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Little progress has been made so far in addressing—in a comprehensive way—the externalities caused by impact of the interconnectedness within institutions and markets on funding and market liquidity risk within financial systems. The Systemic Risk-adjusted Liquidity (SRL) model combines option pricing with market information and balance sheet data to generate a probabilistic measure of the frequency and severity of multiple entities experiencing a joint liquidity event. It links a firm’s maturity mismatch between assets and liabilities impacting the stability of its funding with those characteristics of other firms, subject to individual changes in risk profiles and common changes in market conditions. This approach can then be used (i) to quantify an individual institution’s time-varying contribution to system-wide liquidity shortfalls and (ii) to price liquidity risk within a macroprudential framework that, if used to motivate a capital charge or insurance premia, provides incentives for liquidity managers to internalize the systemic risk of their decisions. The model can also accommodate a stress testing approach for institution-specific and/or general funding shocks that generate estimates of systemic liquidity risk (and associated charges) under adverse scenarios.
Liquidity (Economics) --- Finance. --- Funding --- Funds --- Economics --- Currency question --- Assets, Frozen --- Frozen assets --- Finance --- Econometric models. --- Banks and Banking --- Finance: General --- Specific Distributions --- Model Construction and Estimation --- Financial Crises --- Contingent Pricing --- Futures Pricing --- option pricing --- Banks --- Depository Institutions --- Micro Finance Institutions --- Mortgages --- Financial Institutions and Services: Government Policy and Regulation --- Financing Policy --- Financial Risk and Risk Management --- Capital and Ownership Structure --- Value of Firms --- Goodwill --- General Financial Markets: Government Policy and Regulation --- Portfolio Choice --- Investment Decisions --- Financial services law & regulation --- Banking --- Liquidity risk --- Systemic risk --- Liquidity --- Liquidity requirements --- Financial regulation and supervision --- Financial sector policy and analysis --- Asset and liability management --- Liquidity management --- Financial risk management --- Banks and banking --- State supervision --- United States --- Option pricing
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This paper explains the treatment of sovereign risk in macroprudential solvency stress testing, based on the experiences in the Financial Sector Assessment Program (FSAP). We discuss four essential steps in assessing the system-wide impact of sovereign risk: scope, loss estimation, shock calibration, and capital impact calculation. Most importantly, a market-consistent valuation approach lies at the heart of assessing the resilience of the financial sector in a tail risk scenario with sovereign distress. We present a flexible, closed-form approach to calibrating haircuts based on changes in expected sovereign defaults affecting bank solvency during adverse macroeconomic conditions. This paper demonstrates the effectiveness of using extreme value theory (EVT) in this context, with empirical examples from past FSAPs.
Financial risk management. --- Liquidity (Economics) --- Banks and banking. --- Agricultural banks --- Banking --- Banking industry --- Commercial banks --- Depository institutions --- Finance --- Financial institutions --- Money --- Assets, Frozen --- Frozen assets --- Risk management --- Banks and Banking --- Finance: General --- Money and Monetary Policy --- Investments: Bonds --- Banks --- Depository Institutions --- Micro Finance Institutions --- Mortgages --- Financial Institutions and Services: Government Policy and Regulation --- Financing Policy --- Financial Risk and Risk Management --- Capital and Ownership Structure --- Value of Firms --- Goodwill --- Interest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, and Effects --- Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit: General --- General Financial Markets: General (includes Measurement and Data) --- Financial services law & regulation --- Monetary economics --- Investment & securities --- Credit risk --- Stress testing --- Yield curve --- Credit default swap --- Financial regulation and supervision --- Bond yields --- Financial sector policy and analysis --- Financial services --- Financial risk management --- Interest rates --- Banks and banking --- Credit --- Bonds --- United Kingdom
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The profitability of Italian banks depends, among other factors, on the strength of the ongoing economic recovery, the stance of monetary policy, and the beneficial effects of current and past reforms, notably to address structural obstacles to resolving nonperforming loans (NPLs) and to foster banking sector consolidation. Improved profitability would enable banks to raise capital buffers and accelerate the cleanup of their balance sheets. This paper investigates quantitatively the current and prospective earnings capacity of Italian banks. A bottom-up analysis of the 15 largest Italian banks suggests that the system is on the whole profitable, but that there is significant heterogeneity across banks. Many banks should become more profitable as the economy recovers, but their capacity to lend depends on the size of their capital buffers. However, a number of smaller banks face profitability pressures, even under favorable assumptions. There is thus a need to push ahead decisively on cleaning up balance sheets, including through cost cutting and efficiency gains.
