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Recurrence interval analysis of financial time series
Authors: --- ---
ISBN: 9781009381741 1009381741 9781009486613 9781009381734 100938175X 1009486616 9781009381758 Year: 2024 Publisher: Cambridge ; New York, NY : Cambridge University Press,

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Abstract

Extreme events are ubiquitous in nature and social society, including natural disasters, accident disasters, crises in public health (such as Ebola and the COVID-19 pandemic), and social security incidents (wars, conflicts, and social unrest). These extreme events will heavily impact financial markets and lead to the appearance of extreme fluctuations in financial time series. Such extreme events lack statistics and are thus hard to predict. Recurrence interval analysis provides a feasible solution for risk assessment and forecasting. This Element aims to provide a systemic description of the techniques and research framework of recurrence interval analysis of financial time series. The authors also provide perspectives on future topics in this direction.

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