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SPARK, an NGO supporting young people's access to education and employment, commissioned RAND Europe to conduct a survey to understand the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) in the Middle East and Turkey. It also explored what support SMEs need to survive the pandemic.
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This report examines the potential economic implications of prolonged trade policy uncertainty associated with the renegotiation period between the UK and EU after Brexit. Specifically, the report focuses on the effects on UK trade and foreign direct investment.
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Experience shows that, in response to pandemics, national governments tend to follow their own interests instead of pursuing a more globally coordinated approach. This nationalistic behaviour could have negative consequences on how well the COVID-19 global pandemic is managed and contained. A situation in which countries push to get first access to a supply of vaccines, potentially hoarding key components for vaccine production, has been commonly referred to as 'vaccine nationalism'. This report examines how the management of the COVID-19 crisis may be affected by vaccine nationalism and what the associated economic cost would be of inequitable access to vaccines across countries.
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The aim of this study was to develop a methodological tool to 'nowcast' migrant stocks by using real-time data from the Facebook Marketing Application Programming Interface (API) and official migration data from EU member states and states in the United States. To meet this aim, RAND researchers collected real-time data that could provide estimates of migrant stocks in the countries of interest from the Facebook Marketing API, along with migrant-stocks data from official sources from 2010 onwards, and developed a Bayesian model capable of combining the Facebook and official migration data to nowcast stocks of migrants in EU member states and US states. The model developed in this study is capable of producing near real-time nowcasts for each source of official statistics, which can serve as an early-warning system to anticipate 'shock events' and rapid migration trends that would otherwise be captured too late or not at all by official migration data sources. This tool therefore enables decision-makers to make informed, evidence-based policy decisions in the rapidly changing social policy sphere of international migration. The study also provides a useful example of how to combine 'big data' with traditional data to improve measurement and estimation which can be applied to other social and demographic phenomena. Suggestions for future work include continued data collection activities to extend the temporal overlap between Facebook data and official migration statistics, nowcasting migrant stocks for demographic subgroups, and exploring alternative specifications for the Bayesian model to improve the accuracy of the nowcasts.
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Accurate risk assessment is central to addressing re-offending by young people and developing interventions designed to support their desistance from crime. AssetPlus is an assessment and planning framework introduced in 2014 that is now used by youth offending teams throughout England and Wales. RAND Europe was commissioned by the Youth Justice Board to explore the experiences and perceptions of youth justice practitioners using AssetPlus. Drawing upon interviews with practitioners and a survey disseminated nationally, the study found that practitioners strongly supported the ideas underpinning the assessment tool — in particular, its focus on a young person's strengths and the protective factors, in addition to risks. However, challenges related to the user interface and information-sharing capabilities throughout the system limited the extent to which the potential benefits of AssetPlus were realised. The study identified considerable variations in the way AssetPlus was used in different YOTs. Providing additional training for YOT practitioners was identified as an initial step to drive improvement.
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