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The Impact of Public Capital, Human Capital, and Knowledge on Aggregate Output
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ISBN: 1451915292 1462312403 9786612841699 1451870760 1282841696 1452779341 Year: 2008 Volume: WP/08/218 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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This paper investigates the impact of public capital on private sector output by testing and estimating an aggregate production function for the U.S. economy over the postwar period augmented to include the stock of public capital as an additional factor input. We use patent applications to proxy for knowledge/technology stocks and adjust labor hours for changes in human capital or skill. Using Johansen's (1988 and 1991) multivariate cointegration analysis, we find a positive and significant long run effect of public capital, private capital, skilladjusted labor, and technology/ knowledge on private sector output. We find that public capital accounts for about half of the post-1973 productivity slowdown, but only plays a minor role in the partial recovery of labor productivity growth since the mid 1980s. The largest contribution to that (partial) recovery comes from the knowledge stock and human capital.


Book
What Explains Germany’s Rebounding Export Market Share?
Authors: --- ---
ISBN: 1462385109 1452794529 1283515105 9786613827555 145191041X Year: 2007 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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Germany's export market share increased since 2000, while most industrial countries experienced declines. This study explores four explanations and evaluates their empirical contributions: (i) improved cost competitiveness, (ii) ties to fast growing trading partners, (iii) increased demand for capital goods, and (iv) regionalized production of goods (e.g. offshoring). An export model is estimated covering the period 1993-2005. The dominant factors explaining the increase in market share are trade relationships with fast growing countries and regionalized production in the export sector. Improved cost competitiveness had a comparatively smaller impact. There is no conclusive evidence of increased demand for capital goods.


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Relating the Knowledge Production Function to Total Factor Productivity : An Endogenous Growth Puzzle
Authors: --- ---
ISBN: 1462312500 1452746133 128351852X 1451906293 9786613830975 Year: 2005 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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The knowledge production function is central to R&D-based growth models. This paper empirically investigates the knowledge production function and intertemporal spillover effects using cointegration techniques. Time-series evidence suggests there are two long-run cointegrating relationships. The first captures a long-run knowledge production function; the second captures a long-run positive relationship between TFP and the knowledge stock. The results indicate the presence of strong intertemporal knowledge spillovers and that the long-run impact of the knowledge stock on TFP is small. This evidence is interpreted in light of existing theoretical and empirical evidence on endogenous growth.


Book
Measuring energy security : trends in the diversification of oil and natural gas supplies
Authors: --- --- ---
ISBN: 1455231029 1462358608 1283570564 9786613883018 1455217794 1455217875 Year: 2011 Publisher: [Washington, District of Columbia] : International Monetary Fund,

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We present evidence on one facet of energy security in OECD economies - the extent of diversification in sources of oil and natural gas supplies. Viewed from the perspective of the energy-importing countries as a whole, there has not been much change in diversification in oil supplies over the last decade, but diversification in sources of natural gas supplies has increased steadily. We document the cross-country heterogeneity in the extent of diversification. We also show how the extent of diversification changes if account is taken of the political risk attached to suppliers; the size of the


Book
A macroeconometric model for Saudi Arabia : a case study on the world's largest oil exporter
Authors: --- --- ---
ISBN: 3031122755 3031122747 Year: 2023 Publisher: Cham : Springer International Publishing AG,

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This Open Access Brief presents the KAPSARC Global Energy Macroeconometric Model (KGEMM). KGEMM is a policy analysis tool for examining the impacts of domestic policy measures and global economic and energy shocks on the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia. The model has eight blocks (real sector, fiscal, monetary, external sector, price, labor and wages, energy, population, and age cohorts) that interact with each other to represent the Kingdom’s macroeconomy and energy linkages. It captures New Keynesian demand-side features anchored to medium-run equilibrium and long-run aggregate supply. It applies a cointegration and equilibrium correction modeling (ECM) methodology to time series data to estimate the model’s behavioral equations in the framework of Autometrics, a general-to-specific econometric modeling strategy. Hence, the model combines ‘theory-driven’ approach with ‘data-driven’ approach. The Brief begins with an introduction to the theoretical framework of the model and the KGEMM methodology and then walks the reader through the structure of the model and its behavioral equations. The book closes with simulations showing the application of the model. Providing a detailed introduction to a cutting-edge, robust predictive model, this Brief will be of great use to researchers and policymakers interested in macroeconomics, energy economics, econometrics, and more specifically, the economy of Saudi Arabia.


Book
A Macroeconometric Model for Saudi Arabia
Authors: --- --- --- ---
ISBN: 9783031122750 Year: 2023 Publisher: Cham Springer International Publishing :Imprint: Springer

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