Banks and banking --- Bank profits --- Monetary policy --- Financial statements --- Balance sheets --- Corporate financial statements --- Earnings statements --- Financial reports --- Income statements --- Operating statements --- Profit and loss statements --- Statements, Financial --- Accounting --- Bookkeeping --- Business records --- Corporation reports --- Bank earnings --- Profit --- Asset requirements --- Bank soundness --- Banking --- Banks and Banking --- Banks --- Countercyclical capital buffers --- Depository Institutions --- Distressed assets --- Finance --- Finance: General --- Financial Institutions and Services: Government Policy and Regulation --- Financial institutions --- Financial regulation and supervision --- Financial sector policy and analysis --- Financial services law & regulation --- General Financial Markets: Government Policy and Regulation --- Industries: Financial Services --- Loans --- Micro Finance Institutions --- Mortgages --- Nonperforming loans --- Italy
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More than two years ago the European Central Bank (ECB) adopted a negative interest rate policy (NIRP) to achieve its price stability objective. Negative interest rates have so far supported easier financial conditions and contributed to a modest expansion in credit, demonstrating that the zero lower bound is less binding than previously thought. However, interest rate cuts also weigh on bank profitability. Substantial rate cuts may at some point outweigh the benefits from higher asset values and stronger aggregate demand. Further monetary accommodation may need to rely more on credit easing and an expansion of the ECB’s balance sheet rather than substantial additional reductions in the policy rate.
Interest rates --- Monetary policy --- Inflation (Finance) --- Economic development --- Development, Economic --- Economic growth --- Growth, Economic --- Economic policy --- Economics --- Statics and dynamics (Social sciences) --- Development economics --- Resource curse --- Finance --- Natural rate of unemployment --- Monetary management --- Currency boards --- Money supply --- Money market rates --- Rate of interest --- Rates, Interest --- Interest --- Bank soundness --- Banking --- Banks and Banking --- Banks and banking --- Banks --- Central bank policy rate --- Central Banks and Their Policies --- Deposit rates --- Depository Institutions --- Finance: General --- Financial markets --- Financial sector policy and analysis --- Financial services --- General Financial Markets: General (includes Measurement and Data) --- General Financial Markets: Government Policy and Regulation --- Interest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, and Effects --- Micro Finance Institutions --- Monetary economics --- Monetary Policy --- Money and Monetary Policy --- Money market --- Money markets --- Mortgages --- Negative interest rates --- Switzerland
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This paper provides a conceptual overview of key aspects of the design and implementation of solvency stress testing of Islamic banks. Based on existing regulatory standards and prudential practice, the paper explains how Islamic finance principles and their impact on various risk drivers affect the capital assessment of asset-oriented financial intermediation under stress. The formal specification of these risk factors helps operationalize and integrate the stress testing of Islamic banks within established frameworks for financial stability analysis.
Banks and Banking --- Finance: General --- Islamic Banking and Finance --- Central Banks and Their Policies --- General Financial Markets: Government Policy and Regulation --- Comparative Analysis of Economic Systems --- Other Economic Systems: Public Economics --- Financial Economics --- Financing Policy --- Financial Risk and Risk Management --- Capital and Ownership Structure --- Value of Firms --- Goodwill --- Banks --- Depository Institutions --- Micro Finance Institutions --- Mortgages --- Financial Institutions and Services: Government Policy and Regulation --- Banking --- Financial services law & regulation --- Finance --- Islamic banking --- Market risk --- Credit risk --- Stress testing --- Financial services --- Financial regulation and supervision --- Financial sector policy and analysis --- Islamic finance --- Financial risk management --- Banks and banking --- Islamic countries --- Iran, Islamic Republic of
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This paper provides a conceptual overview of key aspects of the design and implementation of solvency stress testing of Islamic banks. Based on existing regulatory standards and prudential practice, the paper explains how Islamic finance principles and their impact on various risk drivers affect the capital assessment of asset-oriented financial intermediation under stress. The formal specification of these risk factors helps operationalize and integrate the stress testing of Islamic banks within established frameworks for financial stability analysis.
