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April 1996 A survey of recent economic literature and a case for improving capacity in developing countries to monitor and analyze data on private capital flows, especially portfolio investment flows (through both debt and non-debt instruments). Gooptu makes a case for improving capacity in developing countries to monitor and analyze data on private capital flows, especially portfolio investment flows (through both debt and non-debt instruments). He surveys recent economic literature and identifies unanswered international finance-related policy questions being grappled with in developing countries. From this he deduces the tremendous need for better data to analyze important economic issues (with a focus on data related to external debt and financial flows). Gooptu provides an overview of recent trends in financial flows to developing countries, highlighting the surge of private capital flows to a few such countries in the 1990s. He traces some of the major policy issues dealt with in the 1980s and describes the analysis and discussions behind policy decisions. He concludes by suggesting some policy issues that are important today in development finance -- and which research agenda might be fruitful for examining changing debt structure and financial flows. This paper -- a product of the International Finance Division, International Economics Department -- is part of a larger effort in the department to address issues related to the economic management of capital flows to developing countries.
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The objective of this good practice note is to outline the ingredients of an assessment of the fiscal impacts of energy subsidies in an economy from the aggregate fiscal perspective of the government. It demonstrates the interrelations between the fiscal balance, its financing, and impact on key debt and fiscal sustainability indicators. As discussed in the Energy Sector Reform Assessment Framework (ESRAF) Good Practice Note on the definition of energy subsidies (Good Practice Note 1), energy subsidies may be provided through various channels on the production and consumption sides, and may generate contingent liabilities-explicit or implicit-for a government that must be monitored and managed as part of overall macroeconomic management. ESRAF defines an energy subsidy as a deliberate policy action by the government that specifically targets electricity, fuels, or district heating and that reduces the net cost of energy purchased, reduces the cost of energy production or delivery, increases the revenues retained by energy suppliers, or has any combination of these three effects. ESRAF also covers non-energy use of oil, gas, and coal, such as natural gas used as a feed stock for fertilizer manufacture and naphtha and liquefied petroleum gas (LPG) used as feed stocks in petrochemicals. Subsidies are not always paid for by the government. Consumers may subsidize producers, producers may subsidize consumers, and financiers and other actors not linked to energy consumption or production, including those outside the country, may be covering the costs of subsidies. This note focuses on the costs of subsidies to the government. One important form of subsidies consists of direct budgetary transfers from the government to either consumers or producers, which are recorded in the government public sector budget. For instance, with the justification of social benefits, governments often establish consumer prices for energy that are below reference prices (prices that would have prevailed in a competitive market, or the cost of efficient production if a competitive market does not exist), and then compensate the energy suppliers for the difference (also referred to as the price gap) between the reference prices and the government controlled prices.' Another subsidy delivery mechanism is provision of the subsidy benefits directly to end users, typically households. In addition, a government may provide subsidies in the form of tax exemptions to energy service providers, tax credits for investment, or allowing the energy-related public utilities and national oil companies to run arrears on their debt service and other payment obligations to the government.
Energy --- Energy Demand --- Energy Policies And Economics --- Energy Subsidies --- Macroeconomics And Economic Growth --- Public Sector Development --- Public-Private Partnerships --- State-Owned Enterprises --- Taxation And Subsidies
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This paper uses a growth diagnostics approach a la Hausmann, Rodrik, and Velasco (HRV) to identify the most 'binding' constraints to private sector growth in Mongolia - a small, low-income, mineral-rich, transition economy. The approach of applying the HRV methodology is useful in those cases where a lack of data prevents us from estimating shadow prices to identify the most 'binding' constraint to growth. We find that although Mongolia is not liquidity constrained and has grown rapidly in recent years, economic growth has been narrowly based. Investment has flowed mainly into a small number of firms operating in mining and construction. The low level of private investment in sectors outside mining and construction has been due to low returns - a result of costly and unreliable transportation services; lengthy and complex transit procedures, including customs and trade rules; distortionary taxes; coordination failures, at both domestic and international levels; and growing corruption. Poor financial intermediation is also a problem that has kept the cost of finance high, although lower than in previous years. Alleviating these binding constraints will ensure that Mongolia maintains the path towards sustained, broad-based growth.
Access to Finance --- Bottlenecks --- Debt Markets --- Economic Theory and Research --- Elasticity --- Emerging Markets --- Externalities --- Finance and Financial Sector Development --- Macroeconomics and Economic Growth --- Population Growth --- Private Sector Development --- Property Rights --- Tax --- Transit --- Transport --- Transport Economics, Policy and Planning --- Transportation --- Transportation Services --- Wealth
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Reforming subsidies can be a complex and politically difficult process. Countries embarking on this journey underline the need for understanding the political context of reform, crafting the right energy pricing, designing solutions that mitigate the adverse impacts of reform on affected populations, and engaging with citizens. The Energy Subsidy Reform Assessment Framework (ESRAF) is a comprehensive analytical toolkit and assessment framework for helping countries to achieve politically and socially sustainable reforms. It highlights issues, tools and practices to help identify, analyze and facilitate a comprehensive reform of energy subsidies. It also outlines analytical approaches to diagnose the impacts of energy subsidies, including their effect on energy consumption, emissions, and health. Finally, it explains how to better understand the political context of reform, consult with stakeholders and engage with the public, and it proposes a checklist for rapid diagnostics to aid and guide the reform process.
Energy --- Energy And Environment --- Energy Consumption --- Energy Policies And Economics --- Energy Sector Regulation --- Energy Subsidies --- Living Standards --- Macroeconomics And Economic Growth --- Taxation And Subsidies
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This paper uses a growth diagnostics approach a la Hausmann, Rodrik, and Velasco (HRV) to identify the most 'binding' constraints to private sector growth in Mongolia - a small, low-income, mineral-rich, transition economy. The approach of applying the HRV methodology is useful in those cases where a lack of data prevents us from estimating shadow prices to identify the most 'binding' constraint to growth. We find that although Mongolia is not liquidity constrained and has grown rapidly in recent years, economic growth has been narrowly based. Investment has flowed mainly into a small number of firms operating in mining and construction. The low level of private investment in sectors outside mining and construction has been due to low returns - a result of costly and unreliable transportation services; lengthy and complex transit procedures, including customs and trade rules; distortionary taxes; coordination failures, at both domestic and international levels; and growing corruption. Poor financial intermediation is also a problem that has kept the cost of finance high, although lower than in previous years. Alleviating these binding constraints will ensure that Mongolia maintains the path towards sustained, broad-based growth.
Access to Finance --- Bottlenecks --- Debt Markets --- Economic Theory and Research --- Elasticity --- Emerging Markets --- Externalities --- Finance and Financial Sector Development --- Macroeconomics and Economic Growth --- Population Growth --- Private Sector Development --- Property Rights --- Tax --- Transit --- Transport --- Transport Economics, Policy and Planning --- Transportation --- Transportation Services --- Wealth
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