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Richard Jeffrey is beyond dispute one of the most distinguished and influential philosophers working in the field of decision theory and the theory of knowledge. His work is distinctive in showing the interplay of epistemological concerns with probability and utility theory. Not only has he made use of standard probabilistic and decision theoretic tools to clarify concepts of evidential support and informed choice, he has also proposed significant modifications of the standard Bayesian position in order that it provide a better fit with actual human experience. Probability logic is viewed not as a source of judgment but as a framework for explaining the implications of probabilistic judgments and their mutual compatability. This collection of essays spans a period of some 35 years and includes what have become some of the classic works in the literature. There is also one completely new piece, while in many instances Jeffrey includes afterthoughts on the older essays.

Stochastic processes --- Bayesian statistical decision theory --- Induction (Logic) --- Judgment. --- Probabilities --- Probabilities. --- Bayesian statistical decision theory. --- Induction (Logic). --- Arts and Humanities --- Philosophy --- Probability --- Statistical inference --- Combinations --- Mathematics --- Chance --- Least squares --- Mathematical statistics --- Risk --- Judgement --- Knowledge, Theory of --- Language and languages --- Psychology --- Thought and thinking --- Wisdom --- Judgment

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This book offers a concise survey of basic probability theory from a thoroughly subjective point of view whereby probability is a mode of judgment. Written by one of the greatest figures in the field of probability theory, the book is both a summation and synthesis of a lifetime of wrestling with these problems and issues. After an introduction to basic probability theory, there are chapters on scientific hypothesis-testing, on changing your mind in response to generally uncertain observations, on expectations of the values of random variables, on de Finetti's dissolution of the so-called problem of induction, and on decision theory.

Judgment --- Probabilities --- Probability --- Statistical inference --- Combinations --- Mathematics --- Chance --- Least squares --- Mathematical statistics --- Risk --- Judgement --- Knowledge, Theory of --- Language and languages --- Psychology --- Thought and thinking --- Wisdom --- Bayes-Regel. --- Beoordeling. --- Judgment. --- Jugement. --- PHILOSOPHY --- Probabilities. --- Probabilités. --- Waarschijnlijkheidstheorie. --- Wahrscheinlichkeitstheorie. --- Epistemology. --- Arts and Humanities --- Philosophy

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Bayesian statistical decision theory

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Statistical decision.

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Mathematical logic