Iran, Islamic Republic of --- Banks and Banking --- Finance: General --- Islamic Banking and Finance --- Central Banks and Their Policies --- General Financial Markets: Government Policy and Regulation --- Comparative Analysis of Economic Systems --- Other Economic Systems: Public Economics --- Financial Economics --- Financing Policy --- Financial Risk and Risk Management --- Capital and Ownership Structure --- Value of Firms --- Goodwill --- Banks --- Depository Institutions --- Micro Finance Institutions --- Mortgages --- Financial Institutions and Services: Government Policy and Regulation --- Banking --- Financial services law & regulation --- Finance --- Islamic banking --- Market risk --- Credit risk --- Stress testing --- Financial services --- Financial regulation and supervision --- Financial sector policy and analysis --- Islamic finance --- Financial risk management --- Banks and banking --- Islamic countries
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Prudential regulation of infrastructure investment plays an important role in creating an enabling environment for mobilizing long-term finance from institutional investors, such as insurance companies, and, thus, gives critical support to sustainable development. Infrastructure projects are asset-intensive and generate predictable and stable cash flows over the long term, with low correlation to other assets; hence they provide a natural match for insurers' liabilities-driven investment strategies. The historical default experience of infrastructure debt suggests a "hump-shaped" credit risk profile, which converges to investment grade quality within a few years after financial close-supported by a consistently high recovery rate with limited cross-country variation in non-accrual events. However, the resilient credit performance of infrastructure-also in emerging market and developing economies-is not reflected in the standardized approaches for credit risk in most regulatory frameworks. Capital charges would decline significantly for a differentiated regulatory treatment of infrastructure debt as a separate asset class. Supplementary analysis suggests that also banks would benefit from greater differentiation, but only over shorter risk horizons, encouraging a more efficient allocation of capital by shifting the supply of long-term funding to insurers.
Banking Regulation --- Basel III --- Credit Risk --- Education --- Educational Sciences --- Energy --- Energy and Environment --- Energy Demand --- Finance and Financial Sector Development --- Financial Crisis Management & Restructuring --- Financial Structures --- Infrastructure --- Insurance Capital Standard --- Insurance Regulation --- Project Finance --- Solvency --- Solvency Regime --- Transport
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Amid increased size and complexity of the banking industry, operational risk has a greater potential to transpire in more harmful ways than many other sources of risk. This paper provides a succinct overview of the current regulatory framework of operational risk under the New Basel Capital Accord with a view to inform a critical debate about the influence of varying loss profiles and different methods of data collection, loss reporting, and model specification on the reliability of operational risk estimates and the consistency of risk-sensitive capital rules. The presented findings offer guidance on enhanced market practice and more effective prudential standards for operational risk measurement.
Banks and Banking --- Finance: General --- Macroeconomics --- Financing Policy --- Financial Risk and Risk Management --- Capital and Ownership Structure --- Value of Firms --- Goodwill --- Banks --- Depository Institutions --- Micro Finance Institutions --- Mortgages --- Financial Institutions and Services: Government Policy and Regulation --- General Financial Markets: Government Policy and Regulation --- Personal Income, Wealth, and Their Distributions --- Financial services law & regulation --- Banking --- Operational risk --- Capital adequacy requirements --- Basel Core Principles --- Personal income --- Financial risk management --- Banks and banking --- Asset requirements --- State supervision --- Income --- United States --- Operational risk. --- Risk management. --- State supervision.
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Islamic lending transactions are governed by the precepts of the shariah, which bans interest and stipulates that income must be derived as return from entrepreneurial investment. Since Islamic finance is predicated on asset backing and specific credit participation in identified business risk, structuring shariah-compliant securitization seems straightforward. This paper explains the fundamental legal principles of Islamic finance, which includes the presentation of a valuation model that helps distil the essential economic characteristics of shariah-compliant synthetication of conventional finance. In addition to a brief review of the current state of market development, the examination of pertinent legal and economic implications of shariah compliance on the configuration of securitization transactions informs a discussion of the most salient benefits and drawbacks of Islamic securitization.
Investments: General --- Money and Monetary Policy --- Public Finance --- Islamic Banking and Finance --- Other Economic Systems: Public Economics --- Financial Economics --- Banks --- Depository Institutions --- Micro Finance Institutions --- Mortgages --- General Financial Markets: General (includes Measurement and Data) --- Taxation, Subsidies, and Revenue: General --- Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit: General --- Investment & securities --- Finance --- Public finance & taxation --- Monetary economics --- Islamic finance --- Securitization --- Securities --- Legal support in revenue administration --- Credit --- Banks and banking --- Islamic countries --- Asset-backed financing --- Financial instruments --- Revenue --- Malaysia --- Bonds --- Religious aspects.
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