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Bayesian Persuasion with Lie Detection
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Year: 2022 Publisher: National Bureau of Economic Research

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Book
Tale of Two Networks
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Year: 2022 Publisher: National Bureau of Economic Research

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Digital
Search Fatigue
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Year: 2012 Publisher: Cambridge, Mass. National Bureau of Economic Research

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Consumer search is not only costly but also tiring. We characterize the intertemporal effects that search fatigue has on oligopoly prices, product proliferation, and the provision of consumer assistance (i.e., advice). These effects vary based on whether search is all-or-nothing or sequential in nature, whether learning takes place, and whether consumers exhibit brand loyalty. We perform welfare analysis and highlight the novel empirical implications that our analysis generates.


Book
Gaming and strategic ambiguity in incentive provision.
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Year: 2013 Publisher: London Centre For Economic Policy Research,.

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Time to decide : information search and revelation in groups.
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Year: 2011 Publisher: London Centre For Economic Policy Research

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Solutions manual to accompany : contract theory
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ISBN: 0262532999 9780262532990 Year: 2007 Publisher: Cambridge, Mass. : MIT press,

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Digital
Understanding Peer Effects in Financial Decisions : Evidence from a Field Experiment
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Year: 2012 Publisher: Cambridge, Mass. National Bureau of Economic Research

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Using a field experiment conducted with a financial brokerage, we attempt to disentangle channels through which a person's financial decisions affect his peers'. When someone purchases an asset, his peers may also want to purchase it because they learn from his choice (“social learning”) and because his possession of the asset directly affects others' utility of owning the same asset (“social utility”). We randomize whether one member of a peer pair who chose to purchase an asset has that choice implemented, thus randomizing possession of the asset. Then, we randomize whether the second member of the pair: 1) receives no information about his peer, or 2) is informed of his peer's desire to purchase the asset and the result of the randomization determining possession. We thus estimate the effects of: (a) learning plus possession, and (b) learning alone, relative to a control group. In the control group, 42% of individuals purchased the asset, increasing to 71% in the “social learning only” group, and to 93% in the “social learning and social utility” group. These results suggest that herding behavior in financial markets may result from social learning, and also from a desire to own the same assets as one's peers.


Book
Search Fatigue
Authors: --- ---
Year: 2012 Publisher: Cambridge, Mass. National Bureau of Economic Research

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Abstract

Consumer search is not only costly but also tiring. We characterize the intertemporal effects that search fatigue has on oligopoly prices, product proliferation, and the provision of consumer assistance (i.e., advice). These effects vary based on whether search is all-or-nothing or sequential in nature, whether learning takes place, and whether consumers exhibit brand loyalty. We perform welfare analysis and highlight the novel empirical implications that our analysis generates.

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Book
Bayesian Persuasion with Lie Detection
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Year: 2022 Publisher: Cambridge, Mass. National Bureau of Economic Research

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How does lie detection constrain the potential for one person to persuade another to change her action? We consider a model of Bayesian persuasion in which the Receiver can detect lies with positive probability. We show that the Sender lies more when the lie detection probability increases. As long as this probability is sufficiently small, the Sender's and the Receiver's equilibrium payoffs are unaffected by the presence of lie detection because the Sender simply compensates by lying more. However, when the lie detection probability is sufficiently high, the Sender's equilibrium payoff decreases and the Receiver's equilibrium payoff increases with the lie detection probability.

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Book
A Tale of Two Networks : Common Ownership and Product Market Rivalry
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Year: 2022 Publisher: Cambridge, Mass. National Bureau of Economic Research

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We study the welfare implications of the rise of common ownership in the United States from 1994 to 2018. We build a general equilibrium model with a hedonic demand system in which firms compete in a network game of oligopoly. Firms are connected through two large networks: the first reflects ownership overlap, the second product market rivalry. In our model, common ownership of competing firms induces unilateral incentives to soften competition. The magnitude of the common ownership effect depends on how much the two networks overlap. We estimate our model for the universe of U.S. public corporations using a combination of firm financials, investor holdings, and text-based product similarity data. We perform counterfactual calculations to evaluate how the efficiency and the distributional impact of common ownership have evolved over time. According to our baseline estimates the welfare cost of common ownership, measured as the ratio of deadweight loss to total surplus, has increased nearly tenfold (from 0.3% to over 4%) between 1994 and 2018. Under alternative assumptions about governance, the deadweight loss ranges between 1.9% and 4.4% of total surplus in 2018. The rise of common ownership has also resulted in a significant reallocation of surplus from consumers to producers.

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