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Lithuania’s current credit cycle highlights the strong link between housing prices and credit. We explore this relationship in more detail by analyzing the main features of credit, housing price, and output cycles in Baltic and Nordic countries during1995-2017. We find a high degree of synchronization between Lithuania’s credit and housing price cycles. Panel regressions show a strong correlation between a credit upturn and housing price upturn. Moreover, panel VAR suggests that shocks in housing prices, credit, and output within and outside Lithuania strongly impact Lithuania’s credit.

Financial planners. --- Accredited personal financial specialists --- Planners --- Investment advisors --- Financial Risk Management --- Macroeconomics --- Money and Monetary Policy --- Real Estate --- Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles: General (includes Measurement and Data) --- Business Fluctuations --- Cycles --- Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles: Forecasting and Simulation --- Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy --- International Business Cycles --- Globalization: Finance --- Housing Supply and Markets --- Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit: General --- Financial Crises --- Property & real estate --- Monetary economics --- Economic & financial crises & disasters --- Housing prices --- Credit --- Credit cycles --- Financial crises --- Global financial crisis of 2008-2009 --- Prices --- Money --- Financial sector policy and analysis --- Housing --- Business cycles --- Global Financial Crisis, 2008-2009 --- Lithuania, Republic of