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Book
Financial Development, Exchange Rate Fluctuations and Debt Dollarization: A Firm-Level Evidence
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ISBN: 1513511173 1513511149 Year: 2019 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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Abstract

This paper examines how financial development influences the debt dollarization of nonfinancial firms in a sample of emerging market economies (EMEs). The macroeconomic channels are identified from an optimal portfolio allocation model and assessed empirically using the accounting information of nonfinancial firms from 21 EMEs during 2009–2017. The results show that financial development, measured by the private credit-to-GDP ratio, mainly reduces the influence of exchange rate volatility in determining a firm's debt currency composition, among other channels. Furthermore, the effect of exchange rate volatility becomes statistically insignificant beyond an estimated threshold credit-to-GDP ratio of 100 percent.


Book
Financial Development, Exchange Rate Fluctuations and Debt Dollarization : a Firm-Level Evidence.
Author:
ISBN: 9781513511177 Year: 2019 Publisher: Washington, D. C. International Monetary Fund

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Financial Development, Exchange Rate Fluctuations and Debt Dollarization: A Firm-Level Evidence.

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E-books


Book
Do FX Interventions Lead to Higher FX Debt? Evidence from Firm-Level Data
Authors: --- ---
Year: 2020 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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Central banks often buy or sell reserves-–-so called FX interventions (FXIs)---to dampen sharp exchange rate movements caused by volatile capital flows. At the same time, these interventions may entail unintended side effects. In this paper, we investigate whether FXIs incentivize firms to take on more unhedged FX debt, thereby increasing medium-term corporate vulnerabilities. Using a novel dataset with close to 5,000 nonfinancial firms across 19 emerging markets covering 2002--2017, we find that the firm-level share of FX debt rises following intensive use of FXIs, particularly for non-exporting firms in shallow financial markets with no FX debt to begin with. The magnitude of this effect is economically significant, with one standard deviation increase in FXI leading to an average 2 percentage points increase in the FX debt share. For reference, the median share of FX debt in the sample is zero.


Book
Do FX Interventions Lead to Higher FX Debt? Evidence from Firm-Level Data
Authors: --- ---
ISBN: 1513558781 Year: 2020 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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Abstract

Central banks often buy or sell reserves-–-so called FX interventions (FXIs)---to dampen sharp exchange rate movements caused by volatile capital flows. At the same time, these interventions may entail unintended side effects. In this paper, we investigate whether FXIs incentivize firms to take on more unhedged FX debt, thereby increasing medium-term corporate vulnerabilities. Using a novel dataset with close to 5,000 nonfinancial firms across 19 emerging markets covering 2002--2017, we find that the firm-level share of FX debt rises following intensive use of FXIs, particularly for non-exporting firms in shallow financial markets with no FX debt to begin with. The magnitude of this effect is economically significant, with one standard deviation increase in FXI leading to an average 2 percentage points increase in the FX debt share. For reference, the median share of FX debt in the sample is zero.


Book
Why Complementarity Matters for Stability—Hong Kong SAR and Singapore as Asian Financial Centers
Authors: --- --- ---
ISBN: 1498377416 149835713X 1498369154 Year: 2014 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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There is much speculation regarding a “race for dominance” among financial centers in Asia, arising from the anticipated financial opening up of China. This frame of reference is, to an extent, a predilection that results from a traditional understanding of financial centers as possessing historical, geographic, and scale economy advantages. This paper, however, suggests that there is an alternative prism through which the evolution of financial centers in Asia needs to be viewed. It underscores the importance of “complementarity” rather than “dominance” to better serve regional and global financial stability. We posit that such complementarity is vital, through network analysis of the roles of Hong Kong SAR and Singapore as the current leading financial centers in the region. This analysis suggests that a competition for dominance can result in de-stabilizing levels of interconnectivity that render the global “network” as a whole more susceptible to rapid propagation of shocks. We then examine the regulatory and policy challenges that may be encountered in furthering such complementary coexistence.


Book
Private Sector Deleveraging and Growth Following Busts
Authors: --- --- --- ---
ISBN: 1498338690 Year: 2015 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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Balance sheet recessions have been a drag on activity after the Global Financial Crisis, underscoring the important role of balance sheet adjustment for resuming sustained growth. In this paper we examine private sector deleveraging experiences across 36 advanced and emerging economies countries since 1960. We consider the common features and divergent experiences of deleveraging episodes across countries, and analyze empirically the impact of different aspects of deleveraging during the bust phase of leverage cycles on subsequent medium-term growth. The results suggest that larger and quicker unwinding of non-financial sector debt overhangs is associated with sizable medium-term output gains, and that policies should focus on facilitating up-front balance sheet adjustment.

Keywords

Financial leverage. --- Financial statements. --- Business cycles. --- Economic development. --- Economic policy. --- Economic nationalism --- Economic planning --- National planning --- State planning --- Economics --- Planning --- National security --- Social policy --- Development, Economic --- Economic growth --- Growth, Economic --- Economic policy --- Statics and dynamics (Social sciences) --- Development economics --- Resource curse --- Economic cycles --- Economic fluctuations --- Cycles --- Balance sheets --- Corporate financial statements --- Earnings statements --- Financial reports --- Income statements --- Operating statements --- Profit and loss statements --- Statements, Financial --- Accounting --- Bookkeeping --- Business records --- Corporation reports --- Leverage, Financial --- Finance --- Financial Risk Management --- Macroeconomics --- Public Finance --- Macroeconomics: Consumption --- Saving --- Wealth --- Money Supply --- Credit --- Money Multipliers --- Financial Crises --- Bankruptcy --- Liquidation --- 'Panel Data Models --- Spatio-temporal Models' --- Financing Policy --- Financial Risk and Risk Management --- Capital and Ownership Structure --- Value of Firms --- Goodwill --- Debt --- Debt Management --- Sovereign Debt --- Public Administration --- Public Sector Accounting and Audits --- Macroeconomics: Production --- Economic & financial crises & disasters --- Public finance & taxation --- Financial reporting, financial statements --- Private debt --- Financial crises --- Public debt --- Financial statements --- Production growth --- National accounts --- Public financial management (PFM) --- Production --- Debts, Public --- Finance, Public --- Economic theory --- United States


Book
The New Normal : A Sector-level Perspective on Productivity Trends in Advanced Economies
Authors: --- --- --- --- --- et al.
ISBN: 1498344380 1498345719 Year: 2015 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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Total factor productivity growth was stagnant or slowing in many advanced countries even prior to the crisis. This paper documents sector-level productivity patterns across advanced economies prior to the crisis and examines the role of product and labor market rigidities as well as innovation and investments in information technology and human capital in driving productivity differences across sectors and countries. Since productivity payoffs of reforms evolve over time, we also focus on large changes in the structural indicators examine their dynamic impact on productivity, employment, and output. Our results suggest that reform priorities depend on country-specific settings, including the scale of specific policy distortions and the distance from the technology frontier. Productivity gains from reforms are large and materialize predominantly in the medium term, with some important variations across industries and countries.

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