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The role of policymakers in business cycle fluctuations
Authors: ---
ISBN: 9780511510540 9780521860161 9780521390767 0511169280 9780511169281 0511510543 0521860164 0521390761 1107156432 1280449233 0511168853 051116789X 0511312547 0511168411 Year: 2006 Publisher: Cambridge Cambridge University Press

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Abstract

This book's central theme is that a policymaker's role is to enhance the public's ability to coordinate their price information, price expectations, and economic activities. This role is fulfilled when policymakers maintain inflation stability. Inflation persists less when an implicit or explicit inflation target is met. Granato and Wong argue that inflation persistence is reduced when the public substitutes the prespecified inflation target for past inflation. A by-product of this co-ordination process is greater economic stability. In particular, inflation stability contributes to greater economic output stability, including the potential for the simultaneous reduction of both inflation and output variability - inflation-output co-stabilization (IOCS). Granato and Wong use historical, formal, and applied statistical analysis of business-cycle performance in the United States for the 1960 to 2000 period. They find that during periods when policymakers emphasize inflation stability, inflation uncertainty and persistence were reduced.


Book
Empirical implications of theoretical models in political sciences
Authors: --- ---
ISBN: 113902681X 1009038370 1009038176 0521193869 Year: 2021 Publisher: Cambridge : Cambridge University Press,

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Tension has long existed in the social sciences between quantitative and qualitative approaches on one hand, and theory-minded and empirical techniques on the other. The latter divide has grown sharper in the wake of new behavioural and experimental perspectives which draw on both sides of these modelling schemes. This book works to address this disconnect by establishing a framework for methodological unification: empirical implications of theoretical models (EITM). This framework connects behavioural and applied statistical concepts, develops analogues of these concepts, and links and evaluates these analogues. The authors offer detailed explanations of how these concepts may be framed, to assist researchers interested in incorporating EITM into their own research. They go on to demonstrate how EITM may be put into practice for a range of disciplines within the social sciences, including voting, party identification, social interaction, learning, conflict and cooperation to macro-policy formulation.


Book
Empirical implications of theoretical models in political sciences
Authors: --- ---
ISBN: 9781139026819 9780521193863 9780521122801 Year: 2021 Publisher: Cambridge Cambridge University Press

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