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Book
Why Is It So Hard to Finance Budget Deficits? Problems of a Developing Country
Authors: ---
ISBN: 1462376185 1452791619 128125844X 9786613778031 1451897677 Year: 2002 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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Abstract

This paper examines possible ways for a developing country to finance budget deficits from domestic resources. It does so by analyzing Pakistan's National Savings Scheme (NSS). The NSS has a number of unusual attributes, and its impact upon the economy of Pakistan is not clear, but given Pakistan's chronic fiscal difficulties, the NSS is of great importance in financing the public sector deficit. We use an econometric model to analyze the relationship between the demands for NSS deposits and various other financial instruments, in particular, bank deposits, and foreign-currency deposits. We conclude that NSS and bank deposits are net substitutes, as are NSS and foreign-currency deposits. Bank deposits and foreign-currency deposits, however, seem to be neither substitutes nor complements. Also, the estimated income elasticity of the demand for bank deposits is negative, while that of foreign-currency deposits is positive, and that of NSS is not significantly different from zero. Finally, there is evidence that foreign-currency deposits are a net substitute for NSS deposits. Thus, there is some empirical evidence that foreign currency deposits have absorbed part of the demand for NSS deposits. Accordingly, the availability of foreign-currency deposits may have reduced the ability of the government to finance itself.


Book
Pick Your Poison : The Exchange Rate Regime and Capital Account Volatility in Emerging Markets
Authors: ---
ISBN: 1462389309 145272704X 1281600334 1451897448 9786613781024 Year: 2003 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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We characterize a country's exchange rate regime by how its central bank channels a capital account shock across three variables: exchange depreciation, interest rates, and international reserve flows. Structural vector autoregression estimates for Brazil, Mexico, and Turkey reveal such responses, both contemporaneously and over time. Capital account shocks are further shown to affect output growth and inflation. The nature and magnitude of these effects may depend on the exchange rate regime.


Book
Sources of Economic Growth in East Asia : A Nonparametric Assessment
Authors: --- ---
ISBN: 1462333958 1452771499 1281604135 9786613784827 1451891105 Year: 2002 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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The conventional growth-accounting approach to estimating the sources of economic growth requires unrealistically strong assumptions about the competitiveness of factor markets and the form of the underlying aggregate production function. This paper outlines a new approach utilizing nonparametric derivative estimation techniques that does not require imposing these restrictive assumptions. The results for East Asian countries show that output elasticities of capital and labor are different from the income shares of these factors, and that the growth of total factor productivity over the period 1960-95 has been an important factor in the overall growth performance of these countries.

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