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There are, by now, several long term, time series data sets on important housing & macro variables, such as land prices, house prices, and the housing wealth-to-income ratio. However, an appropriate theory that can be employed to think about such data and associated research questions has been lacking. We present a new housing & macro model that is designed specifically to analyze the long term. As an illustrative application, we demonstrate that the calibrated model replicates, with remarkable accuracy, the historical evolution of housing wealth (relative to income) after World War II and suggests a further considerable increase in the future. The model also accounts for the close connection of house prices to land prices in the data. We also compare our framework to the canonical housing & macro model, typically employed to analyze business cycles, and highlight the main differences.
Housing. --- Affordable housing --- Homes --- Houses --- Housing --- Housing needs --- Residences --- Slum clearance --- Urban housing --- City planning --- Dwellings --- Human settlements --- Social aspects --- Infrastructure --- Investments: Stocks --- Money and Monetary Policy --- Real Estate --- General Aggregative Models: General --- Macroeconomics: Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment: General (includes Measurement and Data) --- Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity: General --- Economic Development: Urban, Rural, Regional, and Transportation Analysis --- Housing Supply and Markets --- Nonagricultural and Nonresidential Real Estate Markets --- Pension Funds --- Non-bank Financial Institutions --- Financial Instruments --- Institutional Investors --- Monetary Systems --- Standards --- Regimes --- Government and the Monetary System --- Payment Systems --- Macroeconomics --- Property & real estate --- Investment & securities --- Monetary economics --- Housing prices --- Land prices --- Stocks --- Numéraire --- National accounts --- Prices --- Financial institutions --- Money --- Saving and investment --- United States --- Num�raire
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