenue administration, greater tax enforcement, and the rationalization of tax exemptions in order to realize the full revenue potential. Opportunities also exist to generate more revenue from the non-mining sector through changes in the tax regime. At the same time, the government needs to maximize the effectiveness of public expenditure and bring down public spending to levels that are more in line with long-term revenue prospects. A greater control over the public sector wage bill is critically important. In-house capacity for macroeconomic monitoring and fiscal analysis also needs to be enhanced further. Looking ahead, growth of a dynamic non-mining sector is crucial for Botswana not only from the fiscal sustainability point of view, but from the point of view of achieving balanced development that will create jobs and deliver durable reduction in poverty and inequality. Fiscal policy will have to play a central role in this process.
Access to Finance --- Debt Markets --- Economic Theory & Research --- Finance and Financial Sector Development --- Fiscal Analysis --- Fiscal Policy --- Fiscal Sustainability --- Long-Term Instruments --- Macroeconomic Stability --- Macroeconomics and Economic Growth --- Medium-Term Projection --- Public Finances --- Public Sector --- Public Sector Development --- Public Sector Economics --- Public Sector Expenditure Policy --- Revenue Policy --- Taxation
Book
Year: 2014 Publisher: Washington, D.C., The World Bank,
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This paper examines the theory of Dutch disease and its implications for practical policy questions. Dutch disease is a term that is well-known to economists and development practitioners. But it is also a concept that is often conflated with "resource curse" and misinterpreted as a "disease" that necessarily causes adverse impacts on the economy. The paper points out that many of the seemingly well-established arguments in this field are not necessarily grounded in theory or empirical evidence. Great care is needed in diagnosing Dutch disease and formulating policy prescriptions based on the theoretical framework, given the restrictive assumptions that may not be fully applicable and the limited relevance to today's inextricably intertwined trade flows. Countries facing large inflows of foreign currency should focus on safeguarding the domestic economy from the volatility of international commodity and capital markets, and building robust institutions to reduce adjustment costs and boost broader competitiveness. A policy package needs to be comprehensive, covering macroeconomic and structural policy measures, and should be calibrated to target country specific concerns. Policies may need to be adjusted continuously in view of the evolving dynamics of the global and domestic economic environment.
Aid --- Currencies and Exchange Rates --- Debt Markets --- Dutch Disease --- Economic Theory & Research --- Emerging Markets --- Environment --- Environmental Economics & Policies --- Finance and Financial Sector Development --- International Capital Flows --- Macroeconomics and Economic Growth --- Natural Resources --- Private Sector Development --- Remittances
Book
Year: 2010 Publisher: Washington, D.C., The World Bank,
Abstract | Keywords | Export | Availability | Bookmark
Loading...Choose an application
- Reference Manager
- EndNote
- RefWorks (Direct export to RefWorks)
This paper analyzes Botswana's medium-term fiscal sustainability in view of the expected depletion of diamonds in the future. The analysis shows that in the absence of policy adjustments, Botswana's current fiscal policy strategy is unsustainable over the longer term, which could endanger macroeconomic stability and Botswana's reputation as Africa's success story. Ensuring medium-term sustainability of Botswana's public finances requires stronger revenue collection, through improved revenue administration, greater tax enforcement, and the rationalization of tax exemptions in order to realize the full revenue potential. Opportunities also exist to generate more revenue from the non-mining sector through changes in the tax regime. At the same time, the government needs to maximize the effectiveness of public expenditure and bring down public spending to levels that are more in line with long-term revenue prospects. A greater control over the public sector wage bill is critically important. In-house capacity for macroeconomic monitoring and fiscal analysis also needs to be enhanced further. Looking ahead, growth of a dynamic non-mining sector is crucial for Botswana not only from the fiscal sustainability point of view, but from the point of view of achieving balanced development that will create jobs and deliver durable reduction in poverty and inequality. Fiscal policy will have to play a central role in this process.
Access to Finance --- Debt Markets --- Economic Theory & Research --- Finance and Financial Sector Development --- Fiscal Analysis --- Fiscal Policy --- Fiscal Sustainability --- Long-Term Instruments --- Macroeconomic Stability --- Macroeconomics and Economic Growth --- Medium-Term Projection --- Public Finances --- Public Sector --- Public Sector Development --- Public Sector Economics --- Public Sector Expenditure Policy --- Revenue Policy --- Taxation
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